Chilly-Harpsichord 0x9892ef…53fd59
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
4,177
lifetime
Volume
$68.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$810
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 04:05
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63% — —
Sports
29% — —
Politics
5% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +125 $50 62¢ $78 +$28 05-27 21:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -91 $-45 80¢ $-73 $-28 05-29 14:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -70 $-47 84¢ $-59 $-12 05-29 14:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -69 $-50 84¢ $-58 $-8 05-31 17:41
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -54 $-50 100¢ $-54 $-3 06-02 21:26
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -54 $-50 100¢ $-54 $-4 05-29 17:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -60 $-48 88¢ $-53 $-5 05-28 17:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -57 $-47 90¢ $-51 $-4 05-28 20:32
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -59 $-49 87¢ $-51 $-2 05-29 14:37
New pandemic in 2026? No -56 $-50 90¢ $-51 $-1 05-29 17:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -68 $-48 74¢ $-51 $-3 05-29 14:37
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -54 $-49 94¢ $-50 $-1 06-02 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -263 $-42 14¢ $-36 +$7 05-29 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -79 $-40 38¢ $-30 +$10 06-01 17:26
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -263 $-35 11¢ $-28 +$7 05-29 18:17
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -16 $-15 97¢ $-16 $-1 06-02 21:34
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? Yes +25 $15 48¢ $12 $-3 05-30 12:48
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,201 $-22 0¢ $-3 +$19 05-29 18:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes -803 $-31 0¢ $-2 +$29 05-29 18:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -283 $-43 0¢ $-1 +$42 06-02 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -119 $-43 1¢ $-1 +$43 05-29 17:34