(anonymous) 0xb88ea5…7ef80f
bot new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
40.8%
Resolved
35
Trades
110
lifetime
Volume
$275
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$62
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-27 06:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
75% 36% -$12
Politics
23% 0% -$3
Sports
1% 0% -$2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 $0 10-25 04:04
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-26 12:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-25 14:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 10-25 13:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 10-25 13:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 10-26 09:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 10-26 09:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 10-25 12:46
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +5 $3 61¢ $3 $0 10-26 09:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $3 58¢ $3 $0 10-26 09:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$1 10-25 13:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 10-26 15:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 +$0 10-26 10:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-25 22:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-25 08:38
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +5 $1 28¢ $1 $0 10-26 00:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:41
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 10-25 12:45
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-26 19:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-25 13:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-25 13:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-25 22:00