Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$344
Hit rate
16.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,145
lifetime
Volume
$34.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.98K
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 07-20 23:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
78%
Tech
11%
Other
7% 33% $-1
Politics
2% 0% $-9
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +678 $355 77¢ $522 +$167 06-17 02:19
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 99.5 +677 $417 65¢ $440 +$23 07-20 03:18
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? Yes +407 $277 70¢ $283 +$6 07-19 20:26
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +334 $167 65¢ $217 +$50 07-07 06:41
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 84.5 +184 $143 79¢ $145 +$2 07-19 20:26
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +150 $82 94¢ $142 +$60 07-19 14:08
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +167 $99 82¢ $137 +$38 07-16 17:39
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? No +57 $45 86¢ $49 +$4 07-19 23:58
SHEIN IPO before 2027? No +82 $24 14¢ $11 $-12 07-14 05:12
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes +15 $9 68¢ $10 +$1 05-29 05:13
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No -12 $-6 56¢ $-7 $-0 06-25 11:36
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +8 $6 66¢ $5 $-0 07-18 03:31
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +10 $-2 38¢ $4 +$5 07-14 12:30
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -10 $-3 18¢ $-2 +$1 06-30 20:09
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-23 13:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -12 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-13 18:51