Realized P&L
+$9.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$368
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
55
Trades
42,147
lifetime
Volume
$1.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
51% 62% +$983
Politics
38% 60% +$8,542
Sports
4%
Crypto
4%
Tech
2% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1284 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -19,351 $-2,042 $-1645 +$397 06-09 20:17
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes -979 $-57 $-73 $-16 06-09 06:21
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -419 $-64 16¢ $-69 $-6 05-31 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,558 $-46 $-62 $-16 06-05 19:49
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes +632 $42 $54 +$12 06-07 11:54
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? Yes -380 $-42 13¢ $-48 $-6 06-02 18:49
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -300 $-36 16¢ $-48 $-12 06-01 20:04
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -290 $-29 14¢ $-39 $-10 06-01 20:04
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes -595 $-48 $-39 +$9 06-09 15:57
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -600 $-41 $-31 +$10 06-07 10:41
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -198 $-30 16¢ $-31 $-1 06-01 09:21
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -386 $-15 $-30 $-14 06-02 05:38
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes +765 $27 $29 +$3 06-05 03:33
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -200 $-24 12¢ $-25 $-1 06-01 09:18
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? Yes -209 $-23 12¢ $-24 $-1 06-01 09:16
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -147 $-21 16¢ $-23 $-2 05-28 22:58
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +239 $19 $17 $-3 06-09 23:47
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -306 $-14 $-16 $-2 06-08 02:30
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-14 14¢ $-14 +$0 06-08 02:37
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -248 $-15 $-11 +$4 06-02 23:40
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? No -579 $-14 $-11 +$3 05-28 19:48
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? Yes +79 $-9 13¢ $10 +$19 06-01 09:19
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Yes -346 $-17 $-9 +$8 05-31 10:48
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +66 $7 11¢ $7 +$0 06-08 09:56
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -90 $-7 $-6 +$1 06-08 02:44
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? Yes -116 $-6 $-6 $-0 06-08 14:52
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -41 $-5 13¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 03:20
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes +55 $4 $5 +$1 06-09 22:03
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +120 $12 $4 $-8 06-04 06:05
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes -58 $-4 $-4 +$0 06-10 04:03