Waterlogged-Hubcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved (7d)

221

Trades (7d)

803

1,209 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$25.4K

$46.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-31 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

67% 97% +$9

Politics

19% 55% -$157

Tech

14% 80% +$156

Sports

0% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	37	$3.2K	2,665	2,065	+600	No	-$29	06-24 16:54
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	6	$1.6K	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	+$260	06-12 11:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	4	$1.4K	706	706	+0	No	+$59	08-01 07:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	2	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$41	07-25 04:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$1.3K	711	711	+0	No	-$43	07-25 07:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	18	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$27	06-19 15:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	-$24	06-16 03:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$48	06-17 18:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	12	$758	434	434	+0	No	+$102	06-22 20:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$705	775	0	+775	Yes	-$705	08-01 09:11
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$696	610	610	+0	No	-$20	03-23 03:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$657	365	365	+0	No	+$73	06-01 03:58
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$509	632	632	+0	Yes	+$90	03-22 18:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$363	186	186	+0	No	+$8	04-28 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	10-31 06:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	8	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-31 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31?	6	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-30 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 04:33
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 23:52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 30?	7	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-29 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	9	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	12	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	3	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	10-30 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 30?	6	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	10-30 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	4	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	10-31 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 31?	3	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	10-31 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 30?	6	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	10-29 07:24
highest temperature in moscow on october 31 2026 7c	12	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	10-31 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 30?	6	$201	101	101	+0	Yes	+$1	10-30 04:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x92d4bb…
10-31 15:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xa799fe…
10-31 15:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6eb2d8…
10-31 15:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe87768…
10-31 15:52:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4ed4c4…
10-31 15:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x09f4f5…
10-31 14:39:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5e5972…
10-31 13:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x5192ff…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdb4a91…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd3cecb…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xac047d…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6ccbb7…
10-31 13:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x301a9a…
10-31 13:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1f0d20…
10-31 13:34:12	highest temperature in mexico city on november 2 2026 22c	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaa1b6d…
10-31 13:27:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x48f2f3…
10-31 13:22:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d5489…
10-31 13:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x389be1…
10-31 13:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x19748a…
10-31 13:06:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4af440…
10-31 12:48:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x0f2a85…
10-31 12:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdf3a2c…
10-31 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd516a3…
10-31 11:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf85f3d…
10-31 11:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1060e7…
10-31 10:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x868e55…
10-31 10:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x49b877…
10-31 10:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5aba92…
10-31 09:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xbe8164…
10-31 09:23:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc9c2d…
10-31 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9bedb5…
10-31 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7aac95…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9cfb42…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3b44ec…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x36e636…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1f8fe4…
10-31 08:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x520f59…
10-31 08:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0xe80a1e…
10-31 08:40:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb942b9…
10-31 08:17:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xcb0b71…
10-31 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbb01c8…
10-31 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x15bb5a…
10-31 08:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc1aba…
10-31 08:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c8525…
10-31 08:10:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xebc134…
10-31 08:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcb97a9…
10-31 07:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 31?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xb97b1d…
10-31 07:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5d434d…
10-31 07:08:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x90f46c…
10-31 07:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x12484b…
10-31 06:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xca81ef…
10-31 06:35:28	highest temperature in denver on november 1 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x046b20…
10-31 06:32:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd68296…
10-31 06:28:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x41ff4b…
10-31 06:28:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb2d36c…
10-31 05:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe46f3f…
10-31 05:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x07e157…
10-31 05:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd24732…
10-31 05:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8acf61…
10-31 05:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x626b02…
10-31 05:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x35f053…
10-31 05:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x621a3a…
10-31 04:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x24cbc2…
10-31 04:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0xe88afb…
10-31 04:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8eb60f…
10-31 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0be2ef…
10-31 03:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe85c0d…
10-31 03:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe2418c…
10-31 03:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x42de3a…
10-31 03:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1a42dc…
10-31 03:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x09e449…
10-31 03:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbebe2f…
10-31 03:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x001fdf…
10-31 03:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x62d6dc…
10-31 03:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x38593c…
10-31 02:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 31?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf8be00…
10-31 02:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa7da5…
10-31 02:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xff5ad4…
10-31 01:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x8eb06e…
10-31 01:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3263be…
10-31 01:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a7895…
10-31 00:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe153b9…
10-31 00:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf79d22…
10-31 00:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x560af1…
10-30 23:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x41afb2…
10-30 23:52:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 30?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xfe7b46…
10-30 23:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc051ce…
10-30 23:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc0a360…
10-30 23:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3d161f…
10-30 23:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x020dff…
10-30 23:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa50ea1…
10-30 23:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf6aced…
10-30 23:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x34ec16…
10-30 22:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdb4136…
10-30 22:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2ffeec…
10-30 22:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1876f3…
10-30 22:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf201b0…
10-30 22:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x64f4e6…
10-30 22:34:13	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 0°C on November 1?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x03abfb…
10-30 21:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf064fb…