Realized P&L
-$1.86K
Unrealized P&L
-$746
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
772
Trades
4,365
lifetime
Volume
$525.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$707
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-30 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 183 days
Categories
Politics
56% 67% +$10,283
Other
35% 59% -$8,456
Tech
6% 69% +$550
Sports
2% 50% -$4,288
Crypto
1% 57% -$111
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +2,160 $800 26¢ $551 -$249 10-30 00:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? No +889 $587 18¢ $156 -$431 10-30 00:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +14 $12 2¢ $0 -$12 10-25 22:19
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -0 $16 86¢ $-0 -$16 06-30 15:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +0 $11 68¢ $0 -$11 10-29 19:41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +0 $66 51¢ $0 -$66 10-22 20:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $49 42¢ $0 -$49 10-05 13:24
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +0 -$136 8¢ $0 +$136 10-27 21:02
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $9 11¢ $0 -$9 10-09 18:17
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +0 $13 2¢ $0 -$13 09-27 15:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $25 2¢ $0 -$25 09-22 18:25