First-Ghost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

436

Trades

825

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-18 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

73% 86% -$3

Crypto

19% 79% +$1

Politics

4% 84% +$0

Tech

3% 43% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?	3	$123	62	62	+0	No	$0	07-28 06:26
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	4	$94	47	47	+0	No	$0	07-30 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	5	$81	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-21 12:34
ethereum above 1700 on july 23 2026	2	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	$0	07-22 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 29?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-29 04:28
solana above 90 on july 25 2026	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 12:39
Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-10 18:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 27?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-27 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 13?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	10-13 01:20
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on July 19?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 29?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 18:23
will ethereum reach 2000 on july 24	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-25 01:33
will googl dip to 290 by july 27 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-31 14:43
bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 00:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 10?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 24?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-23 22:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$56	56	0	+56	Yes	+$0	08-31 03:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-10 01:11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 23?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 20:15
Will Nationalist Party win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-30 11:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on July 11?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-11 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 29?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 11:53
amzn above 210 on april 17 2026	6	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 21?	5	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?	2	$53	27	26	+0	No	$0	07-25 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 24?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-22 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:02:21	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x283739…
10-13 01:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 13?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xfba07d…
10-12 23:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x14366c…
10-12 04:55:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9d3ebd…
10-12 02:22:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x827ae8…
10-11 20:35:03	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x277741…
10-10 06:05:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x55240d…
10-07 19:37:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf6b36c…
10-05 11:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0bdeb0…
10-01 23:55:47	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd1705f…
10-01 21:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x34b820…
10-01 04:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7ba45b…
09-28 04:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x96016c…
09-27 19:06:11	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8af637…
09-23 11:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x4b82a2…
09-22 22:42:16	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc0631f…
09-22 17:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7886a6…
09-22 17:08:18	Will "Jo Koy: Blue in the Face" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x334a29…
09-22 15:46:19	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x16d9d8…
09-21 21:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on September 22?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x943cd8…
09-19 01:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x6a2ec3…
09-18 02:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xcb9010…
09-18 01:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x493571…
09-13 04:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaaf86c…
09-11 20:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x61f5a4…
09-11 02:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x87d046…
09-10 19:21:33	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1d430c…
09-07 14:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x383ebb…
09-06 14:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1cd31d…
09-06 08:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x49c761…
09-05 22:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb79879…
09-05 05:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc9df1d…
09-05 03:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc7d797…
09-04 21:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb75281…
09-04 16:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x842055…
09-04 11:53:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xec060a…
09-04 02:56:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xee03ee…
09-03 21:45:12	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x39fb15…
09-03 07:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf18cf9…
09-03 00:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xa1cb14…
09-02 18:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d844c…
09-02 09:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xbf98ae…
09-02 06:29:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x066241…
09-01 06:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0817d…
09-01 04:05:21	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfe759c…
08-31 03:31:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa572e5…
08-31 02:29:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd353f1…
08-30 19:05:34	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4f10d1…
08-30 16:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd26392…
08-30 04:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6553c8…
08-29 20:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb6fe1f…
08-28 18:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72856e…
08-28 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 28?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb2ba1b…
08-28 07:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8e6f41…
08-27 12:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9df03f…
08-27 08:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa8951…
08-27 03:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x13cd36…
08-26 18:25:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x17c301…
08-26 11:16:31	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d611f…
08-26 09:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3b5698…
08-25 11:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8f4fd4…
08-25 04:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x097f7b…
08-24 21:09:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7c8fe4…
08-24 14:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa4ca55…
08-24 08:10:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x29f1e9…
08-24 01:06:00	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xba3a54…
08-23 17:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2992a9…
08-14 08:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9c50c1…
08-13 18:49:37	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432958	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x796c12…
08-13 17:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x24f7b3…
08-13 11:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf13c6…
08-13 07:19:49	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x9676ab…
08-12 22:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb76c7d…
08-12 07:20:19	ethereum above 2100 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9e781d…
08-12 03:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6d8c66…
08-12 00:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb1da37…
08-11 21:41:27	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea79b3…
08-11 14:06:57	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x673870…
08-10 23:07:43	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xd71fe4…
08-10 20:28:09	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3f655c…
08-10 13:38:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x784cc0…
08-10 12:40:15	will ice cream man score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175216574	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x596afd…
08-09 13:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9bd0e2…
08-09 10:52:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc38915…
08-09 05:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x317971…
08-09 02:29:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x8d02aa…
08-08 18:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x9743f1…
08-08 06:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x15c4ea…
08-08 03:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f78d0…
08-07 21:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7c7671…
08-07 18:51:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x9841c0…
08-07 10:44:00	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb048b5…
08-07 10:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8b38c4…
08-06 16:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x267333…
08-06 16:24:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1da3eb…
08-05 21:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x29a681…
08-05 21:01:08	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x087ef4…
08-05 17:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9189a1…
08-05 10:36:45	Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8cde0b…
08-05 10:01:57	bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xa53924…