Realized P&L
-$4.23K
Unrealized P&L
-$131
Hit rate
50.9%
Resolved
498
Trades
1,340
lifetime
Volume
$37.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$2.28K
17 positions
First seen
2026-10-17
last 10-28 14:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Sports
47% 46% -$2,217
Other
37% 46% +$480
Politics
13% 33% -$2,301
Crypto
3% 32% -$190
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +676 $629 95¢ $642 +$14 10-26 14:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +559 $235 97¢ $545 +$310 10-26 01:20
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +332 $285 82¢ $272 -$13 10-25 12:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +245 $216 97¢ $239 +$23 10-25 20:21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +176 $113 87¢ $153 +$40 10-26 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28? Up +193 $96 73¢ $141 +$44 10-28 14:16
Spread: Hawks (-3.5) Hawks — +199 $92 44¢ $89 -$3 10-28 07:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +77 $69 74¢ $56 -$13 10-22 13:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +95 $47 45¢ $42 -$4 10-28 10:21
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +44 $31 73¢ $32 +$1 10-25 21:12
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +958 $542 3¢ $24 -$518 10-25 20:32
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +59 $9 26¢ $16 +$6 10-22 18:23
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +25 $12 46¢ $12 -$1 10-28 10:21
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +59 $10 18¢ $11 +$1 10-23 12:19
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +29 $10 9¢ $3 -$8 10-24 00:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? Yes +81 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 10-24 15:16
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 10-27 04:42