Illustrious-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$330

Unrealized P&L

+$108

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved (90d)

766

Trades (90d)

3,368

7,395 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$43.3K

$119.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$392

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Other

88% 45% +$1,168

Sports

10% 47% -$783

Crypto

2% 44% +$254

Politics

1% 75% +$36

Tech

0% 50% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	+74	$52	95¢	$71	+$19	11-11 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 14?	No	+60	$46	100¢	$60	+$14	11-13 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 13?	No	+63	$42	92¢	$58	+$16	11-13 15:36
Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	+70	$51	72¢	$50	-$1	11-13 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 13?	No	+49	$35	73¢	$35	+$1	11-13 15:11
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)	Bulls	+50	$27	56¢	$28	+$1	11-13 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 14?	No	+33	$29	82¢	$27	-$2	11-13 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 13?	Yes	+40	$9	60¢	$24	+$15	11-13 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	+71	$21	28¢	$20	-$1	11-13 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 14?	Yes	+120	$15	14¢	$16	+$2	11-13 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 14?	Yes	+89	$2	3¢	$3	+$1	11-13 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	+211	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-13 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 13?	Yes	+129	$3	0¢	$0	-$2	11-13 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	+0	-$32	100¢	$0	+$32	11-13 13:50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	+0	-$19	57¢	$0	+$19	11-13 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	16	$1.4K	1,890	1,890	+0	Yes	+$126	01-09 06:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	13	$969	967	967	+0	Yes	+$647	03-09 07:21
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 17c	4	$708	372	372	-0	No	+$36	03-29 05:55
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$700	525	525	+0	Yes	-$16	01-28 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?	6	$680	347	347	+0	No	+$13	11-09 03:03
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 8corhigher	25	$678	487	484	+3	No	-$21	03-10 06:25
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 17c	5	$572	606	0	+606	No	+$34	04-11 02:23
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$546	281	408	-128	Yes	+$59	01-07 04:06
highest temperature in ankara on january 29 10c	3	$515	189	374	-185	No	+$40	01-29 13:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 13c	2	$512	286	286	+0	No	+$60	03-20 04:00
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$497	535	535	+0	No	-$113	02-02 13:27
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 10c	17	$493	741	741	+0	No	+$142	03-10 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	20	$475	340	340	+0	No	+$62	10-06 06:49
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 14 2026 27corbelow	8	$440	293	203	+90	No	-$17	02-14 16:45
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 10c	14	$417	278	278	+0	No	+$84	03-06 11:31
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	6	$401	1,620	1,620	+0	No	-$85	03-12 17:53
highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	5	$397	230	230	+0	Yes	-$13	03-08 04:12
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	7	$395	335	286	+48	No	-$26	03-30 12:51
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	19	$393	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	-$113	01-10 15:25
highest temperature in ankara on january 28 8c	2	$386	175	245	-70	No	+$29	01-28 11:58
highest temperature in seoul on january 23 neg 2c	8	$382	286	286	+0	No	+$50	01-23 09:16
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	2	$378	250	250	+0	Yes	+$112	01-17 16:40
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$361	500	1,082	-582	No	+$161	01-24 06:59
highest temperature in lucknow on april 7 2026 33corbelow	5	$353	688	0	+688	No	+$335	04-07 09:21
highest temperature in lucknow on march 27 2026 32corbelow	14	$338	252	252	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 07:37
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	9	$336	255	255	+0	No	-$22	03-16 05:53
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	9	$336	325	325	-0	Yes	+$216	03-25 06:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 11c	20	$323	10,404	1,397	+9,007	No	-$142	03-17 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	11	$322	314	314	+0	Yes	+$266	08-16 07:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 8 2026 17c	31	$319	1,179	1,164	+14	Yes	-$234	04-08 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x796619…
11-13 15:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x1089fe…
11-13 15:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	45	68¢	$30	0x745f77…
11-13 15:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x748edd…
11-13 15:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x452b67…
11-13 15:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 14?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$39	0x00a5f1…
11-13 15:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 14?	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x347407…
11-13 15:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x6a3bea…
11-13 15:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0xccd6de…
11-13 15:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	120	12¢	$15	0xbfb812…
11-13 15:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 14?	No	BUY	48	81¢	$39	0x5c14de…
11-13 15:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 13?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x60440c…
11-13 13:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeff7f0…
11-13 13:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xad8b04…
11-13 13:34:04	Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0x20a7e4…
11-13 13:33:34	Spread: Hawks (-8.5)	Bulls	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xea02b3…
11-13 13:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 14?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xd4dc58…
11-13 13:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x9e9f66…
11-13 13:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	74	95¢	$70	0x30e9f4…
11-13 12:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x877c7b…
11-13 12:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xf6fabc…
11-13 12:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xee1543…
11-13 12:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xe9352f…
11-13 12:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x273338…
11-13 12:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xdca48f…
11-13 12:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xddf0f8…
11-13 12:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb2f272…
11-13 12:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xa59ccf…
11-13 12:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x585d07…
11-13 12:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe0645e…
11-13 12:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0xf86ec3…
11-13 12:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa3e221…
11-13 12:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	138	90¢	$124	0x22e9d0…
11-13 10:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 13?	No	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x9c9913…
11-13 10:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x1e40a0…
11-13 10:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x995147…
11-13 09:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x4a128c…
11-13 09:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 13?	No	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x32fa99…
11-13 09:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 13?	No	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0xc4066c…
11-13 09:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	88	5¢	$5	0x22dd8e…
11-13 09:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x0185c7…
11-13 09:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x5a14c6…
11-13 08:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3e7f41…
11-13 08:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$0	0x2295c4…
11-13 08:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc8519c…
11-13 08:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	56	19¢	$10	0x78472c…
11-13 08:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 13?	No	BUY	86	68¢	$58	0xf8fd93…
11-13 07:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbd15c5…
11-13 07:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x9ad8f3…
11-13 07:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xf249c1…
11-13 07:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 13?	No	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x6e6d5c…
11-13 07:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	58	22¢	$13	0xc7fb72…
11-13 07:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xa6e9fb…
11-13 07:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xdff535…
11-13 07:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xf96e5e…
11-13 07:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x3ebfcf…
11-13 07:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0x28a54e…
11-13 07:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd759ec…
11-13 07:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x8c8be5…
11-13 07:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x335b7c…
11-13 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xf7435c…
11-13 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xdc2c20…
11-13 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x7e7c33…
11-13 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x2bc086…
11-13 07:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x0145fa…
11-13 07:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x861a75…
11-13 07:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9015f0…
11-13 07:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xd830a0…
11-13 07:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x29e19a…
11-13 07:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x1bcd88…
11-13 07:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x15e4c2…
11-13 07:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x11c8c1…
11-13 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xb4c351…
11-13 06:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc6c37d…
11-13 06:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x6b457d…
11-13 06:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x433364…
11-13 06:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0x6497dd…
11-13 06:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 13?	No	BUY	70	62¢	$44	0x5131f2…
11-13 06:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xd809be…
11-13 06:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xfb268d…
11-13 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb8e70e…
11-13 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$2	0x9fe2c2…
11-13 06:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xaa264a…
11-13 06:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0x5e5dec…
11-13 05:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 13?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xca0d11…
11-13 05:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x1ab067…
11-13 05:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x6943d8…
11-13 05:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 13?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9ab529…
11-13 05:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 13?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xff4a29…
11-13 04:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0x5b4d1c…
11-13 04:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xf29c37…
11-13 04:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xcdc745…
11-13 04:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 13?	No	SELL	46	88¢	$41	0xa64d69…
11-13 04:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x098d59…
11-13 04:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x6e5b21…
11-13 03:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x916b03…
11-13 03:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 13?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$13	0xfa9f0a…
11-13 03:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on November 13?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xbce31a…
11-13 03:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 13?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x8e822b…
11-13 02:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 13?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xdfddac…