Few-Prevention 0xa58d4f…c0b9b8 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.21K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.97K
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved (90d)
1,541
Trades (90d)
34,593
117,220 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.15M
$3.44M lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$65.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 03:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 301 days
Categories
Other
57% 60% +$36,571
Politics
28% 59% +$2,608
Tech
8% 64% +$1,206
Sports
3% 53% +$2,609
Crypto
3% 35% +$787
Pop-Culture
1% 53% +$599
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 9319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +9,907 $4,916 100¢ $9.9K +$4,971 06-05 23:18
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +14,809 $5,998 58¢ $8.6K +$2,591 11-09 14:36
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,085 $6,482 42¢ $5.1K -$1,406 10-30 01:21
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,690 $2,377 84¢ $3.1K +$704 11-03 01:25
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? No +2,507 $1,896 98¢ $2.4K +$550 11-04 08:03
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? No +2,322 $1,745 87¢ $2.0K +$267 11-03 13:48
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No +2,186 $1,354 90¢ $2.0K +$622 08-05 03:55
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +2,109 $1,807 90¢ $1.9K +$80 08-13 14:13
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? No +2,181 $1,527 84¢ $1.8K +$306 10-30 22:29
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +61,318 $4,356 3¢ $1.8K -$2,547 11-10 22:06
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? No +2,355 $1,423 76¢ $1.8K +$379 10-30 17:57
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +17,114 $2,508 11¢ $1.8K -$711 11-10 13:40
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +1,786 $652 98¢ $1.8K +$1,104 10-20 00:52
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,110 91¢ $1.7K +$604 07-19 10:21
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +1,603 $1,239 99¢ $1.6K +$347 06-09 22:37
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? No +1,580 $796 99¢ $1.6K +$766 10-20 01:43
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? No +1,598 $339 96¢ $1.5K +$1,201 09-08 12:23
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,443 $863 100¢ $1.4K +$577 07-07 00:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +1,500 $1,244 96¢ $1.4K +$195 05-23 13:10
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +1,537 $679 93¢ $1.4K +$756 10-26 04:53
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? No +1,977 $1,256 64¢ $1.3K +$19 10-31 05:20
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +1,282 $1,152 97¢ $1.2K +$96 05-01 08:37
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes +1,364 $486 85¢ $1.2K +$674 07-26 14:10
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No +1,158 $816 99¢ $1.1K +$333 07-05 02:25
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +13,885 $4,852 8¢ $1.1K -$3,741 11-07 13:05
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,110 $826 98¢ $1.1K +$262 07-09 08:52
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? No +1,105 $858 96¢ $1.1K +$206 10-31 08:52
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +10,618 $1,197 10¢ $1.1K -$135 11-09 23:33
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +1,754 $320 60¢ $1.1K +$732 07-31 10:48
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? No +1,313 $874 80¢ $1.0K +$171 08-14 17:49