Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$141
$7,300 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$366
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $15 | $18 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 14 | $7 | $18 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Probable-Shallows 0xe459…b097 | Yes | +540 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:26 |
| Blond-Furniture 0x7ce3…1689 | Yes | +407 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Unhealthy-Hackwork 0xee85…480a | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 05:55 |
| Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-05 06:35 |
| Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 22:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:33:02 | Happy-Employee 0xbbdd…b9d7 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2261b… |
| 05-05 16:32:28 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ec4e9… |
| 05-05 13:30:24 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x0aaa13… |
| 05-05 10:51:38 | Anguished-Replacement 0x6c3a…557c | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5a2f34… |
| 05-05 06:35:44 | Zany-Parliament 0xfcb3…e377 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x920ca8… |
| 05-05 05:55:00 | Unhealthy-Hackwork 0xee85…480a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fd49c… |
| 05-05 04:39:54 | Submissive-Congressman 0x14ea…998b | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x72d30d… |
| 05-05 03:26:36 | Probable-Shallows 0xe459…b097 | Yes | BUY | 540 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe8e619… |
| 05-05 01:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x2f53…acb1 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x8829c4… |
| 05-05 01:00:06 | Unnatural-Dictator 0xc129…feac | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x8b1f4f… |
| 05-05 00:54:58 | Blond-Furniture 0x7ce3…1689 | Yes | BUY | 350 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9f0bca… |
| 05-05 00:44:56 | Blond-Furniture 0x7ce3…1689 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7a581c… |
| 05-05 00:24:46 | Nutty-Kilt 0x0b6b…19e7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x485ac0… |
| 05-05 00:24:42 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | SELL | 47 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x773970… |
| 05-05 00:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x806b…ccca | Yes | SELL | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xe70d38… |
| 05-05 00:24:38 | Sugary-Allegation 0xba0a…8ea3 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x3c36e3… |
| 05-05 00:24:36 | Fabulous-Skean 0x3d3c…15ed | Yes | SELL | 72 | 46¢ | $33 | 0xe1a495… |
| 05-05 00:20:04 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x003c38… |
| 05-05 00:19:56 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xb2d1d4… |
| 05-05 00:19:48 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x934212… |
| 05-05 00:19:40 | Required-Cover 0x6ad7…347a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xfc443e… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Elaborate-Psychiatrist 0xcbfc…0be4 | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x65c254… |
| 05-04 22:19:24 | Admired-Gopher 0x2851…6b8c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xab8c9b… |
| 05-04 20:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x15cf…e50e | Yes | SELL | 27 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x8a1c04… |