Plush-Refusal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$3	6	+6	Down	+$3	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	open	—	05-05 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x61027d…
05-05 22:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfe40f4…
05-05 22:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x083f2f…
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd5cd32…
05-05 21:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae5fc6…
05-05 21:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x460172…
05-05 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x66e6b1…
05-05 19:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbc56d5…
05-05 19:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x86f91c…
05-05 07:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xba1a09…
05-05 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x05c29e…
05-05 04:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3e36d8…
05-05 03:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xff2cfc…
05-05 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x060830…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa3abd1…
05-05 02:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x60190a…
05-05 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xabb444…
05-04 23:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3825aa…
05-04 23:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9ca3e2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$3.22K	74	05-05 23:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$1.77K	74	05-05 23:30
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$801	49	05-05 23:30
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	15	$764	46	05-05 23:30
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$565	52	05-05 23:30
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	12	$1.06K	20	05-05 22:30
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	12	$506	44	05-05 23:30
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	8	$1.04K	12	05-05 22:30