Illustrious-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$125

Unrealized P&L

+$74

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

325

6,811 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.91K

$110.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$269

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Other

87% 45% +$1,157

Sports

10% 48% -$727

Crypto

2% 44% +$254

Politics

1% 75% +$36

Tech

0% 50% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 6?	No	+85	$69	82¢	$70	+$1	11-05 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	No	+68	$61	86¢	$58	-$2	11-05 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 6?	No	+70	$43	60¢	$42	-$1	11-05 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	No	+46	$42	90¢	$41	$0	11-05 16:59
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	+50	$36	72¢	$36	+$0	10-24 03:24
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	+26	-$55	86¢	$22	+$77	11-05 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	16	$1.4K	1,890	1,890	+0	Yes	+$126	01-09 06:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	13	$969	967	967	+0	Yes	+$647	03-09 07:21
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 17c	4	$708	372	372	-0	No	+$36	03-29 05:55
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$700	525	525	+0	Yes	-$16	01-28 11:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 8corhigher	25	$678	487	484	+3	No	-$21	03-10 06:25
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 17c	5	$572	606	0	+606	No	+$34	04-11 02:23
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$546	281	408	-128	Yes	+$59	01-07 04:06
highest temperature in ankara on january 29 10c	3	$515	189	374	-185	No	+$40	01-29 13:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 13c	2	$512	286	286	+0	No	+$60	03-20 04:00
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$497	535	535	+0	No	-$113	02-02 13:27
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 10c	17	$493	741	741	+0	No	+$142	03-10 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	20	$475	340	340	+0	No	+$62	10-06 06:49
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 14 2026 27corbelow	8	$440	293	203	+90	No	-$17	02-14 16:45
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 10c	14	$417	278	278	+0	No	+$84	03-06 11:31
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	6	$401	1,620	1,620	+0	No	-$85	03-12 17:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	5	$397	230	230	+0	Yes	-$13	03-08 04:12
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	7	$395	335	286	+48	No	-$26	03-30 12:51
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	19	$393	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	-$113	01-10 15:25
highest temperature in ankara on january 28 8c	2	$386	175	245	-70	No	+$29	01-28 11:58
highest temperature in seoul on january 23 neg 2c	8	$382	286	286	+0	No	+$50	01-23 09:16
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	2	$378	250	250	+0	Yes	+$112	01-17 16:40
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$361	500	1,082	-582	No	+$161	01-24 06:59
highest temperature in lucknow on april 7 2026 33corbelow	5	$353	688	0	+688	No	+$335	04-07 09:21
highest temperature in lucknow on march 27 2026 32corbelow	14	$338	252	252	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 07:37
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	9	$336	255	255	+0	No	-$22	03-16 05:53
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	9	$336	325	325	-0	Yes	+$216	03-25 06:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 11c	20	$323	10,404	1,397	+9,007	No	-$142	03-17 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	11	$322	314	314	+0	Yes	+$266	08-16 07:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	31	$319	1,179	1,164	+14	Yes	-$234	04-08 07:58
highest temperature in lucknow on march 12 2026 35corbelow	10	$317	252	252	+0	Yes	-$68	03-12 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 16:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x9a9d81…
11-05 16:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 6?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x6eb163…
11-05 16:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0xdf240b…
11-05 16:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 6?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0xb877b2…
11-05 16:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 7?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xf5b1c0…
11-05 16:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 6?	No	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0xa4c95a…
11-05 15:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x1313ef…
11-05 15:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xafd61a…
11-05 14:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9563aa…
11-05 14:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xfa0ed2…
11-05 14:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2006c8…
11-05 14:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x10b781…
11-05 14:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	SELL	73	16¢	$12	0xda9028…
11-05 14:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xe8f35b…
11-05 14:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x35d46a…
11-05 14:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x23b0c9…
11-05 14:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$43	0x2c53c4…
11-05 14:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xed48e9…
11-05 14:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x9178ce…
11-05 13:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	No	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x5b9e08…
11-05 12:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0x8efecb…
11-05 12:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xfd8302…
11-05 12:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xa9590e…
11-05 12:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	46	60¢	$27	0xc9e68e…
11-05 12:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 5?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x0f2e39…
11-05 10:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0xca1e8f…
11-05 10:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$1	0x0baf7e…
11-05 10:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc3efb7…
11-05 09:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?	No	SELL	21	55¢	$11	0xbde4a7…
11-05 09:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc272a2…
11-05 09:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3c61b1…
11-05 09:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb96723…
11-05 09:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x0fd00e…
11-05 09:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc5c608…
11-05 09:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$0	0xd26de7…
11-05 09:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$0	0x6aec17…
11-05 09:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xd6efb0…
11-05 09:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x1b8a74…
11-05 09:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x11674b…
11-05 09:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 5?	No	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0xadf42e…
11-05 09:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?	No	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x69e0d8…
11-05 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8dd9df…
11-05 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8ceb59…
11-05 08:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	58	36¢	$21	0xf9d013…
11-05 08:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x060604…
11-05 08:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x05e3f1…
11-05 08:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xedbfe6…
11-05 08:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x15c168…
11-05 08:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x076685…
11-05 08:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	91	7¢	$6	0xacc756…
11-05 08:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	236	2¢	$4	0xec729c…
11-05 08:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x1454d7…
11-05 07:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	SELL	103	6¢	$6	0xcf9a8a…
11-05 07:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xa51536…
11-05 07:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0xba12b0…
11-05 07:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x52a363…
11-05 06:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	18	58¢	$10	0x1720fb…
11-05 06:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb9cea4…
11-05 06:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x07a631…
11-05 06:34:40	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xa906f7…
11-05 06:34:40	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x8f2bda…
11-05 06:34:40	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x2d65eb…
11-05 06:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xbba711…
11-05 06:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x715e2b…
11-05 05:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x55c1b3…
11-05 05:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e51a1…
11-05 05:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 5?	No	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xd9b4d8…
11-05 05:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8a6485…
11-05 04:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 5?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x61a001…
11-05 04:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x34d7d9…
11-05 04:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 5?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa0ec2c…
11-05 04:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 5?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xd840aa…
11-05 04:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?	No	BUY	39	79¢	$30	0xf9b38f…
11-05 04:25:00	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xc699a2…
11-05 04:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd9852a…
11-05 04:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x7cce31…
11-05 04:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xd01f0d…
11-05 04:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 5?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x4acab0…
11-05 04:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x55a50d…
11-05 04:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 5?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x11e512…
11-05 03:43:36	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xbddcd4…
11-05 02:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 5?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x15313a…
11-05 02:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	61	93¢	$57	0x117ad4…
11-05 02:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 5?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x46ecd2…
11-05 02:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x60a074…
11-05 02:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	35	67¢	$23	0xfcc598…
11-05 00:53:55	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8a6d74…
11-04 15:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 4?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xca7f22…
11-04 15:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 5?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xb1603f…
11-04 15:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xd45d1e…
11-04 14:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 4?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x312e19…
11-04 13:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 4?	No	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0x1a3bfd…
11-04 13:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 4?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x479d62…
11-04 13:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0xb7d1e2…
11-04 13:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0xe157a3…
11-04 13:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0x3d5d13…
11-04 13:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	SELL	92	95¢	$87	0x16fcf1…
11-04 13:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x1811a1…
11-04 13:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xc50842…
11-04 13:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xb54ccf…