Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$326
$2,131 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,404
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 04:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $107 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | — | $185 | $185 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 10 | — | $142 | $142 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $48 | $48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $73 | $73 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +73 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 05-14 04:16 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 6 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Recent-Need 0x1589…4579 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 00:09 |
| Authorized-Stumbling 0x5a25…0390 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-14 01:47 |
| Itchy-Manufacturer 0xdd9c…0bee | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-13 20:55 |
| Worldly-Threat 0x4342…7090 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 02:05 |
| Some-Supernatural 0xcf42…20df | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 02:20 |
| Overjoyed-Personality 0x673b…be20 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 23:04 |
| Costly-Hour 0xd990…4349 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 06:03 |
| Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:00 |
| Rare-Adoption 0xe495…0a7a | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 08:11 |
| Spiteful-Tent 0x0dae…6e16 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 07:41 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:06 |
| Rewarding-Seaplane 0x0208…fde9 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 01:56 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:38 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb19f74… |
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5fe885… |
| 05-14 04:16:25 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x06f806… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1c1b69… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x962faf… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe0d792… |
| 05-14 04:06:15 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb780a5… |
| 05-14 04:01:24 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xeb520e… |
| 05-14 04:01:19 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x161176… |
| 05-14 04:00:16 | Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2bc3dc… |
| 05-14 02:30:14 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xf5b647… |
| 05-14 02:20:48 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xed7d6c… |
| 05-14 02:05:21 | Worldly-Threat 0x4342…7090 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x14d5f3… |
| 05-14 01:56:17 | Rewarding-Seaplane 0x0208…fde9 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf928e3… |
| 05-14 01:47:18 | Authorized-Stumbling 0x5a25…0390 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x3146b1… |
| 05-14 01:10:45 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7a0175… |
| 05-14 00:09:56 | Recent-Need 0x1589…4579 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x6cc6cd… |
| 05-13 23:39:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5923ad… |
| 05-13 23:14:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f4cef… |
| 05-13 23:04:05 | Overjoyed-Personality 0x673b…be20 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x98c57d… |
| 05-13 23:01:38 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d9c8e… |
| 05-13 22:55:48 | Straight-Tea 0xeb01…43bb | Yes | SELL | 650 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x747a81… |
| 05-13 21:43:21 | Some-Supernatural 0xcf42…20df | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xbcc416… |
| 05-13 20:55:39 | Itchy-Manufacturer 0xdd9c…0bee | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x818fea… |
| 05-13 13:13:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7c0baa… |
| 05-13 13:13:25 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x2d4185… |
| 05-13 09:11:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb09ef8… |
| 05-13 08:11:19 | Rare-Adoption 0xe495…0a7a | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x74a555… |
| 05-13 07:41:23 | Spiteful-Tent 0x0dae…6e16 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x844bbe… |
| 05-13 06:03:55 | Costly-Hour 0xd990…4349 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5fe5c8… |
| 05-13 05:27:17 | Cultured-Peek 0xbd70…a9b9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6ad96… |
| 05-13 02:03:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7dcd7f… |
| 05-13 00:38:37 | Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x659e39… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b4cfd… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcac351… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeed5b7… |
| 05-13 00:00:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8fb040… |
| 05-12 22:43:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbaab80… |
| 05-12 22:40:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x481dff… |