Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

1,757

Trades

2,647

lifetime

Volume

$130.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$204

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-28

last 10-30 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 99% +$600

Other

6% 31% -$313

Politics

3% 9% -$226

Tech

0% 12% -$15

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	+150	$149	92¢	$138	-$11	10-29 16:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+42	$26	66¢	$27	+$2	09-30 09:32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	Yes	+25	$16	98¢	$24	+$9	08-20 17:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+42	$17	34¢	$14	-$2	09-30 09:31
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	+25	$9	2¢	$0	-$9	08-20 17:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	95	$1.1K	1,351	945	+407	Yes	-$22	09-30 22:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	21	$1.0K	1,113	912	+202	Yes	-$19	08-01 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-29 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-30 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-29 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	-$600	10-30 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-29 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-30 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-29 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-29 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-29 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	5	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-30 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-28 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-29 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-29 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Down	+$6	10-28 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-29 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$600	606	0	+606	Up	+$6	10-30 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:49:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4e0533…
10-30 04:39:03	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x30bb4a…
10-30 04:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa8175c…
10-30 04:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa7f94f…
10-30 04:34:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa72cf9…
10-30 04:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0e1817…
10-30 03:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe4733a…
10-30 03:54:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc42fe7…
10-30 03:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x2f818f…
10-30 03:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xe6f504…
10-30 03:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8efc0d…
10-30 03:44:03	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x456fd3…
10-30 03:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc2123c…
10-30 03:30:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a0f1c…
10-30 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x849290…
10-30 03:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x01ad0c…
10-30 03:00:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2c56d…
10-30 03:00:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1a547f…
10-30 03:00:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf8d0f3…
10-30 02:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x02dea8…
10-30 02:54:06	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67621b…
10-30 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x435c15…
10-30 02:44:04	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x394a99…
10-30 02:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1ef814…
10-30 02:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xdfd13b…
10-30 02:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc35006…
10-30 02:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x0f5bd2…
10-30 02:28:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd5545…
10-30 02:23:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x928cc0…
10-30 02:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	606	97¢	$590	0xa0f5bd…
10-30 02:18:36	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcae143…
10-30 02:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdece78…
10-30 02:04:46	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x00f259…
10-30 02:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xaee544…
10-30 01:59:22	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x644d48…
10-30 01:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xee0f1a…
10-30 01:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$599	0x85ddcc…
10-30 01:54:25	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6fe4e8…
10-30 01:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x93aca5…
10-30 01:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xaa5f12…
10-30 01:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4c23ff…
10-30 01:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaf5ef8…
10-30 01:39:07	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c3e95…
10-30 01:38:48	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8ebfad…
10-30 01:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3b9002…
10-30 01:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x455051…
10-30 01:23:55	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x979ba8…
10-30 01:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x493222…
10-30 01:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xe5a3d1…
10-30 01:03:34	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7cb4ba…
10-30 01:03:33	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa8f2fd…
10-30 00:59:22	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xedbc5e…
10-30 00:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd36a2e…
10-30 00:49:03	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4162cc…
10-30 00:48:58	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x047e79…
10-30 00:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa719c4…
10-30 00:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x33cc01…
10-30 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xcbf993…
10-30 00:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdf1939…
10-30 00:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xde0770…
10-30 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x17e52c…
10-29 23:44:10	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x68ea50…
10-29 23:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x947e7c…
10-29 23:23:33	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9ea50…
10-29 23:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb02a5f…
10-29 23:18:43	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe03b36…
10-29 23:13:51	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39172e…
10-29 23:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x8d5e7f…
10-29 23:09:16	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5732e9…
10-29 23:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x6071a8…
10-29 22:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$599	0xfef671…
10-29 22:59:12	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc4a16d…
10-29 22:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6fbf14…
10-29 22:53:40	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d6afe…
10-29 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0xe61dcb…
10-29 22:43:45	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e9d13…
10-29 22:38:39	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x18c68c…
10-29 22:33:42	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03d0e9…
10-29 22:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x05cc57…
10-29 22:28:57	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x527da1…
10-29 22:24:34	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe4b25a…
10-29 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xeb23b0…
10-29 21:39:12	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5dc612…
10-29 21:38:33	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccbed9…
10-29 21:33:33	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa4912d…
10-29 21:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x374baf…
10-29 21:24:13	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa7f42c…
10-29 21:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	606	99¢	$599	0xd71464…
10-29 21:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc152ed…
10-29 21:13:49	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x319604…
10-29 21:13:46	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcfd57e…
10-29 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	606	96¢	$579	0xf5ff07…
10-29 21:04:01	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbdf608…
10-29 21:03:57	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2352f6…
10-29 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$49	0x893055…
10-29 20:54:13	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1e6dd8…
10-29 20:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x415620…
10-29 20:39:51	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf57ee6…
10-29 20:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x598852…
10-29 20:23:36	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b3720…