Fancy-Maelstrom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

4,700

Trades

7,962

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-26 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

75% 57% +$263

Crypto

18% 45% -$221

Sports

5% 44% -$54

Politics

1% 49% -$32

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+0	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	06-10 07:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 06:30 UTC	4	$116	109	109	+0	Up	+$97	03-17 06:35
arg bel ros 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	2	$59	45	45	+0	Over	+$30	07-24 00:19
mlb det tor 2026 03 14	3	$54	35	35	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$14	03-14 19:24
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?	2	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	+$44	07-06 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 24?	2	$53	36	36	+0	Yes	+$19	10-24 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 24?	2	$50	33	33	+0	No	+$15	10-24 21:56
elc mid bri 2026 03 14 mid	6	$50	55	19	+36	No	-$11	03-14 16:01
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?	2	$49	45	45	+0	Yes	+$40	07-03 04:56
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$49	45	45	+0	Yes	+$40	07-03 23:59
uel dyn pao1 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	2	$49	35	35	+0	Over	+$19	07-23 17:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 23?	2	$48	33	33	+0	Yes	+$18	10-23 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	2	$47	31	31	+0	No	+$14	10-25 05:40
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:00 UTC	2	$47	43	43	+0	Up	+$37	03-16 21:05
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 2am et	9	$47	62	42	+19	Up	-$3	03-18 08:00
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?	2	$46	41	41	+0	Yes	+$36	07-03 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 25?	2	$46	31	31	+0	Yes	+$16	10-25 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 24?	2	$46	28	28	+0	No	+$11	10-24 14:00
mlb sf kc 2026 07 22	2	$45	31	31	+0	Kansas City Royals	+$16	07-22 20:21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 23?	3	$45	30	30	+0	No	+$15	10-23 22:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	2	$45	28	28	+0	Yes	+$12	10-26 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 24?	2	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$15	10-24 19:26
col bor pet 2026 07 23 btts	2	$44	30	30	+0	No	+$14	07-23 20:23
lol jdg al 2026 07 23	2	$44	30	30	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$14	07-23 11:42
cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22 game1 round handicap fal2 3pt5	4	$44	30	30	+0	Team Falcons	+$14	07-22 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 23?	4	$44	28	28	+0	Yes	+$12	10-23 06:14
lol jdg al 2026 07 23 game2	2	$43	29	29	+0	Anyone's Legend	+$14	07-23 10:43
sud boc ohi 2026 07 23 total 2pt5	4	$43	29	29	+0	Under	+$14	07-24 02:18
atp prizmic molcan 2026 07 15	2	$43	39	39	+0	Alex Molcan	+$33	07-15 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 23?	3	$43	27	27	+0	No	+$10	10-23 15:21
lol jdg al 2026 07 23 game1	2	$43	29	29	+0	JD Gaming	+$13	07-23 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xdf7d50…
10-27 00:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0x652a09…
10-27 00:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xd7f8fe…
10-27 00:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	49¢	$17	0x81a090…
10-26 23:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7545a1…
10-26 22:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xce8c66…
10-26 22:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17fe13…
10-26 22:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x426b52…
10-26 22:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf25584…
10-26 21:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd80b3c…
10-26 21:48:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3dd149…
10-26 21:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x59fac4…
10-26 21:40:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5b4bbb…
10-26 21:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C on October 26?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x348b88…
10-26 21:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb30417…
10-26 21:08:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5cd15e…
10-26 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x0f3e63…
10-26 21:00:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x36925a…
10-26 20:52:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x7c94dc…
10-26 20:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xfc2218…
10-26 19:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdc1e6f…
10-26 19:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x0791c5…
10-26 19:43:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xfe5aa2…
10-26 19:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xaa3167…
10-26 19:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc6bc94…
10-26 19:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe3ab16…
10-26 19:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x86eacd…
10-26 17:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9711a0…
10-26 17:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xba4f0b…
10-26 17:34:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$10	0x0a0edb…
10-26 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x54da5c…
10-26 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x47be48…
10-26 16:08:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd1218b…
10-26 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4ac22c…
10-26 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2dafaa…
10-26 15:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1d0cd2…
10-26 15:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x0d85f6…
10-26 15:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf8ada2…
10-26 15:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x80ebd4…
10-26 15:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x206e2a…
10-26 14:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe84a43…
10-26 14:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc5d57d…
10-26 14:28:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x83da68…
10-26 14:10:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on October 26?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xdc025e…
10-26 14:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x36da17…
10-26 14:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7f273d…
10-26 14:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xbb6686…
10-26 13:23:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on October 26?	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x5199ea…
10-26 12:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa36545…
10-26 12:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc382a…
10-26 12:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5d73f0…
10-26 12:00:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 26?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb0ce23…
10-26 12:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 26?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf0422f…
10-26 12:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 26?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x810d71…
10-26 11:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x64d656…
10-26 11:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd2159f…
10-26 11:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x3fbe3d…
10-26 10:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xa3a89f…
10-26 10:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x7fdb74…
10-26 10:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x5437c0…
10-26 10:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6b7357…
10-26 10:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xea9068…
10-26 09:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x2018d7…
10-26 09:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x00440d…
10-26 09:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3f576b…
10-26 09:30:50	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x882258…
10-26 09:20:30	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$10	0xa4d07e…
10-26 08:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 26?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd3e869…
10-26 08:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd98262…
10-26 08:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xba4c86…
10-26 08:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe24bb9…
10-26 08:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	No	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xd34452…
10-26 08:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xc06ba6…
10-26 07:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0xa5803d…
10-26 07:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7ffd34…
10-26 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 26?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x40ad2e…
10-26 06:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x660493…
10-26 06:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa2d96e…
10-26 06:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x39d51c…
10-26 06:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xefe62b…
10-26 06:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6bc845…
10-26 06:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xfd6087…
10-26 06:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 26?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0x3a5252…
10-26 05:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xfee943…
10-26 05:24:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xe6009c…
10-26 05:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe9acab…
10-26 05:00:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x65a2f1…
10-26 04:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x83c2b0…
10-26 04:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 26?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x522260…
10-26 04:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0xd14a2e…
10-26 04:40:03	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0xe6ab38…
10-26 04:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdcc438…
10-26 04:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x048ced…
10-26 04:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x935e11…
10-26 04:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x224699…
10-26 04:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb6c0ae…
10-26 03:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0xc83886…
10-26 03:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x3903d0…
10-26 03:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x422222…
10-26 03:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x1b3989…