Waterlogged-Hubcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

149

Trades

690

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-27 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

46% 95% -$11

Politics

31% 55% -$157

Tech

22% 80% +$156

Sports

0% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	37	$3.2K	2,665	2,065	+600	No	-$29	06-24 16:54
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	6	$1.6K	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	+$260	06-12 11:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	4	$1.4K	706	706	+0	No	+$59	08-01 07:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	2	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$41	07-25 04:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$1.3K	711	711	+0	No	-$43	07-25 07:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	18	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$27	06-19 15:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	-$24	06-16 03:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$48	06-17 18:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	12	$758	434	434	+0	No	+$102	06-22 20:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$705	775	0	+775	Yes	-$705	08-01 09:11
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$696	610	610	+0	No	-$20	03-23 03:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$657	365	365	+0	No	+$73	06-01 03:58
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$509	632	632	+0	Yes	+$90	03-22 18:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$363	186	186	+0	No	+$8	04-28 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 26?	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	10-26 16:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	13	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	10-26 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 27?	13	$197	99	99	+0	open	—	10-26 06:58
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	4	$194	101	95	+6	open	—	10-27 08:06
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$181	0	211	-211	No	+$181	05-01 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 28?	3	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	10-27 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 28?	4	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	10-27 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?	2	$145	86	60	+26	open	—	10-27 04:45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 28?	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	10-26 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 27?	7	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	10-26 08:41
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	7	$128	451	451	+0	No	-$2	07-21 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 27?	5	$117	59	59	+0	open	—	10-26 21:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	19	$109	5,276	2,026	+3,250	Yes	-$39	06-17 20:10
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 18	2	$109	60	60	+0	No	+$8	06-18 03:50
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$106	720	720	+0	No	-$38	04-13 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 27?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x7019f7…
10-27 09:56:14	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb2697…
10-27 09:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xf41e7c…
10-27 09:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x0efa57…
10-27 08:30:20	highest temperature in warsaw on october 29 2026 8c	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x0fc392…
10-27 08:25:03	lowest temperature in miami on october 29 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8d9b3a…
10-27 08:25:02	lowest temperature in miami on october 29 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x182b12…
10-27 08:25:00	highest temperature in chicago on october 29 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x302de4…
10-27 08:08:56	highest temperature in ankara on october 29 2026 18c	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x87983a…
10-27 08:06:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1f73ea…
10-27 07:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1f62e0…
10-27 07:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x60962c…
10-27 07:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x076ee7…
10-27 07:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 5°C or below on October 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfb882d…
10-27 07:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 15°C or higher on October 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x94431a…
10-27 07:06:56	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xdfd3c0…
10-27 07:03:53	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7b44ea…
10-27 05:35:33	highest temperature in singapore on october 29 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x329ee8…
10-27 05:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 28?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xc9b162…
10-27 05:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x685ce0…
10-27 05:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 28?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xec62a7…
10-27 05:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 28?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc21cd8…
10-27 05:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 28?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x04987f…
10-27 05:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$96	0xde0b72…
10-27 05:15:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12c763…
10-27 05:07:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on October 27?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x487c39…
10-27 05:03:35	lowest temperature in warsaw on october 29 2026 2c	No	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0x696678…
10-27 04:51:45	lowest temperature in seoul on october 29 2026 5corbelow	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xf7d6d9…
10-27 04:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x95927f…
10-27 04:26:11	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 15°C or higher on October 28?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf2ed98…
10-27 02:02:29	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0eb76e…
10-27 02:01:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x749a8f…
10-27 01:03:02	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd65f77…
10-27 01:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0x57f187…
10-27 00:55:36	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5740aa…
10-27 00:50:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on October 28?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x74081e…
10-26 22:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x33391d…
10-26 22:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x802daf…
10-26 22:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x82631d…
10-26 22:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb99e57…
10-26 22:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x842e15…
10-26 21:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xba6e5a…
10-26 21:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7b2821…
10-26 21:32:23	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x00588d…
10-26 21:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8db4ad…
10-26 21:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b1764…
10-26 21:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x176174…
10-26 21:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xebd186…
10-26 20:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$96	0xe9c5c7…
10-26 20:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x6ed7b8…
10-26 20:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$96	0xd1c099…
10-26 20:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1457fc…
10-26 20:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xb3a83c…
10-26 20:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbf2c4f…
10-26 19:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x307d12…
10-26 19:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x25263a…
10-26 19:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd38d41…
10-26 19:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x321772…
10-26 19:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xe60553…
10-26 18:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x50014e…
10-26 17:58:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x115a96…
10-26 17:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x36b038…
10-26 16:59:38	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0xd6f13f…
10-26 16:15:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe5b711…
10-26 16:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 26?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x333f51…
10-26 15:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 73°F or below on October 28?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xea9bc2…
10-26 15:51:33	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe231c2…
10-26 15:28:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9a874f…
10-26 15:08:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0232b7…
10-26 15:06:41	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x190909…
10-26 15:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on October 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x674219…
10-26 14:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 26?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xdc526e…
10-26 14:42:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$96	0xb8cb25…
10-26 14:29:59	highest temperature in toronto on october 28 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x674afe…
10-26 13:48:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd1f5f3…
10-26 13:48:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc81190…
10-26 13:48:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6384a0…
10-26 13:48:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x45c927…
10-26 13:41:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x994502…
10-26 13:21:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd61fdb…
10-26 13:21:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdc7ec…
10-26 13:18:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0xa09622…
10-26 13:15:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x45efc6…
10-26 13:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x914a79…
10-26 12:59:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6e1adf…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x93db47…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x938c31…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8e72d6…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x83060f…
10-26 12:59:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x38f573…
10-26 12:56:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d0879…
10-26 12:56:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x27c19d…
10-26 11:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7277be…
10-26 11:36:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x801889…
10-26 10:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x96b721…
10-26 10:34:50	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on October 27?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x6555ba…
10-26 10:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 27?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc3cbad…
10-26 10:10:50	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x724c54…
10-26 10:10:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd464b7…
10-26 10:10:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on October 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6bd1b…