Waterlogged-Developer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

3,488

Trades

11,892

lifetime

Volume

$7.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-05 03:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

72% 11% +$47

Crypto

25% 15% -$50

Sports

2% 16% -$60

Pop-Culture

1% 7% +$10

Politics

0% 0% -$14

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 355 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	13	$190	200	200	+0	Yes	+$188	05-26 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	10	$170	175	175	+0	Yes	+$165	05-29 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	9	$127	208	128	+80	Yes	+$119	05-29 07:44
winter games 2026 lindsey vonn to medal	4	$106	200	200	+0	No	+$94	02-09 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	5	$91	117	117	+0	Yes	+$87	05-31 07:07
highest temperature in seoul on february 11 2026 4c	7	$88	100	100	+0	Yes	+$86	02-11 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?	9	$81	140	80	+60	Yes	+$74	05-27 06:07
will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	4	$77	100	100	+0	No	+$75	03-16 02:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	5	$68	66	66	+0	No	+$62	05-29 17:21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?	3	$61	61	61	+0	Yes	+$59	05-27 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	12	$61	117	57	+60	Yes	+$53	05-28 18:30
highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 18corhigher	6	$54	100	100	+0	No	+$52	03-13 11:39
will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	2	$51	51	51	+0	No	+$50	03-16 02:12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 26?	14	$43	80	40	+40	Yes	+$36	05-26 08:35
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 56 57f	5	$42	50	50	+0	No	+$40	03-17 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	3	$41	40	40	+0	Yes	+$38	06-02 09:32
winter games 2026 athlete to be stripped of medal	5	$40	57	57	+0	No	+$17	02-11 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	2	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	+$39	10-27 13:18
highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 34c	2	$36	35	35	+0	No	+$35	03-17 10:47
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	2	$36	40	40	+0	No	+$31	03-16 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on May 30?	3	$36	104	34	+70	Yes	+$30	05-30 08:12
highest temperature in tokyo on march 15 2026 13c	2	$34	33	33	+0	No	+$32	03-15 07:07
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 82 83f	4	$33	33	33	+0	No	+$31	03-12 21:50
highest temperature in hong kong on april 8 2026 25c	3	$33	3,699	0	+3,699	No	-$33	04-07 21:37
highest temperature in london on march 14 2026 12c	3	$30	33	33	+0	No	+$28	03-14 16:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 14 2026 28c	4	$30	33	33	+0	No	+$28	03-14 20:05
highest temperature in munich on march 16 2026 9c	3	$29	28	28	+0	No	+$27	03-16 13:59
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 21	3	$26	25	25	+0	Yes	+$23	03-22 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on May 30?	4	$25	28	24	+3	No	+$23	05-30 08:16
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 10c	3	$24	25	25	+0	No	+$22	03-10 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 04:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x6f6c99…
11-05 03:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe54500…
11-05 03:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xfc52e1…
11-05 01:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xf9fdc4…
11-05 00:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xa03a57…
11-04 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf1b36c…
11-04 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xbb1a68…
11-04 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x52ad0d…
11-04 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x21477c…
11-04 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x18ed1e…
11-04 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0a6953…
11-04 20:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc16cb7…
11-04 20:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa960af…
11-04 20:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x658bc3…
11-04 20:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x08c559…
11-04 20:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x09cab7…
11-04 18:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x27985a…
11-04 17:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x3bd1a6…
11-04 16:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x64b2dd…
11-04 16:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0xe16257…
11-04 15:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa736d2…
11-04 15:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xabe833…
11-04 15:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x508b15…
11-04 15:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf2df50…
11-04 15:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd6a15d…
11-04 15:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x484bbd…
11-04 15:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xcef3f0…
11-04 15:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x0e3409…
11-04 15:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x149249…
11-04 14:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf7990…
11-04 14:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xebdd46…
11-04 14:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x81915b…
11-04 14:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xe35743…
11-04 14:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xf9fe05…
11-04 14:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x498c5e…
11-04 13:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb50c30…
11-04 13:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x4e80b9…
11-04 13:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x225b2f…
11-04 13:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xe5046f…
11-04 13:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x1a9370…
11-04 13:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xd0be19…
11-04 13:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xa3a70c…
11-04 13:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd6786e…
11-04 13:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x8f3fd5…
11-04 13:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x4611e7…
11-04 13:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb31db5…
11-04 13:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	251	0¢	$1	0xd57003…
11-04 13:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2f6294…
11-04 13:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xf45d08…
11-04 13:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xb29b94…
11-04 13:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xebb30b…
11-04 13:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	185	0¢	$0	0xe86b24…
11-04 13:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x64ea48…
11-04 13:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xc83db8…
11-01 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x413165…
10-31 20:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf1dbcf…
10-31 16:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x36bd75…
10-31 16:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x91a595…
10-31 10:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0x57c32b…
10-31 10:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd752ff…
10-31 10:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x64423b…
10-31 09:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x813d30…
10-31 09:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbaa401…
10-31 09:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc56314…
10-31 08:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe184d2…
10-31 08:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x810410…
10-31 07:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x93c9a6…
10-31 07:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x761c7c…
10-31 07:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x83c22b…
10-31 07:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x54f3a0…
10-31 07:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x69e00f…
10-31 06:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x100eb2…
10-31 06:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xe8462c…
10-31 06:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc13659…
10-31 06:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xafc8b3…
10-31 05:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xeb9bee…
10-31 05:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x48d3e4…
10-31 05:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xd293ab…
10-31 04:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x89ed0e…
10-31 04:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xa2440f…
10-31 04:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x2e1a2c…
10-31 04:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xca0a37…
10-31 04:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xbcb21e…
10-30 23:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcc2e54…
10-30 23:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb248c7…
10-30 18:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x51333e…
10-30 18:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xa08bb3…
10-30 18:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x771970…
10-30 15:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x87f733…
10-30 15:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd48af3…
10-30 15:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfd9e29…
10-30 13:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf3e7ab…
10-30 13:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xe69af1…
10-30 13:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdd4a9e…
10-30 12:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	87	0¢	$0	0x6c2e89…
10-30 12:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xed23a8…
10-30 12:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x762fb5…
10-30 12:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xadf364…
10-30 12:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf1a93…
10-30 12:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6ba7b6…