Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$297

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

146

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

12 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 08-12 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

78% 3% -$266

Politics

12% 12% -$7

Sports

5% 0% -$15

Tech

4% 12% -$9

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	+35	$13	91¢	$32	+$18	08-11 07:43
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+20	$11	98¢	$20	+$8	08-11 21:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	No	+20	$13	94¢	$19	+$6	08-11 11:50
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	+18	$8	82¢	$15	+$7	08-09 06:56
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+20	$9	72¢	$14	+$6	08-11 21:16
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	+14	$10	76¢	$10	+$0	08-11 20:36
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+20	$12	28¢	$6	-$6	08-11 21:16
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	+18	$10	18¢	$3	-$7	08-09 06:56
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	+14	$4	24¢	$3	$0	08-11 20:35
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	+35	$25	9¢	$3	-$21	08-11 08:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765	Yes	+20	$8	6¢	$1	-$7	08-11 11:50
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+20	$9	2¢	$0	-$9	08-11 21:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	7	$63	120	0	+120	Yes	-$3	08-11 16:31
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	4	$51	80	0	+80	Yes	-$11	08-10 18:40
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	4	$43	80	0	+80	Yes	-$3	08-12 04:14
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?	5	$43	80	0	+80	No	-$3	08-11 16:21
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth 25%-29%?	5	$42	80	0	+80	No	-$2	08-10 22:01
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	4	$42	80	0	+80	No	-$2	08-11 22:08
Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 13 or later?	4	$42	78	0	+78	No	-$3	08-10 11:31
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$41	80	0	+80	No	-$1	08-10 04:25
Will Falcons Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	4	$41	80	0	+80	No	-$1	08-11 12:46
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	4	$41	80	0	+80	No	-$1	08-12 01:25
Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?	5	$39	66	0	+66	Yes	-$6	08-10 09:52
Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	5	$39	72	0	+72	Yes	-$3	08-10 09:19
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	5	$38	70	0	+70	open	—	08-11 08:14
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	5	$37	50	10	+40	Yes	-$1	08-12 06:18
will timothe chalamet be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	6	$35	68	0	+68	open	—	08-09 05:40
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$34	60	0	+60	open	—	08-10 08:48
will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the philippines in august 1786383260324	2	$33	40	0	+40	No	-$13	08-11 22:49
will kai or speed die to a blaze 20260806175301188	2	$31	40	0	+40	No	-$11	08-09 12:52
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	7	$31	56	0	+56	Yes	-$3	08-09 05:41
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	5	$30	56	0	+56	Yes	-$2	08-11 08:14
will kai or speed die to a piglin 20260808122806768	2	$30	40	0	+40	No	-$10	08-09 14:00
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	2	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	-$10	08-12 04:37
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$29	40	0	+40	open	—	08-11 21:41
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?	2	$29	40	0	+40	No	-$9	08-10 19:38
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	2	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	08-12 04:57
Will Don't Be Dumb (A$AP Rocky) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	2	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	08-10 18:27
Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	2	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	08-10 18:54
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?	5	$27	50	0	+50	Yes	-$2	08-09 08:16
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	2	$27	40	0	+40	Yes	-$7	08-11 06:56
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	2	$26	40	0	+40	No	-$6	08-11 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:18:34	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0576e9…
08-12 05:56:07	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x593b1a…
08-12 05:56:00	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x38f58c…
08-12 05:13:12	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3b1aeb…
08-12 05:13:03	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xefcbd5…
08-12 04:57:27	Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa818fb…
08-12 04:57:22	Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf15ba4…
08-12 04:37:07	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2cc7e3…
08-12 04:36:57	Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x217aca…
08-12 04:19:16	Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0b669e…
08-12 04:19:04	Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xadaadc…
08-12 04:14:00	Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x047515…
08-12 04:13:54	Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x50e228…
08-12 04:02:30	Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xfaeb8d…
08-12 04:02:27	Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x2ac791…
08-12 03:43:21	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x3467af…
08-12 03:41:42	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf1218f…
08-12 03:41:40	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa1cf62…
08-12 03:41:28	Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xaf3dff…
08-12 03:19:03	Will Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x5a067a…
08-12 03:18:51	Will Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xad54a4…
08-12 03:16:09	Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd146d3…
08-12 03:16:01	Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x0ed647…
08-12 02:55:01	Will Aníbal Ostoa Ortega win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x799ca3…
08-12 02:54:49	Will Aníbal Ostoa Ortega win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8fca17…
08-12 02:03:34	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x09a23e…
08-12 02:03:33	Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x46f79f…
08-12 01:34:10	Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc65e0f…
08-12 01:33:58	Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x3167c6…
08-12 01:25:54	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x29a9fb…
08-12 01:25:40	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa957b3…
08-12 01:25:40	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x780e91…
08-12 01:25:28	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xa07b4d…
08-12 01:13:43	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x70a180…
08-12 01:13:36	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6efa70…
08-12 01:10:03	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x9a67fd…
08-12 01:09:54	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xdb4257…
08-12 00:50:51	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x2d7f72…
08-12 00:50:46	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x116f46…
08-12 00:13:25	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xda551b…
08-12 00:13:15	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf3ea62…
08-11 23:59:16	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in indonesia in august 1786383260324	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd2edcf…
08-11 23:59:15	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in indonesia in august 1786383260324	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x48b2a8…
08-11 23:45:25	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0xf32c04…
08-11 23:43:36	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in mexico in august 1786383260324	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x23f630…
08-11 23:43:31	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in mexico in august 1786383260324	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x2f16e6…
08-11 23:32:55	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xee8469…
08-11 23:32:42	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xd03497…
08-11 23:32:42	Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4bf101…
08-11 22:49:30	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the philippines in august 1786383260324	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x78ec6c…
08-11 22:49:16	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the philippines in august 1786383260324	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf3019d…
08-11 22:48:58	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the united states in august 1786383260324	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb804d8…
08-11 22:48:51	will a 6pt0 earthquake occur in the united states in august 1786383260324	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x99d528…
08-11 22:10:54	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xde0663…
08-11 22:10:46	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xfe32b2…
08-11 22:08:33	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x831e27…
08-11 22:08:25	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xfdeed6…
08-11 21:41:33	Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x80bd79…
08-11 21:41:28	Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x17012f…
08-11 21:40:31	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x8ea0b2…
08-11 21:40:19	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3abf3c…
08-11 21:24:18	brazil bans discord by august 31 2026 20260807130012953	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbf31c9…
08-11 21:24:07	brazil bans discord by august 31 2026 20260807130012953	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1ac56c…
08-11 21:16:37	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xff7814…
08-11 21:16:31	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xecc764…
08-11 21:15:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by september 15 20260810145949436	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9fd743…
08-11 21:15:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by september 15 20260810145949436	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xad1108…
08-11 20:59:49	Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xeb8c21…
08-11 20:59:39	Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x6702ef…
08-11 20:47:19	Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd62aba…
08-11 20:47:09	Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd3aa5c…
08-11 20:46:28	Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x36f276…
08-11 20:46:24	Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x4fa8a5…
08-11 20:45:12	Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x0dfc65…
08-11 20:45:00	Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc13458…
08-11 20:37:36	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260810145949435	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x8c2657…
08-11 20:36:06	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0xf9f544…
08-11 20:35:54	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xf763fb…
08-11 20:28:25	Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfcd1b8…
08-11 20:28:22	Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xba2756…
08-11 20:25:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260810145949435	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x4298b1…
08-11 20:24:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260810145949435	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x069142…
08-11 20:20:39	Will ByteDance have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xea7220…
08-11 20:20:33	Will ByteDance have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xff4038…
08-11 20:14:51	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x39d160…
08-11 20:14:36	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x38f9b9…
08-11 20:12:30	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd8eb05…
08-11 20:12:30	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x846eae…
08-11 20:12:16	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xa854e4…
08-11 20:12:16	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5b2f65…
08-11 20:12:16	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1bde24…
08-11 20:12:16	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x04646c…
08-11 20:12:15	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x356fcb…
08-11 18:52:25	will summer 2026 be the uks hottest summer on record 1786458473498	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe41064…
08-11 18:52:15	will summer 2026 be the uks hottest summer on record 1786458473498	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1985c3…
08-11 18:47:10	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4ec702…
08-11 18:47:00	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x79d4f9…
08-11 18:37:21	Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2037fd…
08-11 18:37:13	Will Kīlauea's Episode 53 begin August 11-12?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf82ba3…
08-11 18:32:10	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xbfe1d0…