Realized P&L (7d)
-$4.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.73K
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved (7d)
172
Trades (7d)
12,213
115,361 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$153.9K
$3.37M lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$50.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 293 days
Categories
Other
57% 60% +$34,272
Politics
29% 57% +$3,224
Tech
8% 64% +$1,206
Sports
3% 53% +$2,609
Crypto
3% 35% +$787
Pop-Culture
1% 52% +$413
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 9319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +9,907 $2,963 76¢ $7.5K +$4,517 06-06 02:49
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +14,785 $5,972 48¢ $7.0K +$1,051 10-27 11:00
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,085 $6,482 52¢ $6.3K -$137 10-30 01:21
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +4,189 $285 90¢ $3.8K +$3,499 08-30 04:43
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +46,402 $3,285 8¢ $3.5K +$195 11-02 03:06
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +9,907 $4,916 24¢ $2.4K -$2,489 06-05 23:18
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +1,603 $1,239 100¢ $1.6K +$356 06-09 22:37
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,110 82¢ $1.5K +$434 07-19 10:21
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,885 $4,492 14¢ $1.5K -$2,968 10-31 01:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,244 97¢ $1.4K +$205 05-23 13:10
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,443 $863 100¢ $1.4K +$576 07-07 00:01
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +1,282 $1,152 97¢ $1.2K +$90 05-01 08:37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,110 $826 99¢ $1.1K +$269 07-09 08:52
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +8,508 $2,004 11¢ $893 -$1,111 11-01 11:27
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +909 $346 90¢ $813 +$467 07-07 08:38
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +1,193 $696 68¢ $805 +$108 06-04 15:16
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -259,370 -$2,521 0¢ $-778 +$1,743 06-24 08:58
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +889 $269 86¢ $769 +$500 07-04 13:30
israeli airspace closed by december 31 2026 No +1,057 $733 67¢ $708 -$25 09-16 01:16
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +825 $388 84¢ $693 +$305 05-20 01:05
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No +570 $464 100¢ $568 +$104 06-09 08:18
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +535 $412 100¢ $533 +$121 06-09 22:25
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -49,999 -$700 1¢ $-500 +$200 06-08 09:20
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +539 $475 84¢ $456 -$19 09-11 08:59
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +565 $236 80¢ $455 +$219 09-05 03:57
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +2,745 $451 16¢ $453 +$2 10-19 06:59
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +705 $346 64¢ $448 +$102 09-11 14:57
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +4,189 $2,950 10¢ $404 -$2,545 09-02 05:03
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +400 $355 97¢ $388 +$33 10-06 14:51
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +1,193 $461 32¢ $388 -$73 06-06 23:24