Chilly-Harpsichord 0x9892ef…53fd59
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,161
lifetime
Volume
$75.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$721
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-18 06:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
65% — —
Sports
27% — —
Politics
4% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +125 $50 99¢ $123 +$73 05-27 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -91 $-45 86¢ $-79 $-33 05-29 14:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -263 $-42 26¢ $-70 $-28 05-29 14:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -68 $-48 80¢ $-55 $-7 05-29 14:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -60 $-48 90¢ $-54 $-5 05-28 17:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -69 $-50 76¢ $-53 $-3 05-31 17:41
New pandemic in 2026? No -56 $-50 94¢ $-53 $-3 05-29 17:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -57 $-47 90¢ $-51 $-4 05-28 20:32
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -59 $-49 88¢ $-51 $-3 05-29 14:37
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -54 $-49 94¢ $-51 $-1 06-02 21:34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -70 $-47 70¢ $-50 $-3 05-29 14:37
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -16 $-15 98¢ $-16 $-1 06-02 21:34
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -263 $-35 6¢ $-14 +$20 05-29 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -79 $-40 1¢ $-1 +$39 06-01 17:26