Itchy-Manufacturer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

355

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$8.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

77% 87% +$3

Crypto

15% 91% +$0

Politics

5% 67% +$0

Sports

2% 46% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	08-27 23:03
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	09-20 00:25
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-23 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	2	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	04-13 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 14?	4	$93	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-14 17:00
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$80	43	37	+6	No	+$0	05-20 02:45
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	5	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-05 14:11
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	1	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	04-01 13:26
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	04-27 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 11?	3	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on May 4?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-03 18:40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 14?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-14 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	3	$59	39	21	+18	No	+$0	05-16 05:39
Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-10 14:34
Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-18 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-17 17:17
highest temperature in los angeles on april 5 2026 68 69f	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-05 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 5?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-04 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 10?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-09 06:58
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 2?	3	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 6?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-05 19:45
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on May 6?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on May 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-09 23:32
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 25c	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-20 07:05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 15?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-15 05:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 7?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-07 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-07 09:13
highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 7c	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-28 04:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-08 08:20
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 60 61f	3	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-20 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 14?	4	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:43:23	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe63203…
10-04 20:04:37	Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x99b8a1…
10-04 16:42:53	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x806aa2…
10-04 16:41:59	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x39c99a…
10-04 16:41:05	Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x223f82…
10-04 16:40:11	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0cfe91…
10-04 16:39:20	Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa10b9a…
10-04 16:38:26	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xf63359…
09-23 22:12:52	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60a39f…
09-20 00:25:57	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d31dc…
09-06 10:50:27	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab0d20…
08-27 23:03:28	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c9a0f…
08-24 09:04:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf72bfe…
08-11 04:46:13	Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x071355…
07-28 22:54:44	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x296ec9…
07-23 17:10:24	Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8dda04…
07-22 12:51:46	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xebaea6…
07-11 23:00:22	Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa4e059…
07-05 03:25:50	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xba6c69…
07-05 03:24:53	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee33c5…
07-05 03:23:55	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6ad43f…
07-05 03:22:58	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf386b1…
07-03 09:27:08	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54b3ca…
06-28 14:48:02	Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x658c47…
06-24 14:49:23	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79a12e…
06-22 01:47:20	Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x68a704…
06-18 15:09:25	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf3999b…
06-04 04:33:45	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0e54ab…
05-20 21:35:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5c9c61…
05-20 15:03:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcb26f5…
05-20 13:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc003c8…
05-20 11:51:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x9a1365…
05-20 10:31:26	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x143847…
05-20 09:05:30	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa9237f…
05-20 08:02:58	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4b5fa8…
05-20 06:15:33	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf24820…
05-20 03:51:53	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x52fcba…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7993d7…
05-20 02:45:38	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x392478…
05-20 00:22:38	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x45d80c…
05-19 12:53:27	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ade97…
05-19 11:40:22	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x31e5cd…
05-19 08:17:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfd8d50…
05-19 08:16:00	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x23605d…
05-19 07:57:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x662e92…
05-19 05:14:52	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25d4b5…
05-19 01:30:05	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x969186…
05-18 23:59:33	Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3eeb64…
05-18 19:54:42	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc33d27…
05-18 19:08:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 19?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd86c66…
05-18 18:49:55	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x33f4f1…
05-18 17:16:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xd66871…
05-18 15:46:31	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9d2a55…
05-18 15:24:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 19?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb690f7…
05-18 15:12:29	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x337b0b…
05-18 14:52:37	Will Stacy Garrity win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf82c5…
05-18 13:32:58	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xabd49d…
05-18 12:51:52	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x875ae4…
05-18 11:34:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x28421a…
05-18 10:06:56	Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xebb46a…
05-18 07:13:23	Will "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb47e06…
05-18 06:56:18	Will "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3aabf5…
05-18 06:54:55	Will "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb1b1eb…
05-18 06:13:11	Will "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc77bee…
05-18 05:41:31	Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x081f91…
05-18 05:38:15	Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x18a3e1…
05-18 05:34:29	Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5c3874…
05-18 05:30:19	Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa5efec…
05-18 05:27:39	Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0e1522…
05-18 04:00:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5e3ef2…
05-18 00:51:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 11-17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x00a428…
05-17 23:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on May 19?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x49a871…
05-17 22:24:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x504117…
05-17 21:13:50	Will "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3e1921…
05-17 18:31:40	Will Gavin Solomon be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x33adf1…
05-17 17:23:02	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1b6f20…
05-17 17:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0e3e00…
05-17 17:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xfbb7b7…
05-17 17:18:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x34a1b8…
05-17 17:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x9cf486…
05-17 15:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x710e30…
05-17 11:48:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf140c9…
05-17 08:21:37	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x25af1e…
05-17 06:00:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4dbb6d…
05-17 05:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x317d60…
05-17 03:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x208580…
05-16 23:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb98756…
05-16 23:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd6d2df…
05-16 23:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5e42fe…
05-16 23:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x22543c…
05-16 22:19:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3cffbe…
05-16 22:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x86faa4…
05-16 22:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C or below on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4162e3…
05-16 21:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x287589…
05-16 20:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a5cce…
05-16 20:22:43	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8799d6…
05-16 19:15:54	Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xca804a…
05-16 19:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf46b69…
05-16 18:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf1a348…
05-16 17:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdcb421…