Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$558
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
35
Trades (90d)
648
648 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$397.5K
$397.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$613
Open exposure
$267.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-28 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
76% 100% +$1,367
Politics
23% 100% +$234
Crypto
1% 100% +$4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +42,500 $42,088 100¢ $42.3K +$221 10-24 20:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +20,000 $19,920 100¢ $19.9K -$10 10-27 03:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20,000 $19,186 96¢ $19.2K +$14 10-28 13:54
Trump out as President before 2027? No +20,000 $19,168 95¢ $19.1K -$78 10-27 19:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? No +14,232 $14,132 100¢ $14.2K +$64 10-28 15:29
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +10,671 $10,499 99¢ $10.6K +$114 10-25 19:50
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,393 $10,362 100¢ $10.4K +$21 10-27 03:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +10,345 $10,023 98¢ $10.2K +$157 10-27 03:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,000 $9,872 98¢ $9.8K -$32 10-27 03:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +10,000 $9,670 93¢ $9.3K -$355 10-24 16:19
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +8,114 $7,708 98¢ $7.9K +$231 10-27 01:30
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +7,980 $7,916 99¢ $7.9K -$4 10-28 16:17
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +7,849 $7,419 94¢ $7.4K -$1 10-28 13:46
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +7,474 $7,122 96¢ $7.1K +$20 10-15 12:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6,968 $6,522 94¢ $6.6K +$63 10-28 15:04
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +6,457 $6,208 97¢ $6.3K +$45 10-16 16:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,230 $6,724 84¢ $6.0K -$687 10-09 19:13
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +6,228 $5,851 97¢ $6.0K +$178 10-27 02:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +5,354 $5,282 99¢ $5.3K +$32 10-24 23:44
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5,699 $5,148 91¢ $5.2K +$38 10-15 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? No +5,000 $4,975 100¢ $5.0K +$18 10-27 03:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5,000 $4,800 99¢ $5.0K +$160 10-14 14:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,000 $4,750 94¢ $4.7K -$25 10-14 13:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,000 $4,300 86¢ $4.3K +$25 10-24 16:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,050 86¢ $4.3K +$225 10-24 16:03
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +4,236 $4,000 96¢ $4.1K +$70 10-13 20:54
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,945 97¢ $2.9K -$24 10-07 08:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +2,715 $2,644 100¢ $2.7K +$64 10-13 14:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,097 $1,890 90¢ $1.9K +$7 10-24 16:25
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? No +1,321 $1,310 100¢ $1.3K +$6 10-25 11:28