Pessimistic-Hospital — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved (30d)

2,488

Trades (30d)

5,524

43,471 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$28.3K

$211.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-29 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 67% +$3,389

Other

48% 74% +$373

Sports

1% 57% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	19	$1.2K	883	865	+18	Down	+$100	02-12 16:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:30 UTC	8	$1.2K	928	915	+14	Up	+$59	02-05 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:35 UTC	3	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$30	02-12 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	112	$664	488	488	+0	Yes	+$244	06-26 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?	84	$546	410	410	+0	Yes	+$221	06-24 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:40 UTC	168	$434	433	431	+2	Up	+$1	02-15 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	162	$406	367	356	+11	Up	-$15	03-01 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:00 UTC	106	$337	346	327	+19	Up	+$7	02-15 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:25 UTC	92	$320	333	324	+9	Up	-$2	02-15 21:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	115	$311	524	471	+53	Yes	+$40	06-27 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	20	$309	176	176	+0	Yes	+$32	07-25 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:15 UTC	100	$307	309	325	-16	Up	+$1	02-15 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:50 UTC	88	$301	295	386	-92	Down	-$37	02-15 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:40 UTC	87	$291	325	297	+28	Down	-$1	02-15 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?	90	$274	405	405	+0	Yes	-$54	07-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?	143	$252	650	650	+0	No	-$55	06-28 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:35 UTC	65	$251	248	252	-4	Up	+$1	02-15 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?	87	$243	375	375	+0	No	+$27	07-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	82	$239	405	0	+405	Yes	+$166	06-26 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	98	$235	225	228	-3	Down	-$4	03-08 23:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?	139	$234	635	589	+46	No	-$62	06-29 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 13:15 UTC	92	$225	211	225	-14	Down	-$5	02-28 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC	80	$201	195	203	-8	Up	-$10	03-01 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	88	$199	400	181	+219	No	-$66	06-30 11:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	78	$198	194	197	-2	Down	-$4	03-01 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?	51	$190	205	205	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 29?	81	$190	380	306	+74	Yes	+$45	06-29 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?	90	$189	439	100	+339	No	-$117	07-01 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:45 UTC	4	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	02-12 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	49	$188	208	208	+0	No	-$26	06-27 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x141e97…
10-29 20:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x24a9c7…
10-29 20:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2609a1…
10-29 20:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x04873b…
10-29 20:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa46505…
10-29 20:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xf81abb…
10-29 19:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xeba5c3…
10-29 19:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xfa73bb…
10-29 19:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xecf836…
10-29 19:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x81a589…
10-29 19:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1d0674…
10-29 19:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xeabdf0…
10-29 19:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x3054ed…
10-29 19:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x911c42…
10-29 19:34:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9dac15…
10-29 19:34:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x4c97d1…
10-29 19:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xaf3f8e…
10-29 19:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x07fbd3…
10-29 19:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x92e5a5…
10-29 19:28:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0c6261…
10-29 19:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x297a1b…
10-29 19:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x043e31…
10-29 19:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x490215…
10-29 19:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x642ff0…
10-29 19:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3e9ffa…
10-29 17:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xde7c04…
10-29 17:36:08	highest temperature in panama city on october 31 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x48bc64…
10-29 17:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x1b09d4…
10-29 17:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x895b3e…
10-29 17:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3b053b…
10-29 17:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa83c3d…
10-29 17:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8f1fc7…
10-29 17:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7391eb…
10-29 17:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x00b853…
10-29 17:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6ce9f5…
10-29 17:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe9420e…
10-29 17:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x51ed6d…
10-29 16:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x35a61c…
10-29 16:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9e5a2a…
10-29 16:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xace0cb…
10-29 16:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x492bb9…
10-29 16:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2079f5…
10-29 16:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x76cb1f…
10-29 16:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0b685b…
10-29 15:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0x71f13f…
10-29 15:45:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0x8dee02…
10-29 15:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x4a494b…
10-29 15:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xaa64b4…
10-29 15:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaa5a68…
10-29 15:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbaf15e…
10-29 15:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x68f3c3…
10-29 15:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc42632…
10-29 15:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0xc86956…
10-29 15:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb45691…
10-29 14:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x515362…
10-29 14:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x562ccc…
10-29 14:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xd7ffe9…
10-29 14:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x255ffa…
10-29 14:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x3a0ac1…
10-29 14:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x367d05…
10-29 14:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x845c05…
10-29 14:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x7716de…
10-29 14:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x31f6f3…
10-29 13:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0xd520f3…
10-29 13:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc34e97…
10-29 13:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe48f05…
10-29 13:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe78925…
10-29 13:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x36cafb…
10-29 13:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xded5fd…
10-29 13:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x74ac22…
10-29 13:26:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x95ca9a…
10-29 12:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa92a54…
10-29 12:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xedde31…
10-29 12:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xdfe065…
10-29 12:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf2e077…
10-29 12:13:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd24e2f…
10-29 12:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7ccd61…
10-29 11:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9f7670…
10-29 11:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x1f2a77…
10-29 11:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1bf457…
10-29 11:29:25	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xef4b1d…
10-29 11:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4ca3f4…
10-29 11:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x2fb25a…
10-29 11:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc7239d…
10-29 11:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x53035c…
10-29 11:19:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x97403c…
10-29 11:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5f3ecc…
10-29 11:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x56297b…
10-29 11:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7a5015…
10-29 11:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x677ff6…
10-29 10:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5ea816…
10-29 10:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xe5e031…
10-29 10:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x5d6c5c…
10-29 10:26:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x093ff3…
10-29 10:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x7e27fd…
10-29 09:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x66dcbd…
10-29 09:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x2e7641…
10-29 09:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x8111ec…
10-29 09:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfda52f…
10-29 09:29:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x97bf40…