Realized P&L
+$47.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.06K
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
4,366
Trades
118,895
lifetime
Volume
$3.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$56.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 07:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
57% 60% +$37,253
Politics
28% 59% +$4,828
Tech
8% 64% +$1,198
Sports
3% 53% +$2,609
Crypto
3% 36% +$892
Pop-Culture
1% 53% +$599
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 9319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +14,466 $5,793 53¢ $7.7K +$1,874 11-14 02:00
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,085 $6,482 47¢ $5.7K -$802 10-30 01:21
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,690 $2,377 80¢ $3.0K +$594 11-03 01:25
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +2,507 $1,896 92¢ $2.3K +$418 11-04 08:03
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +2,322 $1,745 97¢ $2.3K +$506 11-03 13:48
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +2,109 $1,807 90¢ $1.9K +$80 08-13 14:13
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? No +2,181 $1,527 85¢ $1.9K +$327 10-30 22:29
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +17,114 $2,508 11¢ $1.8K -$711 11-10 13:40
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,786 $652 98¢ $1.7K +$1,097 10-20 00:52
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,110 92¢ $1.7K +$632 07-19 10:21
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? No +2,355 $1,423 74¢ $1.7K +$308 10-30 17:57
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No +2,186 $1,354 74¢ $1.6K +$267 08-05 03:55
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +1,603 $1,239 100¢ $1.6K +$356 06-09 22:37
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? No +1,580 $796 99¢ $1.6K +$765 10-20 01:43
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +1,598 $339 96¢ $1.5K +$1,201 09-08 12:23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,244 98¢ $1.5K +$218 05-23 13:10
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,443 $863 100¢ $1.4K +$577 07-07 00:01
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +1,537 $679 93¢ $1.4K +$749 10-26 04:53
will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648 No +1,449 $1,015 98¢ $1.4K +$403 07-30 04:33
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +61,318 $4,356 2¢ $1.4K -$2,945 11-10 22:06
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +1,364 $486 96¢ $1.3K +$822 07-26 14:10
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +1,282 $1,152 98¢ $1.3K +$108 05-01 08:37
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +1,754 $320 72¢ $1.3K +$934 07-31 10:48
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No +1,158 $816 99¢ $1.1K +$333 07-05 02:25
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No +1,977 $1,256 56¢ $1.1K -$146 10-31 05:20
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,885 $4,852 8¢ $1.1K -$3,748 11-07 13:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,110 $826 98¢ $1.1K +$265 07-09 08:52
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? Yes +2,446 $813 44¢ $1.1K +$260 11-07 03:48
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No +1,313 $874 80¢ $1.0K +$171 08-14 17:49
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +1,105 $858 91¢ $1.0K +$147 10-31 08:52