(anonymous) 0x2213ab…7ce5de
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
135
Trades
9,261
lifetime
Volume
$3.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$65
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 10-27 03:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
57% 28% +$12
Politics
18% 0% -$1
Sports
17% 9% -$8
Crypto
4% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Tech
2% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 09-13 12:32
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $4 43¢ $4 -$1 09-29 22:41
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $2 62¢ $3 +$1 10-21 10:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +19 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 10-26 20:43
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +55 $2 5¢ $3 +$0 10-26 22:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +77 $4 4¢ $3 -$1 10-25 18:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 -$1 09-13 15:55
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes +38 $2 7¢ $3 +$1 10-24 15:41
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +295 -$1 1¢ $3 +$4 10-23 21:52
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $1 46¢ $2 +$1 10-26 03:23
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +469 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 10-27 02:51
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +457 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-23 21:52
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +675 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-25 05:53
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +47 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-27 00:19
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +7 $1 27¢ $2 +$1 10-06 17:08
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +768 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 10-27 02:42
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +52 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-19 14:04
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +57 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 10-24 20:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +14 $2 13¢ $2 $0 10-05 15:00
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +64 $1 3¢ $2 +$0 10-26 23:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +13 $1 13¢ $2 +$1 10-26 12:19
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +7 $1 22¢ $2 +$0 10-26 16:08
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Yes +22 $2 7¢ $2 +$0 10-26 18:01
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +98 $1 2¢ $2 +$0 10-24 11:58
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,006 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-25 02:57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +44 $0 3¢ $1 +$2 10-26 20:32
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +392 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-23 21:52
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +222 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:14
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-26 17:15
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +592 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 04:46