Realized P&L
+$47.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.49K
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
3,919
Trades
103,876
lifetime
Volume
$3.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$52.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Other
57% 60% +$36,048
Politics
29% 58% +$6,842
Tech
8% 64% +$527
Sports
3% 53% +$2,609
Crypto
3% 35% +$787
Pop-Culture
1% 52% +$413
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +14,785 $5,972 47¢ $6.9K +$977 10-27 11:00
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +9,907 $2,963 70¢ $6.9K +$3,922 06-06 02:49
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,085 $6,485 53¢ $6.4K -$79 10-27 01:36
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +4,189 $285 87¢ $3.6K +$3,359 08-30 04:43
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +9,907 $4,916 30¢ $3.0K -$1,894 06-05 23:18
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +32,593 $2,321 8¢ $2.4K +$124 10-28 05:31
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,427 $4,762 18¢ $2.3K -$2,464 10-27 23:34
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,967 $1,227 96¢ $1.9K +$658 09-06 12:21
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,110 87¢ $1.6K +$528 07-19 10:21
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +1,603 $1,239 99¢ $1.6K +$350 06-09 22:37
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,443 $863 100¢ $1.4K +$574 07-07 00:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,244 95¢ $1.4K +$185 05-23 13:10
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +1,282 $1,152 96¢ $1.2K +$85 05-01 08:37
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +10,768 $2,253 11¢ $1.1K -$1,122 10-28 06:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,110 $826 98¢ $1.1K +$260 07-09 08:52
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1,193 $696 72¢ $853 +$156 06-04 15:16
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +909 $346 90¢ $813 +$467 07-07 08:38
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +889 $269 88¢ $787 +$518 07-04 13:30
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -259,370 -$2,521 0¢ $-778 +$1,743 06-24 08:58
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +749 $705 98¢ $737 +$32 10-04 01:53
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026 No +1,057 $733 68¢ $719 -$14 09-16 01:16
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +825 $388 85¢ $701 +$314 05-20 01:05
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No +570 $464 99¢ $567 +$103 06-09 08:18
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +4,189 $2,950 13¢ $545 -$2,405 09-02 05:03
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +535 $412 100¢ $533 +$121 06-09 22:25
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -49,999 -$700 1¢ $-525 +$175 06-08 09:20
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +6,457 $817 8¢ $484 -$333 10-27 16:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,750 $408 16¢ $454 +$45 10-20 08:39
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +2,745 $451 16¢ $453 +$2 10-19 06:59
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +705 $346 64¢ $448 +$102 09-11 14:57