Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$310

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

602

627 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$372.8K

$384.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$613

Open exposure

$240.0K

30 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-28 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$882

Politics

25% 100% +$234

Crypto

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	+42,500	$42,088	100¢	$42.3K	+$242	10-24 20:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	+20,000	$19,920	100¢	$19.9K	-$10	10-27 03:34
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+20,000	$19,168	95¢	$19.0K	-$118	10-27 19:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+18,749	$17,986	96¢	$18.0K	+$41	10-28 03:20
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	+10,671	$10,499	99¢	$10.6K	+$103	10-25 19:50
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+10,393	$10,362	100¢	$10.4K	+$21	10-27 03:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	+10,345	$10,023	99¢	$10.2K	+$193	10-27 03:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	+10,000	$9,872	99¢	$9.9K	-$7	10-27 03:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+10,000	$9,670	93¢	$9.3K	-$330	10-24 16:19
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	+8,114	$7,708	97¢	$7.9K	+$146	10-27 01:30
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	+7,474	$7,122	95¢	$7.1K	-$2	10-15 12:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+7,000	$6,620	94¢	$6.6K	-$5	10-25 01:17
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+6,457	$6,208	97¢	$6.2K	+$32	10-16 16:04
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+6,228	$5,851	97¢	$6.1K	+$203	10-27 02:31
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7,230	$6,724	82¢	$6.0K	-$759	10-09 19:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	+5,354	$5,282	99¢	$5.3K	+$43	10-24 23:44
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	+5,699	$5,148	91¢	$5.2K	+$38	10-15 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	+5,000	$4,975	100¢	$5.0K	+$12	10-27 03:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+5,000	$4,800	99¢	$5.0K	+$152	10-14 14:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+5,000	$4,750	94¢	$4.7K	-$75	10-14 13:37
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+5,000	$4,300	86¢	$4.3K	+$25	10-24 16:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+5,000	$4,050	84¢	$4.2K	+$175	10-24 16:03
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+4,236	$4,000	97¢	$4.1K	+$128	10-13 20:54
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+3,000	$2,945	98¢	$2.9K	-$18	10-07 08:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,715	$2,644	100¢	$2.7K	+$64	10-13 14:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+2,097	$1,890	90¢	$1.9K	-$14	10-24 16:25
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	+1,500	$1,485	99¢	$1.5K	+$3	10-28 03:21
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,321	$1,310	100¢	$1.3K	+$7	10-25 11:28
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+1,278	$1,231	97¢	$1.2K	+$13	10-14 13:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+1,151	$1,071	94¢	$1.1K	+$6	10-27 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:21:21	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$251	0xb8d149…
10-28 03:20:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0xec9e4b…
10-28 03:18:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0xd9dfbc…
10-28 03:16:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0xbc6328…
10-28 02:58:41	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x27067e…
10-28 02:50:48	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	325	99¢	$322	0x7692d2…
10-28 02:25:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	271	96¢	$260	0xaa900b…
10-28 02:19:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,084	96¢	$2,000	0x25a270…
10-28 02:12:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x6cc900…
10-28 02:03:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	493	96¢	$472	0x9a02fa…
10-28 02:02:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	654	96¢	$627	0x105e7f…
10-28 02:00:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	656	96¢	$628	0xec0391…
10-28 02:00:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x4ed40d…
10-28 01:17:05	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	495	100¢	$494	0x4c67e3…
10-28 01:05:08	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,520	100¢	$4,514	0xd15f12…
10-27 20:21:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	171	93¢	$159	0x9809cd…
10-27 20:17:03	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	96	93¢	$90	0x7dbd50…
10-27 20:15:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	173	93¢	$161	0xf59e74…
10-27 19:27:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x47c073…
10-27 18:30:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x8fbf0d…
10-27 18:18:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1,377	96¢	$1,319	0x467c62…
10-27 17:41:47	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	711	93¢	$662	0x7ff9a4…
10-27 16:01:33	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher?	Yes	BUY	3,766	100¢	$3,762	0x780bc7…
10-27 14:56:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	412	96¢	$395	0x106ab6…
10-27 14:15:23	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	1,506	100¢	$1,500	0xcc3fec…
10-27 14:04:35	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b6559…
10-27 13:50:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0xca17cc…
10-27 13:37:41	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0x078b76…
10-27 13:32:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5ebfae…
10-27 13:23:42	Will Coca-Cola say "Growth" 15+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2,888	100¢	$2,885	0x0c9233…
10-27 12:20:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0xf50a85…
10-27 12:20:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x82f299…
10-27 12:19:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x1f84a1…
10-27 12:19:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0xaa15f5…
10-27 12:14:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x96db0a…
10-27 12:13:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x77e629…
10-27 12:13:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x2f5c66…
10-27 12:13:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x1109c7…
10-27 12:12:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x3ab434…
10-27 12:12:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x65aa6e…
10-27 12:12:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x4bfd3b…
10-27 12:08:29	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0xd77cd0…
10-27 11:22:23	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	403	99¢	$398	0x433fe3…
10-27 11:07:26	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x20efb5…
10-27 09:54:38	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xe78da5…
10-27 09:54:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb70fc1…
10-27 09:49:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x875a09…
10-27 09:00:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x6f9260…
10-27 08:58:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2,083	96¢	$2,000	0x5b8dca…
10-27 08:41:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2,085	96¢	$2,000	0xbee640…
10-27 08:08:03	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x580d23…
10-27 08:02:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x692e4e…
10-27 07:19:56	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	423	96¢	$405	0xdeba12…
10-27 07:03:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2,087	96¢	$2,000	0x200398…
10-27 05:12:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	523	96¢	$500	0xce33ae…
10-27 04:20:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	807	96¢	$773	0xc29113…
10-27 04:05:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x67f590…
10-27 03:56:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	688	96¢	$659	0xc1c2cb…
10-27 03:44:23	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0xc843e3…
10-27 03:42:35	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x9cf475…
10-27 03:40:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0x44bfba…
10-27 03:40:38	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0xd5a93c…
10-27 03:37:39	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,872	0x313536…
10-27 03:35:20	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1,095	98¢	$1,075	0xe96d9e…
10-27 03:34:59	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x1eee8f…
10-27 03:34:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,920	0xcff079…
10-27 03:32:11	Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	10,393	100¢	$10,362	0x2efabd…
10-27 03:29:56	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x2dee87…
10-27 03:28:21	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0xcfabf6…
10-27 03:23:05	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0xb0848f…
10-27 03:21:15	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0xaafcce…
10-27 03:20:15	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$202	0x138a4c…
10-27 03:19:26	Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	No	BUY	1,070	93¢	$1,000	0x9a717a…
10-27 03:12:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	1,800	96¢	$1,726	0x4d3a01…
10-27 03:09:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,085	96¢	$2,000	0x40e46c…
10-27 03:08:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,085	96¢	$2,000	0xc7863b…
10-27 03:06:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,085	96¢	$2,000	0x1601ae…
10-27 02:50:42	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4bb6f3…
10-27 02:31:35	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x903566…
10-27 02:31:24	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xe7119e…
10-27 02:30:53	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x20b7c9…
10-27 02:20:09	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,396	100¢	$1,394	0xb669a9…
10-27 02:19:35	Will Jeff Knoll win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,538	100¢	$1,536	0x81e792…
10-27 01:59:20	Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	Anthropic	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0x9faef6…
10-27 01:52:44	Will Conny Glenn win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,279	100¢	$1,278	0xa3e814…
10-27 01:51:05	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x24028d…
10-27 01:50:50	Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x066a8d…
10-27 01:47:33	Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?	No	BUY	2,749	100¢	$2,746	0xbdab7b…
10-27 01:46:23	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0xc61ec4…
10-27 01:30:36	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	1,219	95¢	$1,158	0x2c0df7…
10-27 01:28:02	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	1,586	95¢	$1,500	0x032206…
10-27 01:23:48	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	330	95¢	$313	0x60685d…
10-27 01:14:59	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	224	94¢	$210	0x0651ea…
10-27 01:11:05	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x3cc0c5…
10-27 01:04:35	Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,662	100¢	$1,661	0xd6d236…
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef92e1…
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3354f…
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc0c493…
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfd1c4…
10-27 00:53:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf0974…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	44	$42.1K	42,500	+42,500	open	—	10-24 20:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$19.9K	20,000	+20,000	open	—	10-27 03:34
Trump out as President before 2027?	33	$19.2K	20,000	+20,000	open	—	10-27 19:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	15	$18.0K	18,749	+18,749	open	—	10-28 03:20
Iran leadership change by October 31?	19	$10.5K	10,671	+10,671	open	—	10-25 19:50
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$10.4K	10,393	+10,393	open	—	10-27 03:32
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	12	$10.0K	10,345	+10,345	open	—	10-27 03:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	1	$9.9K	10,000	+10,000	open	—	10-27 03:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$9.7K	10,000	+10,000	open	—	10-24 16:19
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?	10	$9.2K	9,806	+9,806	open	—	10-27 03:44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$9.0K	9,000	+9,000	No	+$9	10-07 11:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	32	$9.0K	9,056	+9,056	open	—	10-27 14:15
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	18	$8.8K	9,000	+9,000	Yes	+$181	10-13 06:55
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$8.3K	8,384	+8,384	No	+$97	10-24 16:30
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	31	$7.8K	7,999	+7,999	Yes	+$206	10-10 08:59
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	19	$7.7K	8,114	+8,114	open	—	10-27 01:30
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	12	$7.5K	7,521	+7,521	Yes	+$55	10-24 16:23
Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$7.2K	7,200	+7,200	No	+$7	10-12 11:32
GTA VI released by November 30?	126	$7.1K	7,474	+7,474	open	—	10-15 12:48
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	17	$6.7K	7,230	+7,230	open	—	10-09 19:13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	8	$6.6K	7,000	+7,000	open	—	10-25 01:17
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	5	$6.2K	6,344	+6,344	Yes	+$132	10-13 14:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	25	$6.2K	6,457	+6,457	open	—	10-16 16:04
Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?	2	$6.1K	6,057	+6,057	Yes	+$6	10-14 01:23
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	20	$5.9K	6,228	+6,228	open	—	10-27 02:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	5	$5.3K	5,354	+5,354	open	—	10-24 23:44
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	12	$5.1K	5,699	+5,699	open	—	10-15 19:05
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	2	$5.0K	5,015	+5,015	No	+$6	10-28 01:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	1	$5.0K	5,000	+5,000	open	—	10-27 03:40
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	24	$4.9K	5,000	+5,000	Yes	+$100	10-08 11:40