Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$558
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
35
Trades (90d)
648
648 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$397.5K
$397.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$613
Open exposure
$267.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-28 16:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
76%
100%
+$1,367
Politics
23%
100%
+$234
Crypto
1%
100%
+$4
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk
• peak 87 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | +42,500 | $42,088 | 100¢ | $42.3K | +$221 | 10-24 20:45 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | +20,000 | $19,920 | 100¢ | $19.9K | -$10 | 10-27 03:34 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | +20,000 | $19,186 | 96¢ | $19.2K | +$14 | 10-28 13:54 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | +20,000 | $19,168 | 95¢ | $19.1K | -$78 | 10-27 19:27 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | +14,232 | $14,132 | 100¢ | $14.2K | +$64 | 10-28 15:29 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | +10,671 | $10,499 | 99¢ | $10.6K | +$114 | 10-25 19:50 | |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | +10,393 | $10,362 | 100¢ | $10.4K | +$21 | 10-27 03:32 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | +10,345 | $10,023 | 98¢ | $10.2K | +$157 | 10-27 03:35 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | +10,000 | $9,872 | 98¢ | $9.8K | -$32 | 10-27 03:37 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | +10,000 | $9,670 | 93¢ | $9.3K | -$355 | 10-24 16:19 | |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | +8,114 | $7,708 | 98¢ | $7.9K | +$231 | 10-27 01:30 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | +7,980 | $7,916 | 99¢ | $7.9K | -$4 | 10-28 16:17 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | +7,849 | $7,419 | 94¢ | $7.4K | -$1 | 10-28 13:46 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | +7,474 | $7,122 | 96¢ | $7.1K | +$20 | 10-15 12:48 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | +6,968 | $6,522 | 94¢ | $6.6K | +$63 | 10-28 15:04 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | +6,457 | $6,208 | 97¢ | $6.3K | +$45 | 10-16 16:04 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +7,230 | $6,724 | 84¢ | $6.0K | -$687 | 10-09 19:13 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | +6,228 | $5,851 | 97¢ | $6.0K | +$178 | 10-27 02:31 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | +5,354 | $5,282 | 99¢ | $5.3K | +$32 | 10-24 23:44 | |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | +5,699 | $5,148 | 91¢ | $5.2K | +$38 | 10-15 19:05 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | No | +5,000 | $4,975 | 100¢ | $5.0K | +$18 | 10-27 03:40 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | +5,000 | $4,800 | 99¢ | $5.0K | +$160 | 10-14 14:02 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +5,000 | $4,750 | 94¢ | $4.7K | -$25 | 10-14 13:37 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | +5,000 | $4,300 | 86¢ | $4.3K | +$25 | 10-24 16:04 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | +5,000 | $4,050 | 86¢ | $4.3K | +$225 | 10-24 16:03 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | +4,236 | $4,000 | 96¢ | $4.1K | +$70 | 10-13 20:54 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | +3,000 | $2,945 | 97¢ | $2.9K | -$24 | 10-07 08:55 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | +2,715 | $2,644 | 100¢ | $2.7K | +$64 | 10-13 14:36 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | +2,097 | $1,890 | 90¢ | $1.9K | +$7 | 10-24 16:25 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | +1,321 | $1,310 | 100¢ | $1.3K | +$6 | 10-25 11:28 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||