Realized P&L
+$9.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$116
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved
55
Trades
46,115
lifetime
Volume
$1.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
48% 62% +$983
Politics
38% 60% +$8,542
Sports
6%
Crypto
4%
Tech
3% 0% $-2
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -9,989 $-1,399 14¢ $-1348 +$51 06-24 23:22
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? Yes -4,078 $-167 $-137 +$30 06-24 12:42
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +3,522 $111 $125 +$14 06-27 11:44
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,442 $-85 $-74 +$10 06-17 13:12
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +86 $39 69¢ $59 +$20 06-10 23:26
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? Yes +1,224 $52 $55 +$4 06-28 22:51
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes -968 $-91 $-53 +$38 06-25 16:05
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,558 $-46 $-52 $-7 06-05 19:49
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes -533 $-84 $-48 +$36 06-20 12:30
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? Yes -380 $-42 12¢ $-45 $-3 06-02 18:49
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -342 $-35 12¢ $-43 $-7 06-28 05:29
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -386 $-15 11¢ $-41 $-26 06-02 05:38
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes -300 $-36 14¢ $-40 $-4 06-01 20:04
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -147 $-21 25¢ $-37 $-16 05-28 22:58
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -366 $-39 10¢ $-35 +$3 06-27 10:11
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? Yes -198 $-30 18¢ $-35 $-5 06-01 09:21
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -290 $-29 12¢ $-33 $-4 06-01 20:04
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? Yes -209 $-23 16¢ $-32 $-9 06-01 09:16
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes -975 $-37 $-32 +$5 06-13 11:03
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -518 $-36 $-28 +$8 06-23 02:41
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes +422 $45 $27 $-18 06-25 23:58
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +85 $27 31¢ $27 $-0 06-10 22:27
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? Yes +1,000 $30 $20 $-10 06-19 21:27
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-14 16¢ $-16 $-3 06-08 02:37
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes -200 $-24 $-15 +$9 06-01 09:18
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +240 $20 $14 $-5 06-11 18:04
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? Yes -100 $-11 14¢ $-14 $-2 06-19 12:56
Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -306 $-14 $-13 +$1 06-08 02:30
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes -233 $-20 $-13 +$7 06-26 18:40
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? Yes -238 $-12 $-11 +$1 06-29 22:48