Radiant-Tab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

308

Trades

3,140

lifetime

Volume

$79.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$2.08K

12 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-27 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Sports

60% 48% +$1,815

Other

20% 45% +$1,415

Tech

14% 36% -$125

Politics

4% 50% -$885

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	+688	$361	86¢	$588	+$227	06-17 02:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+632	$374	66¢	$414	+$40	10-25 23:04
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	+338	$249	80¢	$270	+$22	10-23 14:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+2,641	$293	8¢	$224	-$69	09-03 16:17
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,126	$167	18¢	$203	+$35	10-26 19:22
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	+227	$74	88¢	$201	+$127	10-23 03:22
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	+2,668	$481	5¢	$133	-$348	10-21 00:19
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	+34	$31	98¢	$33	+$3	09-10 03:45
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	+4	-$41	96¢	$4	+$45	07-22 19:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+30	$6	8¢	$3	-$3	06-12 21:44
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	+28	$6	4¢	$1	-$5	10-04 22:34
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No	+2	$54	14¢	$0	-$54	09-01 14:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	126	$5.6K	3,590	3,054	+536	No	+$734	08-31 18:13
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$2.6K	3,247	0	+3,247	Yes	+$240	06-27 02:06
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	56	$2.4K	2,555	1,013	+1,542	No	-$611	08-27 04:07
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$2.3K	1,362	1,325	+37	Yes	+$95	06-27 15:18
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$2.3K	2,153	1,733	+420	No	+$718	06-27 19:00
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	136	$2.1K	3,050	886	+2,164	O 99.5	+$1,153	09-27 21:57
will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	8	$1.9K	2,460	196	+2,264	Yes	+$277	07-02 01:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.8K	1,992	104	+1,888	Yes	-$1,639	07-06 15:56
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	13	$1.6K	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	+$55	06-28 16:45
Will Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	11	$1.5K	1,315	770	+544	Yes	+$385	06-21 04:16
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$1.5K	1,277	607	+670	Yes	+$208	06-21 07:22
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	39	$1.3K	787	787	+0	open	—	09-08 19:31
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	61	$1.1K	1,702	1,060	+642	Yes	-$699	07-06 12:49
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	39	$1.0K	1,954	471	+1,483	open	—	09-30 08:19
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.0K	1,594	1,398	+196	No	-$38	06-13 02:47
Will USA be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	12	$1.0K	2,602	668	+1,934	No	-$91	06-16 14:45
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	6	$1.0K	931	931	+0	No	-$304	06-26 15:37
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	58	$954	1,153	586	+567	Yes	+$141	09-27 21:56
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	21	$936	1,180	1,011	+170	No	-$294	06-27 17:09
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	33	$909	3,067	529	+2,538	Yes	+$47	09-02 20:09
Will Trump attend UFC 331?	10	$866	450	450	+0	No	+$2	09-11 01:29
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$864	1,499	40	+1,459	Yes	+$634	06-21 02:40
will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	5	$862	2,774	10	+2,764	Yes	-$857	07-01 02:14
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	78	$805	1,486	1,485	+1	No	+$33	07-25 07:02
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	41	$784	517	513	+4	open	—	07-22 19:16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	24	$765	419	419	+0	No	+$47	10-14 00:04
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	45	$764	1,040	443	+597	Yes	+$205	07-22 16:47
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	29	$759	558	558	+0	open	—	10-19 17:46
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$759	1,462	98	+1,364	No	-$401	06-27 15:52
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$704	1,034	0	+1,034	Yes	+$181	06-21 04:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:05:44	Will Corey Day win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xe2afb4…
10-26 19:22:38	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	505	5¢	$25	0x3d964f…
10-26 19:11:30	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xee2595…
10-26 18:42:11	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	5¢	$13	0xe0cff8…
10-26 17:22:11	Will Nikita Kucherov record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x98ebf2…
10-25 23:04:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0xa34989…
10-25 22:59:38	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	76	64¢	$49	0xbe39c3…
10-25 18:58:53	Will Jalen Hurts have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x6b690b…
10-25 07:43:50	Will Inter Milan finish top 8 in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x46ce7b…
10-23 14:21:45	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x781942…
10-23 12:27:33	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	BUY	363	76¢	$276	0x85f443…
10-23 12:05:08	Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x69e97c…
10-23 03:22:57	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	74	87¢	$64	0x9640ae…
10-23 01:42:18	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x5356e7…
10-22 15:34:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0xa6f688…
10-22 00:13:56	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x95cd04…
10-21 00:19:18	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	428	23¢	$98	0xe1743e…
10-20 23:50:41	Will Kyle Monangai have 649.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2c982f…
10-20 23:43:36	Will Jalen Hurts have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	121	93¢	$113	0x48422b…
10-20 23:22:50	Will Trevor Lawrence have 22.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8e3eab…
10-19 17:46:15	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x57b8ee…
10-19 17:45:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xe4a5cd…
10-19 17:43:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0x5e611a…
10-19 17:42:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xbd1f4c…
10-19 17:42:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0x71dbbd…
10-19 17:40:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x71d334…
10-19 15:19:15	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x655ffc…
10-18 19:25:53	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x70bb75…
10-17 21:04:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xf4f14f…
10-17 21:00:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0xbf6543…
10-17 20:31:12	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0xa154fa…
10-17 20:27:38	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x74d86a…
10-17 20:23:44	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7a14a7…
10-17 11:37:27	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x097ed7…
10-17 07:41:17	Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xd2e13c…
10-16 19:22:55	Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x0fb1a8…
10-16 02:55:45	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xefae63…
10-16 02:42:09	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	47	60¢	$28	0x0a5d47…
10-15 09:02:47	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	92¢	$98	0x8b3060…
10-15 01:25:52	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe94801…
10-14 01:18:48	Will the New York Islanders make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x292a23…
10-14 01:03:37	Will the New York Islanders make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xe916cb…
10-14 00:04:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x76d55b…
10-13 23:11:42	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x916108…
10-13 20:45:48	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdbde42…
10-13 17:23:15	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4528f1…
10-13 17:21:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8adea7…
10-13 17:21:25	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xca1820…
10-13 17:19:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4b57b6…
10-13 16:23:34	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xec4686…
10-13 16:23:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x96a8fc…
10-13 16:10:06	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x78c538…
10-13 16:09:48	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5eb5a2…
10-12 20:13:29	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	104	89¢	$93	0xdf8b72…
10-12 06:08:38	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xba42ae…
10-11 12:35:06	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?	No	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0xd69489…
10-09 20:32:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x7a5229…
10-09 19:31:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x06c64b…
10-09 19:30:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe547f9…
10-09 19:29:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7ccce0…
10-08 19:34:32	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd67ecc…
10-07 19:23:16	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	387	88¢	$341	0x9dcf28…
10-06 16:43:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xfdae9b…
10-06 14:34:33	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	81	58¢	$47	0x1936dc…
10-06 03:50:07	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x6ba86b…
10-06 03:48:12	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x05c95e…
10-06 03:47:57	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x84f00d…
10-05 19:08:32	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0x9c1f8c…
10-05 16:44:02	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x108cc9…
10-05 10:49:59	Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x053922…
10-05 07:35:07	Will the Buffalo Sabres make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x123bfd…
10-04 22:34:29	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x5de11f…
10-04 21:13:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xa4ffc0…
10-04 21:08:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	143	80¢	$114	0x5b1e10…
10-04 19:54:05	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x6397e3…
10-04 19:26:38	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe7bf57…
10-04 16:03:20	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x274b54…
10-04 16:00:34	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x37ad02…
10-04 15:51:31	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	369	16¢	$59	0x0bf3db…
10-04 15:49:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	144	16¢	$23	0x171632…
10-04 15:05:02	Will the Buffalo Sabres make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc32496…
10-04 06:31:46	Will the New York Islanders make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xfd1d80…
10-04 03:02:19	Will the New York Islanders make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5bacd4…
10-04 01:17:07	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	513	16¢	$82	0x15ee29…
10-03 17:52:38	Dayton vs. Drake	Drake	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x1079df…
10-03 04:45:36	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	53	18¢	$10	0x12d65d…
10-02 23:04:24	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x8d53cc…
10-02 21:21:47	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x54015d…
10-02 20:45:27	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	43	18¢	$8	0x38c8be…
10-02 20:21:20	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x7bd64a…
10-02 20:19:12	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x1df44a…
10-02 00:57:05	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x9d1fd4…
10-01 23:54:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x63ee7d…
10-01 21:03:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	35	79¢	$28	0xe08343…
10-01 21:02:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x3ffee6…
10-01 21:02:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x7b3f30…
10-01 21:01:50	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6f8a73…
10-01 21:01:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x118c95…
10-01 21:01:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x3d1eaa…
10-01 16:00:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x236601…