Chilly-Harpsichord 0x9892ef…53fd59
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$110
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,881
lifetime
Volume
$34.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$986
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 18:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
44% — —
Sports
41% — —
Politics
10% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +125 $50 72¢ $89 +$39 05-27 21:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -77 $-40 80¢ $-62 $-22 05-28 19:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -91 $-45 62¢ $-57 $-11 05-29 14:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -60 $-48 88¢ $-53 $-4 05-28 17:51
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -54 $-50 96¢ $-52 $-2 05-29 17:34
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -54 $-50 96¢ $-51 $-1 06-02 21:26
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -70 $-47 72¢ $-51 $-4 05-29 14:37
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -68 $-48 74¢ $-51 $-3 05-29 14:37
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -59 $-49 85¢ $-50 $-1 05-29 14:37
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -54 $-49 92¢ $-50 $-0 06-02 21:34
New pandemic in 2026? No -56 $-50 88¢ $-50 +$0 05-29 17:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -57 $-47 88¢ $-50 $-3 05-28 20:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -69 $-50 72¢ $-50 +$0 05-31 17:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -263 $-42 18¢ $-49 $-7 05-29 14:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -213 $-66 18¢ $-39 +$27 06-04 22:00
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -263 $-35 13¢ $-34 +$1 05-29 18:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -283 $-43 11¢ $-30 +$14 06-02 21:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -75 $-46 38¢ $-28 +$18 05-29 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -79 $-40 29¢ $-23 +$17 06-01 17:26
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,201 $-22 1¢ $-21 +$2 05-29 18:17
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -16 $-15 92¢ $-15 $-0 06-02 21:34
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Completed match? Yes +25 $15 48¢ $12 $-3 05-30 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -119 $-43 10¢ $-11 +$32 05-29 17:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes -803 $-31 1¢ $-9 +$21 05-29 18:16