Plush-Refusal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up		+5	$2	52¢	$3	+$0	05-05 19:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	05-05 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbc56d5…
05-05 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x86f91c…
05-05 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xba1a09…
05-05 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x05c29e…
05-05 04:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3e36d8…
05-05 03:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xff2cfc…
05-05 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x060830…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa3abd1…
05-05 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x60190a…
05-05 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xabb444…
05-04 23:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3825aa…
05-04 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9ca3e2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	12	$2.77K	60	05-05 19:48
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	9	$556	37	05-05 19:48
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	9	$522	34	05-05 19:48
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$1.26K	49	05-05 19:48
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	7	$845	25	05-05 05:45
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$763	12	05-05 19:48
General-School 0x01ca…200d	3	$2.06K	12	05-05 04:20
Studious-Reality 0x167a…d542	3	$671	50	05-05 19:18