Realized P&L (7d)
-$29
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
36.3%
Resolved (7d)
62
Trades (7d)
51
6,496 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$81
$30.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$24
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 10-29 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
90% 38% -$614
Politics
5% 16% -$194
Crypto
4% 22% +$27
Sports
1% 8% -$33
Tech
0% 12% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +6 $2 69¢ $4 +$2 10-28 12:13
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +15 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 08-14 07:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 35¢ $2 +$0 10-28 08:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +20 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 09-07 11:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 06-03 19:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$4 16¢ $-2 +$2 04-28 16:33
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +55 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 08-28 11:58
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-28 08:45
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-27 08:12
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +55 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-17 10:34
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +194 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-15 12:12
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +5 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 09-12 10:34
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 10-27 08:45
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 08-03 15:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +268 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-11 14:43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 08-25 10:31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +307 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 09-22 15:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-13 18:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +151 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 10-07 10:41
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-07 14:55
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-30 07:52
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +7 $0 5¢ $0 $0 08-16 08:33
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-07 09:39
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +16 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-16 17:20
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +68 -$6 0¢ $0 +$7 10-16 12:59
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-16 17:20
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-16 17:19
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +19 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-10 08:16
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026 Yes +17 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-06 11:54
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +10 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 10-12 08:38