Pessimistic-Hospital — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved (90d)

8,980

Trades (90d)

18,075

43,527 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$70.1K

$211.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-30 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 67% +$3,389

Other

48% 74% +$384

Sports

1% 57% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	19	$1.2K	883	865	+18	Down	+$100	02-12 16:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:30 UTC	8	$1.2K	928	915	+14	Up	+$59	02-05 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:35 UTC	3	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$30	02-12 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	112	$664	488	488	+0	Yes	+$244	06-26 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?	84	$546	410	410	+0	Yes	+$221	06-24 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:40 UTC	168	$434	433	431	+2	Up	+$1	02-15 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	162	$406	367	356	+11	Up	-$15	03-01 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:00 UTC	106	$337	346	327	+19	Up	+$7	02-15 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:25 UTC	92	$320	333	324	+9	Up	-$2	02-15 21:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	115	$311	524	471	+53	Yes	+$40	06-27 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	20	$309	176	176	+0	Yes	+$32	07-25 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:15 UTC	100	$307	309	325	-16	Up	+$1	02-15 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:50 UTC	88	$301	295	386	-92	Down	-$37	02-15 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:40 UTC	87	$291	325	297	+28	Down	-$1	02-15 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?	90	$274	405	405	+0	Yes	-$54	07-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?	143	$252	650	650	+0	No	-$55	06-28 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:35 UTC	65	$251	248	252	-4	Up	+$1	02-15 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?	87	$243	375	375	+0	No	+$27	07-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	82	$239	405	0	+405	Yes	+$166	06-26 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	98	$235	225	228	-3	Down	-$4	03-08 23:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?	139	$234	635	589	+46	No	-$62	06-29 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 13:15 UTC	92	$225	211	225	-14	Down	-$5	02-28 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC	80	$201	195	203	-8	Up	-$10	03-01 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	88	$199	400	181	+219	No	-$66	06-30 11:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	78	$198	194	197	-2	Down	-$4	03-01 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?	51	$190	205	205	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 29?	81	$190	380	306	+74	Yes	+$45	06-29 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?	90	$189	439	100	+339	No	-$117	07-01 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:45 UTC	4	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	02-12 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	49	$188	208	208	+0	No	-$26	06-27 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:51:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x25aab5…
10-30 10:51:30	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xb96e30…
10-30 10:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xa07ae0…
10-30 10:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1faeca…
10-30 09:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x496f39…
10-30 09:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x613970…
10-30 08:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xdd8f96…
10-30 08:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x277ac9…
10-30 08:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x1e65be…
10-30 08:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdb02a8…
10-30 08:35:49	highest temperature in busan on november 1 2026 17c	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xb479e7…
10-30 08:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x8c1b36…
10-30 08:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 31?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x731f94…
10-30 08:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x7af51e…
10-30 08:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x3aa185…
10-30 08:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x3002fb…
10-30 07:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x95fb42…
10-30 07:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x7ea886…
10-30 07:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x63d991…
10-30 07:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x10c2e2…
10-30 06:40:49	highest temperature in lucknow on november 1 2026 26c	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x6da22c…
10-30 06:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x3815d5…
10-30 06:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xe56aa2…
10-30 06:16:40	highest temperature in chongqing on november 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6555a4…
10-30 06:16:39	highest temperature in chongqing on november 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xac3f42…
10-30 06:16:39	highest temperature in chongqing on november 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x99df60…
10-30 06:16:36	highest temperature in chongqing on november 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf85963…
10-30 06:11:27	highest temperature in chongqing on november 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x6c943c…
10-30 06:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x5c2a43…
10-30 05:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0x9ce646…
10-30 05:47:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0x6188a7…
10-30 05:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x5ac691…
10-30 05:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xbedf12…
10-30 04:50:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x43d3cc…
10-30 04:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6f9fef…
10-30 04:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xca25c5…
10-30 04:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x5b4783…
10-30 04:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0xbf56df…
10-30 04:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd7dbb3…
10-30 04:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x7ca094…
10-30 04:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4018a7…
10-30 04:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x292efd…
10-30 04:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6b77fe…
10-30 03:50:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x0c56a7…
10-30 03:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc45ac5…
10-30 03:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x6eec29…
10-30 03:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x545f7a…
10-30 03:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0x138541…
10-30 02:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x5acebe…
10-30 02:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xdd3d5a…
10-30 02:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x47059a…
10-30 02:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x58e738…
10-30 02:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x330fd6…
10-30 02:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x45f5c6…
10-30 02:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x50584d…
10-30 02:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$6	0x3c470f…
10-30 02:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x1b0d56…
10-30 02:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xfc63b0…
10-30 02:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xffe6fb…
10-30 02:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf4beb6…
10-30 02:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3c3cf5…
10-30 02:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x9b9d29…
10-30 02:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3187c9…
10-30 01:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x1c9774…
10-30 01:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x77bcdf…
10-30 01:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x45c66b…
10-30 01:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0bbb78…
10-30 01:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x832e13…
10-30 01:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7f64cd…
10-30 01:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xd69b8d…
10-30 01:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc06633…
10-30 01:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x24b1d4…
10-30 01:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf59b52…
10-30 01:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb173d6…
10-30 01:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xca0728…
10-30 01:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x294d58…
10-30 01:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0xebc0ea…
10-30 01:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x82347f…
10-30 01:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x0f7b4a…
10-30 00:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0f6963…
10-30 00:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe30875…
10-30 00:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x02e62f…
10-30 00:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x283aa4…
10-30 00:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x121746…
10-30 00:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd52059…
10-30 00:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x47b188…
10-30 00:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc2f899…
10-30 00:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xad87af…
10-30 00:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xffcf7b…
10-30 00:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x300143…
10-30 00:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4a2cb7…
10-30 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0xe028e6…
10-30 00:00:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xa3d19a…
10-30 00:00:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xc5d744…
10-29 23:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x20c9c3…
10-29 23:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x01365d…
10-29 23:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0fd021…
10-29 23:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0x1eaf81…
10-29 23:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x4cb195…
10-29 23:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0a1723…