Illustrious-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$641

Unrealized P&L

+$61

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

1,495

Trades

6,439

lifetime

Volume

$104.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$118

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 240 days

Categories

Other

86% 44% +$1,031

Sports

11% 48% -$700

Crypto

2% 44% +$254

Politics

1% 75% +$36

Tech

0% 50% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No		+150	$57	78¢	$118	+$61	10-19 05:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	16	$1.4K	1,890	1,890	+0	Yes	+$126	01-09 06:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	13	$969	967	967	+0	Yes	+$647	03-09 07:21
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 17c	4	$708	372	372	-0	No	+$36	03-29 05:55
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$700	525	525	+0	Yes	-$16	01-28 11:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 8corhigher	25	$678	487	484	+3	No	-$21	03-10 06:25
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 17c	5	$572	606	0	+606	No	+$34	04-11 02:23
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$546	281	408	-128	Yes	+$59	01-07 04:06
highest temperature in ankara on january 29 10c	3	$515	189	374	-185	No	+$40	01-29 13:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 13c	2	$512	286	286	+0	No	+$60	03-20 04:00
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$497	535	535	+0	No	-$113	02-02 13:27
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 10c	17	$493	741	741	+0	No	+$142	03-10 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	20	$475	340	340	+0	No	+$62	10-06 06:49
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 14 2026 27corbelow	8	$440	293	203	+90	No	-$17	02-14 16:45
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 10c	14	$417	278	278	+0	No	+$84	03-06 11:31
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	6	$401	1,620	1,620	+0	No	-$85	03-12 17:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	5	$397	230	230	+0	Yes	-$13	03-08 04:12
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	7	$395	335	286	+48	No	-$26	03-30 12:51
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	19	$393	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	-$113	01-10 15:25
highest temperature in ankara on january 28 8c	2	$386	175	245	-70	No	+$29	01-28 11:58
highest temperature in seoul on january 23 neg 2c	8	$382	286	286	+0	No	+$50	01-23 09:16
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	2	$378	250	250	+0	Yes	+$112	01-17 16:40
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$361	500	1,082	-582	No	+$161	01-24 06:59
highest temperature in lucknow on april 7 2026 33corbelow	5	$353	688	0	+688	No	+$335	04-07 09:21
highest temperature in lucknow on march 27 2026 32corbelow	14	$338	252	252	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 07:37
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	9	$336	255	255	+0	No	-$22	03-16 05:53
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	9	$336	325	325	-0	Yes	+$216	03-25 06:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 11c	20	$323	10,404	1,397	+9,007	No	-$142	03-17 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	11	$322	314	314	+0	Yes	+$266	08-16 07:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	31	$319	1,179	1,164	+14	Yes	-$234	04-08 07:58
highest temperature in lucknow on march 12 2026 35corbelow	10	$317	252	252	+0	Yes	-$68	03-12 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x8b4331…
10-28 05:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0x45b3b0…
10-28 05:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$4	0xa787c6…
10-28 05:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xca775a…
10-28 05:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x51ddb9…
10-28 05:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x56d0fc…
10-28 05:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xc741ef…
10-28 05:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3a6600…
10-28 05:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x763718…
10-28 05:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9ad33b…
10-28 05:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xec1fc4…
10-28 05:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb60a1a…
10-28 04:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xdd7dac…
10-28 04:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc4a81f…
10-28 04:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x13c6c9…
10-28 04:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe589b5…
10-28 04:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xee8c14…
10-28 04:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xd52ddc…
10-28 04:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x207d24…
10-28 04:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xf373ef…
10-28 04:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x355f2e…
10-28 04:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x929700…
10-28 04:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	69	96¢	$66	0xf86eaf…
10-28 04:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xb9bacc…
10-28 04:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x9c3cb0…
10-28 03:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xaa4dc4…
10-28 03:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	56	47¢	$27	0xead7dd…
10-28 03:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xb92db1…
10-28 03:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x10893e…
10-28 03:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x3266f1…
10-28 03:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaebb37…
10-28 03:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc1279d…
10-28 03:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4a2495…
10-28 03:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x01f66e…
10-28 03:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0x60610a…
10-28 03:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xb21c80…
10-28 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa7fe74…
10-28 02:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x7e2bcc…
10-28 02:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xa4b3cf…
10-28 02:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x601dd0…
10-28 02:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x8832a0…
10-28 02:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x1a398b…
10-28 02:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0x20ee0b…
10-28 02:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x792d60…
10-28 02:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	80	84¢	$67	0x1e6445…
10-28 02:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa8136e…
10-28 01:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x87afd9…
10-28 01:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x7675ef…
10-27 16:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x5619d3…
10-27 16:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x2a85dc…
10-27 15:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0xf35010…
10-27 15:22:51	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x316d91…
10-27 13:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x8014ac…
10-27 13:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x4efdca…
10-27 13:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x0f3b68…
10-27 13:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x819284…
10-27 13:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x1e8af2…
10-27 13:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xa13197…
10-27 13:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x81b5a0…
10-27 13:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xed615f…
10-27 12:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe2c5d7…
10-27 12:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc9690c…
10-27 12:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0xa174ce…
10-27 11:30:21	Will In-fa become a Super Typhoon?	Yes	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0xc2ba47…
10-27 11:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6af9b7…
10-27 11:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x9b0c40…
10-27 11:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xf6c7ee…
10-27 11:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xe8afdd…
10-27 11:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x4758ed…
10-27 11:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xeb7876…
10-27 11:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0xbb5f77…
10-27 11:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xac43c9…
10-27 11:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x9dc0e9…
10-27 10:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0x82b44d…
10-27 10:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x981f86…
10-27 09:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x9f1929…
10-27 08:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x49b15d…
10-27 06:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x3def61…
10-27 05:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xbc0b48…
10-27 05:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x9bf394…
10-27 05:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xaf9271…
10-27 05:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x9a7670…
10-27 05:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x8291c3…
10-27 05:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x727e80…
10-27 05:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	46	49¢	$23	0x3cb819…
10-27 05:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	32	14¢	$5	0x868c7f…
10-27 04:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xf84dca…
10-27 04:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x20be0b…
10-27 04:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd05c09…
10-27 04:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x12c0b5…
10-27 04:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xbd593c…
10-27 04:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xea8d3b…
10-27 04:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x98e02f…
10-27 04:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0bb479…
10-27 04:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0xfb96f0…
10-27 03:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x41a263…
10-27 03:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x04c630…
10-27 03:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7d9085…
10-27 03:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x490aa2…
10-25 07:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xabf0f3…