Pessimistic-Hospital — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$267

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved (7d)

663

Trades (7d)

1,224

43,358 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.05K

$210.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-29 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 67% +$3,389

Other

48% 74% +$346

Sports

1% 57% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 327 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	19	$1.2K	883	865	+18	Down	+$100	02-12 16:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:30 UTC	8	$1.2K	928	915	+14	Up	+$59	02-05 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:35 UTC	3	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$30	02-12 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?	112	$664	488	488	+0	Yes	+$244	06-26 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 25?	84	$546	410	410	+0	Yes	+$221	06-24 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:40 UTC	168	$434	433	431	+2	Up	+$1	02-15 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 13:15 UTC	162	$406	367	356	+11	Up	-$15	03-01 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:00 UTC	106	$337	346	327	+19	Up	+$7	02-15 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:25 UTC	92	$320	333	324	+9	Up	-$2	02-15 21:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	115	$311	524	471	+53	Yes	+$40	06-27 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	20	$309	176	176	+0	Yes	+$32	07-25 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:15 UTC	100	$307	309	325	-16	Up	+$1	02-15 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:50 UTC	88	$301	295	386	-92	Down	-$37	02-15 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:40 UTC	87	$291	325	297	+28	Down	-$1	02-15 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?	90	$274	405	405	+0	Yes	-$54	07-07 23:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?	143	$252	650	650	+0	No	-$55	06-28 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:35 UTC	65	$251	248	252	-4	Up	+$1	02-15 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?	87	$243	375	375	+0	No	+$27	07-06 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	82	$239	405	0	+405	Yes	+$166	06-26 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 23:15 UTC	98	$235	225	228	-3	Down	-$4	03-08 23:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?	139	$234	635	589	+46	No	-$62	06-29 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 13:15 UTC	92	$225	211	225	-14	Down	-$5	02-28 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC	80	$201	195	203	-8	Up	-$10	03-01 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?	88	$199	400	181	+219	No	-$66	06-30 11:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	78	$198	194	197	-2	Down	-$4	03-01 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?	51	$190	205	205	+0	Yes	+$29	06-30 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 29?	81	$190	380	306	+74	Yes	+$45	06-29 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?	90	$189	439	100	+339	No	-$117	07-01 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 20:45 UTC	4	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	02-12 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	49	$188	208	208	+0	No	-$26	06-27 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xa0f90b…
10-29 08:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb0dd5b…
10-29 08:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x1f9933…
10-29 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x73b73e…
10-29 07:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb822c5…
10-29 07:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1380ce…
10-29 07:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xbdc396…
10-29 07:30:50	highest temperature in seattle on october 30 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2ac565…
10-29 07:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe172da…
10-29 07:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5cd679…
10-29 07:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x964620…
10-29 07:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb25b8f…
10-29 06:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa293d8…
10-29 06:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xcef55f…
10-29 06:35:50	highest temperature in manila on october 31 2026 31c	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcbf3a1…
10-29 06:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x5fe458…
10-29 06:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x19e712…
10-29 06:23:58	highest temperature in madrid on october 31 2026 21c	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xf09799…
10-29 06:23:56	highest temperature in madrid on october 31 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5e56b6…
10-29 06:23:56	highest temperature in madrid on october 31 2026 21c	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5373f4…
10-29 06:15:34	highest temperature in singapore on october 31 2026 33c	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xf9dbec…
10-29 06:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x567a4b…
10-29 05:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd67660…
10-29 05:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe0e63f…
10-29 05:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xb9ff53…
10-29 05:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xb58295…
10-29 04:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	No	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x533573…
10-29 04:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x00030d…
10-29 04:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8a8288…
10-29 04:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xaabf7d…
10-29 04:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd2b9fe…
10-29 04:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xad4307…
10-29 04:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xae52b7…
10-29 03:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe67a73…
10-29 03:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf4680f…
10-29 03:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 30?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xa03194…
10-29 03:22:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd998ac…
10-29 03:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x6facbd…
10-29 03:16:23	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x855e5e…
10-29 03:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7ec2c4…
10-29 03:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x8dfdbd…
10-29 02:57:53	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xddb9a7…
10-29 02:50:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xdf6af5…
10-29 02:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xe63ce7…
10-29 02:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x75bce1…
10-29 02:39:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0xc31507…
10-29 02:37:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5d8112…
10-29 02:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4ec561…
10-29 02:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x33c214…
10-29 02:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x75ff5a…
10-29 02:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x07c4fb…
10-29 02:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x42e998…
10-29 02:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x24774e…
10-29 02:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4835d8…
10-29 02:00:14	highest temperature in los angeles on october 30 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7e8246…
10-29 01:59:56	highest temperature in los angeles on october 30 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xab34e2…
10-29 01:59:50	highest temperature in los angeles on october 30 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x121066…
10-29 01:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb4c12e…
10-29 01:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x194bd5…
10-29 01:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe68c2a…
10-29 01:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xaed7e9…
10-29 01:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x391eee…
10-29 01:34:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd4a106…
10-29 01:33:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x548c9b…
10-29 01:33:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xae26a3…
10-29 01:33:19	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x22cf47…
10-29 01:32:59	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3eb91d…
10-29 01:26:44	highest temperature in panama city on october 30 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8f8b70…
10-29 01:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x50f8b7…
10-29 00:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9750ae…
10-29 00:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xab289c…
10-29 00:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x2bc6ec…
10-29 00:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9deeba…
10-29 00:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x915eec…
10-29 00:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x510b95…
10-29 00:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x5bc6d3…
10-29 00:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x8f54d4…
10-29 00:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x20c401…
10-29 00:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x93763f…
10-29 00:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x0939db…
10-28 23:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc6dd98…
10-28 23:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x9c0481…
10-28 23:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xf9c281…
10-28 23:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfef894…
10-28 23:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x439c79…
10-28 22:34:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xb91f01…
10-28 22:29:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x66c192…
10-28 22:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x25d31a…
10-28 22:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf96da0…
10-28 22:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf27edb…
10-28 22:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe5d413…
10-28 22:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfd4ce2…
10-28 22:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xee6bc3…
10-28 22:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 29?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x85258a…
10-28 22:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x5ac1cb…
10-28 21:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x8402f1…
10-28 21:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3b8159…
10-28 21:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x91e715…
10-28 21:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9186ae…
10-28 21:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x372d6e…