Vital-Debate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

487

Trades

1,565

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 11-01 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

81% 65% -$426

Crypto

17% 80% +$3

Tech

2% 20% -$42

Politics

0% 60% +$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-17	-$5	12¢	$-2	+$3	05-03 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 9?	8	$454	264	247	+17	No	+$12	06-09 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?	40	$433	329	246	+83	No	-$110	07-25 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on May 15?	9	$410	210	210	+0	No	+$9	05-15 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?	11	$368	458	117	+340	Yes	+$5	05-22 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?	3	$362	191	191	+0	Yes	+$5	05-24 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?	7	$316	209	209	+0	No	-$41	06-02 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?	8	$312	187	187	+0	No	+$13	06-01 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 31?	2	$303	160	160	+0	No	+$17	06-01 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 13?	18	$302	213	113	+100	No	+$4	07-13 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	14	$279	149	149	+0	No	+$12	07-11 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 27?	11	$227	220	220	+0	Yes	-$182	06-27 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 4?	9	$227	147	97	+50	No	+$8	07-04 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 5?	3	$222	237	0	+237	No	+$14	06-05 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 12?	20	$219	195	92	+102	Yes	-$50	07-12 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 3?	9	$212	128	128	+0	No	-$7	06-03 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 27?	13	$210	120	120	+0	Yes	+$3	05-27 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 8?	8	$207	227	0	+227	No	+$19	06-08 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 03:40 UTC	2	$204	103	103	+0	Up	+$1	04-19 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 14?	10	$202	214	0	+214	No	+$12	05-14 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?	5	$200	110	110	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 16?	6	$181	100	100	+0	No	+$11	07-16 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?	17	$180	105	105	+0	Yes	+$3	05-24 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4?	10	$177	105	105	+0	No	-$2	06-04 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 2?	15	$169	185	185	+0	Yes	-$134	06-02 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 1?	3	$167	108	108	+0	No	+$29	06-01 13:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?	21	$166	171	171	+0	Yes	-$132	05-15 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 26?	1	$164	180	0	+180	No	+$16	06-26 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:25 UTC	2	$153	77	77	+0	Down	+$0	04-19 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?	14	$152	96	96	+0	Yes	-$8	07-11 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 26?	3	$151	78	78	+0	No	+$5	05-26 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:25:58	Solana Up or Down on November 1?	Down	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x36eb9c…
11-01 06:32:34	Solana Up or Down on November 1?	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x65c2d7…
11-01 04:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf4349a…
11-01 04:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xce0038…
11-01 04:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf1f551…
11-01 04:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0a86b7…
11-01 03:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb4e771…
11-01 02:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd20847…
11-01 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x14fd89…
11-01 01:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x72982f…
10-31 09:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5771e3…
10-31 09:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x539096…
10-19 08:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xef89fb…
10-19 06:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x979ec3…
10-19 06:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x2bb970…
10-19 04:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa2ba04…
10-18 04:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xfa6c39…
10-13 02:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x84c8f1…
09-26 06:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xb6b0a5…
09-26 05:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8620ea…
09-08 07:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xfc8e1c…
09-08 03:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf2c80a…
09-07 02:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 7?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x07b51f…
09-07 01:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 7?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb39abf…
09-03 09:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6ba45e…
09-03 08:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf0454c…
09-03 08:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x82af41…
08-19 07:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xb04154…
08-19 07:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfe8e83…
08-19 07:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa7c078…
08-19 01:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf9b4d6…
08-19 00:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1d2435…
08-17 17:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 18?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x3ef50e…
08-17 17:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x19531c…
08-17 01:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4d82a1…
08-17 00:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x133a0a…
08-16 15:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x67f9cd…
08-14 09:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 14?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a909f…
08-14 02:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd09dc4…
08-13 00:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x9ed607…
08-12 04:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd00d12…
08-11 07:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xd15958…
08-11 07:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xfccba5…
08-11 05:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xbebdd1…
08-10 07:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc38306…
08-10 07:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x72d3cf…
08-10 06:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xf3095a…
08-10 06:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x4d4038…
08-10 05:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xecbcdf…
08-10 04:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x32aa44…
08-10 04:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x839460…
08-10 03:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd84dbd…
08-10 03:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x367c69…
08-10 02:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7e44b5…
08-09 06:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf896d7…
08-09 05:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe615c2…
08-09 05:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x794754…
08-09 02:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1d07f8…
08-08 07:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x88c1ca…
08-08 06:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x2ea0c8…
08-08 06:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x63a4c2…
08-08 06:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xca123d…
08-08 02:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xbbeae1…
08-08 01:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x286357…
08-08 01:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0d4109…
08-07 11:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x5a6cae…
08-07 07:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 7?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x1560bc…
08-07 06:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1e50cc…
08-07 03:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 7?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xddc464…
08-07 01:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcb01f3…
08-06 16:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5ff7b3…
08-06 11:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0xd8e573…
08-06 11:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9a8d72…
08-05 09:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdfd34d…
08-05 09:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x7ecf85…
08-05 06:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x6662c1…
08-03 08:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 3?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6ea895…
08-03 07:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 3?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc5950e…
08-03 06:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf72d75…
08-03 05:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xe2fa05…
08-03 03:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x36be56…
08-03 03:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 3?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x5554f5…
08-02 13:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x46b047…
08-02 06:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x1e320d…
08-01 09:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xeb1ff9…
08-01 09:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf8bf20…
08-01 09:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6db371…
07-31 11:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x035153…
07-31 10:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x90c9f3…
07-31 09:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xce5374…
07-29 15:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2c738b…
07-29 10:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 30?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xff0f67…
07-29 10:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 30?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x81c1ab…
07-29 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 30?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x3ac3dd…
07-29 05:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x023ac1…
07-29 00:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x061c94…
07-29 00:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x142787…
07-28 16:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 29?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd2815c…
07-28 16:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xac2c35…
07-28 16:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x62460e…