Realized P&L (24h)
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$5.10K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
22
1,503 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$6.90K
$769.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$512
Open exposure
$258.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 11-05 19:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
65% 100% +$2,763
Politics
33% 100% +$1,107
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Crypto
1% 100% +$4
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +26,100 $25,048 96¢ $25.1K +$60 11-03 16:27
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +20,000 $19,384 98¢ $19.7K +$296 11-04 03:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +20,000 $19,186 98¢ $19.5K +$344 10-28 13:54
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +19,213 $18,456 97¢ $18.7K +$267 11-04 14:45
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +17,432 $16,624 97¢ $16.9K +$294 11-03 11:01
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,056 $16,295 98¢ $16.7K +$438 11-05 20:14
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +13,487 $12,850 97¢ $13.1K +$253 11-04 03:31
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +12,684 $11,923 96¢ $12.2K +$260 11-01 09:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +12,080 $12,037 100¢ $12.1K +$31 11-03 10:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10,000 $9,372 97¢ $9.7K +$303 10-31 09:36
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8,540 $8,068 97¢ $8.3K +$190 10-29 17:47
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +8,314 $7,851 96¢ $8.0K +$168 11-02 16:30
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +8,114 $7,708 97¢ $7.9K +$175 10-27 01:30
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +7,504 $7,151 99¢ $7.4K +$249 11-02 05:30
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5,818 $5,259 94¢ $5.4K +$180 11-05 17:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +5,000 $4,800 100¢ $5.0K +$192 10-14 14:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,050 97¢ $4.9K +$810 10-24 16:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5,000 $4,750 97¢ $4.8K +$98 10-14 13:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,000 $4,300 92¢ $4.6K +$275 10-24 16:04
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +4,785 $4,498 94¢ $4.5K -$24 11-04 01:12
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +4,523 $4,335 98¢ $4.4K +$88 11-02 15:56
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,180 $4,000 97¢ $4.1K +$63 11-02 21:40
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +4,116 $3,789 94¢ $3.8K +$59 11-02 21:31
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,769 $3,600 95¢ $3.6K -$31 11-05 12:45
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +3,613 $3,411 95¢ $3.4K +$13 11-04 02:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +3,566 $3,290 93¢ $3.3K +$39 11-05 14:23
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +3,455 $3,150 92¢ $3.2K +$28 11-05 14:24
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +3,079 $2,934 98¢ $3.0K +$85 11-04 06:45
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $2,945 94¢ $2.8K -$129 10-07 08:55
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No +2,846 $2,721 97¢ $2.8K +$32 11-04 17:20