Waterlogged-Hubcap — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$726

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved (90d)

279

Trades (90d)

1,109

1,255 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$31.7K

$48.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-01 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

69% 98% +$25

Politics

18% 55% -$157

Tech

13% 80% +$156

Sports

0% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	37	$3.2K	2,665	2,065	+600	No	-$29	06-24 16:54
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	6	$1.6K	1,369	1,369	+0	Yes	+$260	06-12 11:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by july 31	4	$1.4K	706	706	+0	No	+$59	08-01 07:49
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	2	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$41	07-25 04:03
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	5	$1.3K	711	711	+0	No	-$43	07-25 07:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	18	$1.2K	620	620	+0	No	+$27	06-19 15:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	-$24	06-16 03:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	9	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$48	06-17 18:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	12	$758	434	434	+0	No	+$102	06-22 20:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$705	775	0	+775	Yes	-$705	08-01 09:11
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$696	610	610	+0	No	-$20	03-23 03:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$657	365	365	+0	No	+$73	06-01 03:58
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	4	$509	632	632	+0	Yes	+$90	03-22 18:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$363	186	186	+0	No	+$8	04-28 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 31?	2	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	10-31 06:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	8	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-31 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-31 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31?	6	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-30 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 04:33
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 30?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-31 22:55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 17:02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 30?	7	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	10-29 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 30?	9	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-30 23:52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 31?	12	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?	3	$201	102	102	+0	No	+$2	10-31 16:47
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 31?	2	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	10-31 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on October 30?	3	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	10-30 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 30?	6	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	10-30 04:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:01:10	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x13fbdc…
11-01 00:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 1?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc52e03…
10-31 23:46:13	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xb84794…
10-31 23:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x8938c1…
10-31 23:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6ef3d6…
10-31 23:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3f0045…
10-31 23:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e222b…
10-31 23:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0a3259…
10-31 23:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ea136…
10-31 23:10:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x988236…
10-31 23:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x99f919…
10-31 23:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x19d8ed…
10-31 23:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa0c685…
10-31 23:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x810d72…
10-31 23:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 31?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x873ba0…
10-31 23:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2d0b3…
10-31 22:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfb6a31…
10-31 22:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x34f73e…
10-31 22:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x834958…
10-31 22:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf6a7d3…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdc66f7…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc92a24…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81e395…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x640490…
10-31 22:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1808f7…
10-31 22:13:16	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 4°C or below on November 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x168321…
10-31 22:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a8a87…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde5c8f…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcd63d2…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 2?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc9e34f…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8c0d31…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on November 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x627036…
10-31 22:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 2?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4c9e0c…
10-31 21:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 31?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x91cb12…
10-31 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on November 2?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xdecd7c…
10-31 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on November 2?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xdb6da7…
10-31 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 2?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcc3100…
10-31 21:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8e12d9…
10-31 21:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x89115b…
10-31 20:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x260b5f…
10-31 20:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 1?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe28707…
10-31 20:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc4903a…
10-31 20:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on November 2?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x55cdbf…
10-31 20:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4bc340…
10-31 19:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xd84cd4…
10-31 19:36:16	highest temperature in mexico city on november 2 2026 23c	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x15bc32…
10-31 18:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x74cf2c…
10-31 18:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on November 2?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x836445…
10-31 18:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0x745a15…
10-31 17:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2aaad4…
10-31 17:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x201d86…
10-31 17:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2f382c…
10-31 17:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3b73a0…
10-31 16:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on November 1?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x68f824…
10-31 16:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x07ad28…
10-31 16:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x162fa2…
10-31 16:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x20236b…
10-31 16:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x92d4bb…
10-31 15:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xa799fe…
10-31 15:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6eb2d8…
10-31 15:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe87768…
10-31 15:52:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4ed4c4…
10-31 15:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x09f4f5…
10-31 14:39:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5e5972…
10-31 13:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 2?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x5192ff…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdb4a91…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd3cecb…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xac047d…
10-31 13:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6ccbb7…
10-31 13:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x301a9a…
10-31 13:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1f0d20…
10-31 13:34:12	highest temperature in mexico city on november 2 2026 22c	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaa1b6d…
10-31 13:27:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x48f2f3…
10-31 13:22:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d5489…
10-31 13:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x389be1…
10-31 13:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x19748a…
10-31 13:06:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on October 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x4af440…
10-31 12:48:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x0f2a85…
10-31 12:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdf3a2c…
10-31 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd516a3…
10-31 11:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf85f3d…
10-31 11:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1060e7…
10-31 10:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x868e55…
10-31 10:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x49b877…
10-31 10:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5aba92…
10-31 09:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xbe8164…
10-31 09:23:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc9c2d…
10-31 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9bedb5…
10-31 09:22:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7aac95…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9cfb42…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3b44ec…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x36e636…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on November 1?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1f8fe4…
10-31 08:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 31?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x520f59…
10-31 08:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$100	0xe80a1e…
10-31 08:40:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb942b9…
10-31 08:17:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 31?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xcb0b71…
10-31 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbb01c8…
10-31 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x15bb5a…
10-31 08:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc1aba…