Realized P&L
+$9.49K
Unrealized P&L
+$856
Hit rate
93.2%
Resolved
58
Trades
47,879
lifetime
Volume
$1.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
49% 62% +$983
Politics
38% 60% +$8,542
Sports
6%
Crypto
3% 0% $-36
Tech
3% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 548 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -5,848 $-1,115 $-497 +$618 07-21 01:59
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -4,078 $-167 $-155 +$12 06-24 12:42
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +4,701 $130 $143 +$13 07-20 13:42
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes +1,965 $81 $88 +$7 07-20 14:47
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +86 $39 80¢ $68 +$29 06-10 23:26
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,558 $-46 $-46 +$0 06-05 19:49
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? Yes -380 $-42 12¢ $-45 $-4 06-02 18:49
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,442 $-85 $-44 +$41 06-17 13:12
OPEC dissolves in 2026? Yes -558 $-39 $-36 +$3 07-16 08:42
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes +845 $60 $36 $-24 07-12 04:17
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -533 $-84 $-29 +$54 06-20 12:30
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -342 $-35 $-29 +$6 06-28 05:29
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -300 $-36 10¢ $-28 +$8 06-01 20:04
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -518 $-36 $-28 +$8 06-23 02:41
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -290 $-29 10¢ $-28 +$1 06-01 20:04
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes +365 $25 $26 +$1 07-15 05:03
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +500 $25 $24 $-1 07-04 21:21
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +654 $-24 $23 +$47 07-09 18:20
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? Yes +1,000 $30 $22 $-8 06-19 21:27
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes -284 $-24 $-20 +$4 07-01 19:19
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -386 $-15 $-20 $-4 06-02 05:38
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +85 $27 20¢ $17 $-9 06-10 22:27
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -198 $-30 $-17 +$13 06-01 09:21
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -200 $-24 $-15 +$9 06-01 09:18
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +240 $20 $14 $-6 06-11 18:04
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? Yes -227 $-16 $-13 +$3 07-13 10:59
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -306 $-14 $-13 +$1 06-08 02:30
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -147 $-21 $-12 +$8 05-28 22:58
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes -975 $-37 $-11 +$26 06-13 11:03
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? Yes -238 $-12 $-11 +$1 06-29 22:48