Realized P&L
-$43.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
1,584
Trades
5,441
lifetime
Volume
$670.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$7.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-28
last 10-28 18:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
87% 46% -$44,152
Sports
7% 42% -$4,839
Crypto
4% 46% +$2,276
Politics
1% 64% +$3,723
Tech
0% 25% -$67
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +1,792 $1,631 91¢ $1.6K -$3 10-28 11:21
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +1,248 $1,061 82¢ $1.0K -$31 10-28 11:57
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No +726 $483 79¢ $575 +$92 09-02 22:07
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +680 $558 74¢ $500 -$58 10-25 13:47
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +480 $134 97¢ $465 +$330 10-01 22:21
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +465 $367 96¢ $448 +$81 06-27 18:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +3,332 $1,180 11¢ $367 -$814 10-24 18:42
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +327 $265 94¢ $308 +$43 09-13 22:16
Thunder vs. Mavericks Thunder +393 $271 66¢ $257 -$14 10-27 23:55
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +246 $72 97¢ $239 +$167 09-29 07:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +5,739 $1,377 4¢ $230 -$1,148 10-13 02:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +226 $193 97¢ $219 +$26 10-27 10:54
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +217 $134 90¢ $194 +$60 10-16 12:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +489 $117 26¢ $130 +$12 10-26 23:51
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +165 $131 74¢ $121 -$10 10-28 11:40
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +146 $107 77¢ $112 +$5 10-28 07:37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +108 $50 98¢ $105 +$56 10-25 16:21
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +485 $62 18¢ $85 +$23 10-27 13:47
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +101 $80 77¢ $78 -$2 09-11 12:58
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +399 $156 19¢ $76 -$80 10-06 05:06
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +77 -$2 94¢ $72 +$74 07-26 09:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No +72 $66 99¢ $71 +$5 07-29 09:50
Wizards vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers +88 $66 76¢ $67 +$1 10-26 21:02
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +66 -$1,138 93¢ $61 +$1,200 10-08 14:01
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +134 $51 44¢ $60 +$9 09-23 22:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +101 $57 56¢ $57 +$0 10-02 01:16
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +1,721 $103 3¢ $54 -$49 10-26 13:26
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +569 $97 9¢ $52 -$45 10-26 19:23
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +59 $45 79¢ $47 +$2 08-13 10:55
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +45 $9 96¢ $44 +$35 08-22 12:09