Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$190
Hit rate
16.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
624
lifetime
Volume
$25.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$1.05K
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 06-30 16:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
79%
Tech
11%
Other
6% 33% $-1
Politics
2% 0% $-9
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +678 $355 79¢ $536 +$180 06-17 02:19
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +417 $303 76¢ $317 +$14 06-05 01:29
Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? No -62 $-60 99¢ $-61 $-1 06-07 12:46
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +504 $55 10¢ $48 $-7 06-28 05:13
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -30 $-29 91¢ $-27 +$1 06-26 09:20
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +20 $11 88¢ $18 +$6 06-30 11:42
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +17 $11 57¢ $10 $-1 06-29 13:34
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +15 $9 63¢ $9 +$0 05-29 05:13
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -17 $-12 55¢ $-9 +$3 06-12 21:42
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No -12 $-6 53¢ $-6 +$0 06-25 11:36
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +45 $3 $3 $-0 06-28 03:23
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +32 $2 $2 +$0 06-13 12:58
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -10 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$1 06-30 20:09
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +10 $0 18¢ $2 +$2 06-17 21:05
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 13:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-13 18:51
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes -36 $9 $-0 $-9 06-20 18:23