Illustrious-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$215

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved (30d)

357

Trades (30d)

1,599

7,546 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$25.6K

$121.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$151

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-15 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Other

88% 45% +$1,362

Sports

9% 48% -$759

Crypto

2% 44% +$254

Politics

1% 75% +$36

Tech

0% 50% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 16?	No	+89	$83	100¢	$88	+$5	11-15 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 15?	No	+55	$51	100¢	$55	+$3	11-15 11:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	+629	$3	1¢	$7	+$4	11-15 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	+277	$8	0¢	$0	-$7	11-15 09:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 15?	Yes	+156	$17	0¢	$0	-$16	11-15 11:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	16	$1.4K	1,890	1,890	+0	Yes	+$126	01-09 06:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	13	$969	967	967	+0	Yes	+$647	03-09 07:21
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 17c	4	$708	372	372	-0	No	+$36	03-29 05:55
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$700	525	525	+0	Yes	-$16	01-28 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	6	$680	347	347	+0	No	+$13	11-09 03:03
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 8corhigher	25	$678	487	484	+3	No	-$21	03-10 06:25
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 17c	5	$572	606	0	+606	No	+$34	04-11 02:23
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$546	281	408	-128	Yes	+$59	01-07 04:06
highest temperature in ankara on january 29 10c	3	$515	189	374	-185	No	+$40	01-29 13:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 13c	2	$512	286	286	+0	No	+$60	03-20 04:00
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$497	535	535	+0	No	-$113	02-02 13:27
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 10c	17	$493	741	741	+0	No	+$142	03-10 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	20	$475	340	340	+0	No	+$62	10-06 06:49
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 14 2026 27corbelow	8	$440	293	203	+90	No	-$17	02-14 16:45
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 10c	14	$417	278	278	+0	No	+$84	03-06 11:31
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	6	$401	1,620	1,620	+0	No	-$85	03-12 17:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	5	$397	230	230	+0	Yes	-$13	03-08 04:12
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	7	$395	335	286	+48	No	-$26	03-30 12:51
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	19	$393	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	-$113	01-10 15:25
highest temperature in ankara on january 28 8c	2	$386	175	245	-70	No	+$29	01-28 11:58
highest temperature in seoul on january 23 neg 2c	8	$382	286	286	+0	No	+$50	01-23 09:16
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	2	$378	250	250	+0	Yes	+$112	01-17 16:40
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$361	500	1,082	-582	No	+$161	01-24 06:59
highest temperature in lucknow on april 7 2026 33corbelow	5	$353	688	0	+688	No	+$335	04-07 09:21
highest temperature in lucknow on march 27 2026 32corbelow	14	$338	252	252	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 07:37
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	9	$336	255	255	+0	No	-$22	03-16 05:53
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	9	$336	325	325	-0	Yes	+$216	03-25 06:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 11c	20	$323	10,404	1,397	+9,007	No	-$142	03-17 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	11	$322	314	314	+0	Yes	+$266	08-16 07:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	31	$319	1,179	1,164	+14	Yes	-$234	04-08 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 15:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 16?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x022276…
11-15 15:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 16?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb780b7…
11-15 15:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 16?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xf31203…
11-15 11:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x07e706…
11-15 11:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 15?	No	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0x8ed75f…
11-15 11:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 15?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x25e1ce…
11-15 11:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 15?	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x64106b…
11-15 11:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 15?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x31ed3d…
11-15 11:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xaa2b05…
11-15 10:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xd32c6f…
11-15 10:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4fe841…
11-15 10:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	SELL	68	95¢	$65	0xa8a411…
11-15 10:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 15?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x999f0f…
11-15 10:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xebdfa7…
11-15 09:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x715dfc…
11-15 09:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x012042…
11-15 09:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5dea02…
11-15 09:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xbcdaf7…
11-15 09:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5e6f90…
11-15 09:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x325512…
11-15 08:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x54d55d…
11-15 08:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7d7a3c…
11-15 08:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x65ee2f…
11-15 08:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x769d23…
11-15 07:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0xedcd49…
11-15 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0xf775a6…
11-15 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0xe098ce…
11-15 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xc9f7cd…
11-15 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x257907…
11-15 07:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	73	15¢	$11	0xbc7725…
11-15 07:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0xa8979d…
11-15 07:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x40ddcf…
11-15 07:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	SELL	51	15¢	$8	0x2863d0…
11-15 06:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x631568…
11-15 06:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x1232d8…
11-15 06:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xa7cc3f…
11-15 06:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6f3286…
11-15 06:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb7b96d…
11-15 06:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	25	26¢	$7	0x104544…
11-15 06:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x4d7fcd…
11-15 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	68	26¢	$18	0x996030…
11-15 06:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xeaef9a…
11-15 05:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0x6893d5…
11-15 05:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	91	39¢	$36	0x1420e1…
11-15 05:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbecd45…
11-15 05:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x251881…
11-15 05:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x347df2…
11-15 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf559d8…
11-15 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6d8eb6…
11-15 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6cc6f5…
11-15 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x121995…
11-15 05:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x498d53…
11-15 04:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x566c33…
11-15 04:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x438713…
11-15 04:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xc2ea0b…
11-15 04:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8efa3d…
11-15 04:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x9e48ee…
11-15 04:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xbf3c5e…
11-15 04:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc06ef4…
11-15 04:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0x5ffe92…
11-15 04:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 15?	No	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0xcbbfb9…
11-15 04:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 15?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xbbc4fe…
11-15 04:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe7ae38…
11-15 04:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x6ee26c…
11-15 04:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x400004…
11-15 04:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$2	0x9e0b3c…
11-15 04:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x87a3dc…
11-15 04:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x6a77e5…
11-15 04:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0x56fdc5…
11-15 04:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 15?	Yes	BUY	146	11¢	$15	0x349b29…
11-15 04:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0x68c6f3…
11-15 04:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 15?	No	SELL	31	25¢	$8	0xb0a223…
11-15 04:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 15?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x84545f…
11-15 04:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 15?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xfbb2ae…
11-15 03:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xca4827…
11-15 03:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xb07c34…
11-15 03:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 15?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x457fcd…
11-15 03:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x4e6ef7…
11-15 03:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6c6836…
11-15 03:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x02087f…
11-15 03:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5bc3e3…
11-15 03:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 15?	No	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xfb78ac…
11-15 03:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 15?	No	SELL	27	61¢	$16	0xa9eb25…
11-15 03:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 15?	No	SELL	28	60¢	$17	0x3184ba…
11-15 03:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on November 15?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x8d582c…
11-15 02:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x6bcb01…
11-15 02:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 15?	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x0a4348…
11-14 14:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0x1ddeca…
11-14 14:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 15?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x2f2ae4…
11-14 10:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 14?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xf28bb2…
11-14 10:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 14?	No	SELL	83	95¢	$79	0xd25af0…
11-14 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on November 14?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x94e2d1…
11-14 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on November 14?	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0x6bc06e…
11-14 10:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 14?	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x0167ea…
11-14 10:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 14?	No	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x784710…
11-14 10:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 14?	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x0b315d…
11-14 07:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x3bd397…
11-14 07:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$9	0x1a0ce4…
11-14 07:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x26a3e8…
11-14 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x69af28…