Illustrious-Ruffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$641

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

827

Trades

2,125

lifetime

Volume

$428.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 09-20 15:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

100% 99% -$640

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 13?	4	$4.8K	4,760	+4,760	No	+$5	09-13 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 17?	10	$4.1K	4,067	+4,067	No	+$4	08-16 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	12	$3.5K	3,491	+3,491	No	+$7	09-20 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 18?	4	$3.1K	3,082	+3,082	No	+$5	07-18 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 30?	3	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	No	+$3	06-30 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 29?	5	$3.0K	2,958	+2,958	No	+$3	06-28 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 26?	3	$2.9K	2,950	+2,950	No	+$3	07-25 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	7	$2.9K	2,948	+2,948	No	+$5	08-11 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?	20	$2.9K	2,941	+2,941	No	+$3	06-19 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?	7	$2.8K	2,779	+2,779	No	+$3	07-31 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on June 6?	7	$2.8K	2,760	+2,760	No	+$3	06-06 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 4?	4	$2.7K	2,704	+2,704	No	+$3	07-04 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 16?	5	$2.7K	2,699	+2,699	No	+$3	07-16 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 28?	7	$2.7K	2,682	+2,682	No	+$3	07-28 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 27?	4	$2.6K	2,625	+2,625	No	+$3	08-27 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 1?	3	$2.6K	2,580	+2,580	No	+$3	07-01 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 26?	4	$2.5K	2,482	+2,482	No	+$2	08-26 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 5?	9	$2.5K	2,481	+2,481	No	+$4	08-05 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 24?	5	$2.5K	2,478	+2,478	No	+$5	06-24 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?	3	$2.5K	2,471	+2,471	No	+$16	06-28 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 6?	2	$2.4K	2,400	+2,400	No	+$3	07-06 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 19?	2	$2.4K	2,401	+2,401	No	+$4	07-19 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 25?	2	$2.4K	2,407	+2,407	No	+$10	06-25 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 21?	2	$2.4K	2,402	+2,402	No	+$5	07-20 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 27?	2	$2.4K	2,402	+2,402	No	+$5	06-27 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 31?	2	$2.4K	2,380	+2,380	No	+$2	08-31 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?	11	$2.3K	2,334	+2,334	No	+$2	06-16 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 6?	2	$2.3K	2,290	+2,290	No	+$2	07-06 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 9?	5	$2.2K	2,204	+2,204	No	+$2	07-09 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 7?	2	$2.2K	2,200	+2,200	No	+$2	07-07 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 15:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe73a79…
09-20 04:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbed8c9…
09-20 04:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf66ec…
09-20 04:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a148d…
09-20 04:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x338333…
09-20 04:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x14f937…
09-20 04:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$979	0xd8df48…
09-20 04:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x741b0f…
09-20 04:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x3cd14e…
09-20 04:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	1,193	100¢	$1,189	0x31708f…
09-20 04:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xa6e191…
09-20 04:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	880	100¢	$879	0x2f5e98…
09-20 04:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xed7ad9…
09-20 04:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xdc3a62…
09-20 04:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2acefe…
09-20 04:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd79698…
09-20 04:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	660	100¢	$659	0x4f76cb…
09-20 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb9648…
09-20 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x84ff6a…
09-20 04:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe86968…
09-20 04:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x62dcd2…
09-20 03:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xfb7cd0…
09-20 03:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x650b24…
09-20 03:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 20?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x68c618…
09-20 02:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3314f8…
09-20 02:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5d8a4…
09-20 02:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xd431b6…
09-19 05:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0xc6d6af…
09-19 05:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xca5a82…
09-19 05:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xd806b4…
09-19 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf42419…
09-19 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xd1ebd1…
09-18 11:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xeef73f…
09-18 06:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb55489…
09-18 06:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8ce3a5…
09-18 05:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe70a39…
09-18 05:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a622b…
09-18 05:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xbc1478…
09-18 05:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0xdbdc71…
09-18 05:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xb7e966…
09-18 05:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$370	0x63cbaf…
09-18 05:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x129583…
09-18 04:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x003bc6…
09-18 04:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb97d25…
09-18 03:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x3a56e6…
09-18 03:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe42452…
09-18 03:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0aed19…
09-18 03:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	522	100¢	$522	0xbabfd6…
09-18 03:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x683fb7…
09-18 03:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b9d1c…
09-18 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x700ec6…
09-18 03:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	1,152	100¢	$1,149	0x82b2fb…
09-18 03:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a988d…
09-18 01:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18?	No	BUY	830	100¢	$829	0xc9ef7e…
09-18 00:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0addd1…
09-18 00:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe82e16…
09-17 07:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a4a67…
09-17 07:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 17?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x844533…
09-17 07:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x284772…
09-17 06:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fcb26…
09-17 06:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x5692f1…
09-17 06:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfa0831…
09-17 06:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0xbd342d…
09-17 06:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$319	0x83f6db…
09-17 06:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x982745…
09-17 06:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x600e95…
09-17 06:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x723fd8…
09-17 06:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbb24bc…
09-17 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeaecca…
09-17 06:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xa823f8…
09-17 06:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde3d0c…
09-17 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x84dcca…
09-17 06:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x4e87ab…
09-17 06:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f3bc6…
09-17 06:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x6cc3bd…
09-17 06:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x13763d…
09-17 06:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x878b41…
09-17 06:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c7815…
09-17 06:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x70865b…
09-17 06:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x4da95e…
09-17 06:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b03f5…
09-17 06:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xc36867…
09-17 06:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0x2c9691…
09-17 06:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ae93e…
09-17 06:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x461f54…
09-17 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5e77ef…
09-17 05:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x99634c…
09-17 05:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x381f27…
09-17 05:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9cb9e…
09-17 05:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd17311…
09-17 05:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x58004f…
09-17 05:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x678a6b…
09-17 04:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6f068d…
09-17 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc046aa…
09-17 03:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x489eda…
09-17 03:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 17?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xb93fa0…
09-17 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe1b7f4…
09-17 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x30bf31…
09-17 01:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb925cb…
09-17 01:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x6e3562…