Few-Prevention 0xa58d4f…c0b9b8 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.57K
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,530
Trades (90d)
34,707
116,679 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.14M
$3.41M lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$64.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 22:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 298 days
Categories
Other
57% 60% +$36,061
Politics
28% 59% +$2,597
Tech
8% 64% +$1,206
Sports
3% 53% +$2,609
Crypto
3% 35% +$787
Pop-Culture
1% 52% +$413
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 9319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +9,907 $4,916 100¢ $9.9K +$4,971 06-05 23:18
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,085 $6,482 56¢ $6.7K +$225 10-30 01:21
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +14,509 $5,839 44¢ $6.5K +$617 11-04 07:57
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,690 $2,377 81¢ $3.0K +$612 11-03 01:25
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +2,507 $1,896 85¢ $2.1K +$234 11-04 08:03
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +61,837 $4,376 3¢ $2.0K -$2,398 11-07 17:05
will rzp zehut be in the next israeli government No +2,355 $1,423 82¢ $1.9K +$520 10-30 17:57
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +2,109 $1,807 90¢ $1.9K +$80 08-13 14:13
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No +2,186 $1,354 84¢ $1.8K +$492 08-05 03:55
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +17,240 $2,522 11¢ $1.8K -$712 11-03 22:54
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +2,322 $1,745 76¢ $1.8K +$19 11-03 13:48
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,786 $652 98¢ $1.8K +$1,104 10-20 00:52
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? No +2,181 $1,527 80¢ $1.7K +$207 10-30 22:29
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,110 92¢ $1.7K +$622 07-19 10:21
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +1,603 $1,239 99¢ $1.6K +$347 06-09 22:37
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? No +1,580 $796 99¢ $1.6K +$761 10-20 01:43
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +1,598 $339 97¢ $1.5K +$1,206 09-08 12:23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,244 97¢ $1.4K +$206 05-23 13:10
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +1,537 $679 94¢ $1.4K +$766 10-26 04:53
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,443 $863 100¢ $1.4K +$574 07-07 00:01
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No +1,977 $1,256 65¢ $1.3K +$26 10-31 05:20
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +1,754 $320 73¢ $1.3K +$960 07-31 10:48
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +1,282 $1,152 97¢ $1.2K +$95 05-01 08:37
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +1,364 $486 86¢ $1.2K +$695 07-26 14:10
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,885 $4,852 8¢ $1.2K -$3,686 11-07 13:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,110 $826 98¢ $1.1K +$261 07-09 08:52
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No +1,313 $874 78¢ $1.0K +$157 08-14 17:49
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +1,135 $803 86¢ $975 +$172 11-05 05:06
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026? Yes +1,403 $505 69¢ $968 +$464 10-29 13:18
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No +1,489 $995 65¢ $968 -$28 08-28 01:57