Motionless-Something — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$256

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

772

Trades

4,332

lifetime

Volume

$520.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

$222

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-29 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Politics

55% 67% +$10,283

Other

35% 59% -$8,456

Tech

6% 69% +$550

Sports

2% 50% -$4,288

Crypto

1% 57% -$111

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$158

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+380	$235	57¢	$219	-$17	10-29 13:37
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	+304	$200	1¢	$3	-$197	10-13 01:15
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	-0	$16	86¢	$-0	-$16	06-30 15:24
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	+0	$66	96¢	$0	-$66	10-22 20:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	$49	43¢	$0	-$49	10-05 13:24
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$9	6¢	$0	-$9	10-09 18:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	+0	-$136	3¢	$0	+$136	10-27 21:02
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	+0	$13	2¢	$0	-$13	09-27 15:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$25	2¢	$0	-$25	09-22 18:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	3	$11.6K	12,578	12,578	+0	Argentina	+$0	07-15 18:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	26	$9.2K	6,691	6,661	+30	Yes	+$2,909	06-01 23:05
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	55	$7.9K	9,590	9,590	+0	Yes	+$306	08-12 16:21
pro football aaron donald to sign with any team before 2026 27 regular season	6	$6.6K	6,599	6,599	+0	Yes	-$5,230	06-07 23:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	22	$5.8K	5,864	5,864	+0	No	+$159	05-30 04:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	50	$4.9K	8,884	8,884	+0	Yes	+$65	09-22 17:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	22	$4.6K	5,020	5,020	+0	open	—	09-24 21:10
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	19	$4.3K	4,527	4,527	+0	No	-$186	07-29 12:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$3.8K	4,201	4,201	+0	No	-$20	05-25 14:56
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	29	$3.7K	3,134	3,134	+0	No	+$847	06-19 08:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$3.7K	3,068	3,068	+0	Yes	+$76	10-05 02:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	15	$3.7K	9,509	9,509	+0	open	—	10-27 21:02
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	14	$3.6K	2,892	2,892	+0	No	+$384	05-26 16:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	16	$3.3K	4,178	4,178	+0	Yes	+$311	06-14 21:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	36	$3.2K	3,903	3,903	+0	Yes	+$588	06-14 21:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	55	$3.1K	7,180	7,112	+68	No	-$8	07-29 12:54
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	20	$2.9K	4,495	4,495	+0	Yes	-$87	09-14 16:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	26	$2.9K	8,345	7,711	+634	Yes	+$26	06-14 23:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	26	$2.7K	13,832	13,373	+459	Yes	-$249	10-21 20:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	9	$2.7K	2,373	2,373	+0	open	—	09-27 02:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	9	$2.6K	4,021	4,021	+0	No	+$322	06-16 06:52
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	17	$2.5K	8,759	0	+8,759	Max Holloway	-$2,521	07-11 19:24
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	8	$2.5K	1,660	1,660	+0	Yes	+$250	08-30 03:51
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	8	$2.4K	3,636	3,636	+0	open	—	08-15 18:04
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	13	$2.4K	1,886	1,886	+0	Yes	+$560	07-24 14:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$2.4K	2,129	2,129	+0	open	—	08-07 04:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$2.3K	7,066	7,066	+0	No	-$28	10-06 01:31
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	19	$2.3K	2,490	2,490	+0	Yes	-$118	06-15 15:37
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	10	$2.2K	3,792	3,792	+0	No	+$838	08-17 10:34
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	30	$2.2K	1,644	1,644	+0	Yes	+$648	10-16 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:37:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	55	59¢	$33	0x0bf540…
10-29 13:15:22	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xa70d88…
10-29 10:12:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	SELL	542	40¢	$219	0x86e38f…
10-29 02:47:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	75	45¢	$34	0x0a12cb…
10-29 02:30:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0xba66a1…
10-29 02:24:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x8cf122…
10-29 02:22:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x83634b…
10-29 02:22:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xafeb3d…
10-29 02:22:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0x907763…
10-29 02:22:32	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	70	44¢	$31	0x7a9ad6…
10-29 02:22:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	75	43¢	$32	0x3d1ed8…
10-29 02:22:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	52	44¢	$23	0x1ee6d1…
10-29 02:22:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	BUY	542	62¢	$334	0x0b9f0a…
10-28 20:07:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	78	44¢	$35	0x9a926d…
10-28 18:16:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,175	51¢	$597	0x3224b9…
10-28 18:06:25	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xa2ed6c…
10-28 18:03:31	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x43a311…
10-28 18:03:31	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x234568…
10-28 18:00:17	Will two people dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	148	78¢	$116	0xeb6126…
10-28 17:46:52	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x2bcce5…
10-28 17:32:25	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0x48d974…
10-28 17:23:16	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	619	97¢	$601	0x36302a…
10-28 17:06:23	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	738	61¢	$449	0x12f01b…
10-27 23:25:15	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	662	98¢	$649	0x37c1e7…
10-27 22:48:54	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	662	98¢	$647	0x3c0bd2…
10-27 21:02:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,980	6¢	$239	0xac02e3…
10-27 20:54:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,980	7¢	$279	0xa5d65c…
10-27 17:22:53	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	SELL	72	11¢	$8	0x4ab26d…
10-27 17:17:12	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0xe4f29d…
10-27 17:12:56	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xb1af65…
10-27 15:24:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	795	77¢	$612	0x2234f4…
10-27 12:23:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	73	75¢	$54	0x2a751c…
10-27 12:21:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	354	76¢	$269	0xd3e049…
10-27 12:21:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	191	75¢	$143	0xd5e75f…
10-27 12:21:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	178	75¢	$133	0xf90a27…
10-26 21:17:23	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xf9219b…
10-26 21:17:23	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	396	15¢	$59	0xdd85c9…
10-26 21:17:23	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	236	21¢	$49	0x904b8e…
10-26 21:11:29	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	407	8¢	$33	0x2149ec…
10-26 16:52:56	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	824	60¢	$497	0xf0c82a…
10-26 16:14:39	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xbc2065…
10-26 13:58:35	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	123	37¢	$46	0xcf1620…
10-26 13:58:05	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	91¢	$94	0x0e98fc…
10-26 13:57:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x7b6c5f…
10-26 13:57:08	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0xc78a58…
10-26 13:56:38	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,442	15¢	$522	0x125ac3…
10-26 13:20:56	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x406c08…
10-26 13:17:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0xbe5a0b…
10-26 13:17:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xb9cfdd…
10-26 13:17:57	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x64de52…
10-26 13:09:11	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	84¢	$153	0xa2ede6…
10-26 13:03:45	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	80¢	$137	0x7231ef…
10-26 12:58:08	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	80¢	$129	0x8bddbe…
10-26 12:44:59	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x936d03…
10-26 11:23:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	67¢	$28	0x99ae4a…
10-26 11:17:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	914	65¢	$597	0x54e24a…
10-25 22:19:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x038300…
10-25 22:19:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	220	13¢	$29	0x482bd9…
10-25 22:17:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	304	15¢	$46	0xc132fa…
10-25 21:57:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	292	30¢	$88	0x037cae…
10-25 21:56:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xb2c7c2…
10-25 21:43:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	303	18¢	$55	0x976862…
10-25 12:35:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	294	17¢	$50	0x5a38d2…
10-25 12:34:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	294	18¢	$53	0xc09cfc…
10-24 22:02:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	854	11¢	$94	0x52a479…
10-24 22:01:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0xd79a17…
10-24 21:41:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	444	12¢	$53	0xabc9e1…
10-24 21:41:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	497	11¢	$55	0xee3392…
10-24 01:08:57	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,442	16¢	$547	0x771b4e…
10-23 14:50:50	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xf774b8…
10-23 14:49:41	Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?	Yes	BUY	150	71¢	$106	0x411e3a…
10-22 20:23:24	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	589	65¢	$384	0xa23561…
10-22 20:02:26	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	134	72¢	$97	0x939a4b…
10-22 19:07:50	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x9f711a…
10-22 19:02:45	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xc69fec…
10-22 18:38:48	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	793	75¢	$597	0xe0cf02…
10-22 01:30:23	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	22¢	$21	0x909832…
10-22 01:16:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	22¢	$18	0xb8a0cd…
10-22 01:15:42	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	90	22¢	$20	0x5ac5f5…
10-22 01:15:05	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	292	22¢	$64	0x9daaf9…
10-22 01:14:56	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	22¢	$28	0xa5c59f…
10-22 01:14:50	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9834b3…
10-22 01:14:48	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	318	22¢	$70	0xbfd38d…
10-22 01:14:48	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x2564c8…
10-22 01:14:47	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x278f8e…
10-22 01:14:45	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xa9f536…
10-22 01:14:45	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	112	22¢	$25	0x7707e5…
10-22 01:14:41	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xfb56bd…
10-22 01:14:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	87	22¢	$19	0xeea218…
10-22 01:14:36	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	26¢	$27	0xa3ca35…
10-22 00:47:39	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x34b81c…
10-22 00:12:45	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0xcfc0b1…
10-22 00:12:17	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x04c2cb…
10-22 00:10:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,501	40¢	$597	0xb2736c…
10-21 20:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	89¢	$126	0xe7c011…
10-21 20:12:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x456a08…
10-21 20:09:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0xf95dda…
10-21 20:04:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	148	82¢	$120	0xb9d988…
10-21 19:58:02	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	34¢	$59	0x1d366f…
10-21 19:56:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	787	76¢	$597	0x7d65b1…