Realized P&L (7d)
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$510
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
13
3,175 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$313
$79.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.48K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 11-11 19:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Sports
60% 48% +$1,815
Other
20% 42% +$908
Tech
14% 36% -$125
Politics
5% 46% -$1,184
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +688 $361 91¢ $626 +$265 06-17 02:19
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? No +292 $186 82¢ $238 +$52 11-09 00:07
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +227 $74 92¢ $209 +$135 10-23 03:22
Will Jalen Hurts have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +203 $189 99¢ $200 +$11 10-25 18:58
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +173 $138 99¢ $171 +$33 07-01 00:20
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,753 $519 10¢ $167 -$352 09-24 05:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +632 $374 25¢ $158 -$216 10-25 23:04
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +143 $51 82¢ $117 +$66 09-23 23:13
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,361 $204 8¢ $105 -$99 11-01 11:19
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? No +92 $82 92¢ $84 +$3 09-04 19:24
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +2,668 $481 3¢ $81 -$400 10-21 00:19
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? No +137 $82 56¢ $77 -$4 10-16 19:22
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Cup? No +70 $63 92¢ $65 +$2 11-07 03:04
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? Yes +778 $87 6¢ $51 -$36 09-09 10:13
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +34 $31 98¢ $33 +$3 09-10 03:45
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +94 $23 31¢ $29 +$6 11-04 21:57
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +24 $41 91¢ $22 -$19 11-05 10:00
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +17 -$56 94¢ $16 +$72 11-11 19:39
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? No +10 $5 88¢ $9 +$4 08-17 23:08
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? Yes +25 $10 24¢ $6 -$5 09-27 14:06
Will Kyle Monangai have 649.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +7 $5 59¢ $4 -$1 10-20 23:50
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +4 -$41 96¢ $4 +$45 07-22 19:16
Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +6 $4 64¢ $4 +$0 10-28 03:46
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? Yes +41 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-02 17:09
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? Yes +34 $8 4¢ $1 -$6 10-01 02:51
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026? No +40 $8 3¢ $1 -$7 08-12 21:14
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 3¢ $1 -$2 09-20 03:59
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +17 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 09-30 04:06
Will Beyoncé release an album in 2026? Yes +10 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 09-05 14:57
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +2 $54 19¢ $0 -$54 09-01 14:01