Waterlogged-Hubcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

342

Trades

1,398

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-02 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

72% 98% -$8

Politics

16% 55% -$157

Tech

12% 80% +$156

Sports

0% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	37	$3.2K	2,665	2,065	+600	No	-$29	06-24 16:54
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	6	$1.6K	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	+$260	06-12 11:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	4	$1.4K	706	706	+0	No	+$59	08-01 07:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	2	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$41	07-25 04:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$1.3K	711	711	+0	No	-$43	07-25 07:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	18	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$27	06-19 15:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	-$24	06-16 03:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$48	06-17 18:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	12	$758	434	434	+0	No	+$102	06-22 20:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$705	775	0	+775	Yes	-$705	08-01 09:11
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$696	610	610	+0	No	-$20	03-23 03:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$657	365	365	+0	No	+$73	06-01 03:58
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$509	632	632	+0	Yes	+$90	03-22 18:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$363	186	186	+0	No	+$8	04-28 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	10-31 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?	4	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	11-01 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on November 1?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	11-01 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	11-01 11:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	8	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2?	4	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	11-02 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	9	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	11-01 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 2?	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	11-02 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31?	6	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 04:33
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?	3	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	11-02 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 13:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xef58e4…
11-02 12:56:54	highest temperature in san francisco on november 4 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd278a5…
11-02 12:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on November 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad2883…
11-02 12:56:34	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on November 3?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x03c620…
11-02 12:56:18	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be -1°C on November 4?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x575982…
11-02 12:55:57	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8174a2…
11-02 12:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 4?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x61770e…
11-02 12:07:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 3?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x1628c6…
11-02 11:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on November 4?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe00a16…
11-02 11:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 2?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x290712…
11-02 10:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x8504ec…
11-02 10:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 3?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1652b5…
11-02 10:03:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 3?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x38c763…
11-02 09:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on November 3?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa0cbb8…
11-02 08:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6460ac…
11-02 08:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x89a18d…
11-02 08:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x23216a…
11-02 08:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb2b634…
11-02 08:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd9a660…
11-02 08:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4937f2…
11-02 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8b6d58…
11-02 08:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa27ecd…
11-02 07:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc37ee8…
11-02 07:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 2?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x9bf642…
11-02 07:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd9bd7e…
11-02 07:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x481a28…
11-02 07:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x03c3d7…
11-02 07:10:45	highest temperature in munich on november 4 2026 5c	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9dd2d8…
11-02 07:01:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 2?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb95f53…
11-02 07:00:51	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on November 2?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5f8632…
11-02 06:51:09	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x99d307…
11-02 06:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb290f1…
11-02 06:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xa06f72…
11-02 06:01:24	highest temperature in helsinki on november 4 2026 1corbelow	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x336b5e…
11-02 05:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4f2a5c…
11-02 05:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x3d9723…
11-02 05:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc05048…
11-02 05:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on November 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x961f2f…
11-02 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x4f7639…
11-02 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on November 3?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x08a053…
11-02 03:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 2?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x39cf44…
11-02 02:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0cd02c…
11-02 02:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7b71f8…
11-02 00:48:39	highest temperature in mexico city on november 3 2026 25c	No	BUY	91	98¢	$90	0x79694c…
11-02 00:00:40	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 2?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x5f6b79…
11-01 23:46:28	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xc30b82…
11-01 23:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1e7869…
11-01 23:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1facbf…
11-01 23:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x176539…
11-01 23:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x47bbbd…
11-01 23:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xba00da…
11-01 22:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd87c25…
11-01 22:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd456b4…
11-01 22:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5f8eb6…
11-01 22:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x164026…
11-01 22:08:21	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x93788b…
11-01 21:21:28	highest temperature in seattle on november 3 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8bb016…
11-01 21:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on November 1?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb307ff…
11-01 21:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x2cbd41…
11-01 20:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x849cf5…
11-01 19:57:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on November 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x549678…
11-01 19:57:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 2?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3f0142…
11-01 19:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x845f56…
11-01 19:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on November 3?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe00401…
11-01 19:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe9de0c…
11-01 19:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 69°F or below on November 3?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0xb5f29c…
11-01 19:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on November 3?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x78b139…
11-01 19:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 3?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc9835c…
11-01 19:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0e21f9…
11-01 19:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4daa98…
11-01 19:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C on November 2?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x26b1ff…
11-01 19:08:22	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C on November 2?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4e8462…
11-01 19:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x01c844…
11-01 18:57:18	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C on November 2?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x066061…
11-01 18:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7fe343…
11-01 18:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 3?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$100	0xfd16f8…
11-01 18:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on November 3?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x83c8c1…
11-01 17:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xc9508d…
11-01 17:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81a279…
11-01 17:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 2?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xda529d…
11-01 17:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf4d54d…
11-01 17:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x99c8d8…
11-01 17:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf61621…
11-01 17:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe453a…
11-01 17:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x84d3ee…
11-01 17:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x783ba6…
11-01 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc7a015…
11-01 16:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x83063e…
11-01 16:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on November 1?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x12330f…
11-01 16:00:34	highest temperature in toronto on november 3 2026 18c	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xbfab61…
11-01 15:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9c1362…
11-01 15:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xbb2ec9…
11-01 15:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x863188…
11-01 15:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x304c17…
11-01 15:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9e6bbc…
11-01 15:38:18	highest temperature in los angeles on november 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6da7c2…
11-01 15:36:31	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 0°C on November 1?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x894c38…
11-01 15:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0eb7f1…
11-01 15:17:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa5f26f…
11-01 15:05:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on November 1?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe6f0aa…