Authorized-Stumbling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$4.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-14 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$0

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	5	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:08
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	4	$73	37	37	+0	open	—	04-12 23:29
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 18c	2	$59	29	29	+0	open	—	04-19 22:29
will london have 70mm or more of precipitation in march	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	03-30 06:03
will mexicos february unemployment rate be 2pt7	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	03-27 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 25?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-25 16:43
highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 62 63f	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-24 08:51
ethereum above 2600 on april 24	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-24 06:11
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 54 55f	3	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 02:33
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be less than 70	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-24 14:39
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-30 08:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	05-04 13:20
highest temperature in chongqing on march 26 2026 25c	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-26 04:39
highest temperature in nyc on april 4 2026 58forhigher	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-04 02:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-29 08:19
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 14:41
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 20 2026 27c	3	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-19 22:32
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 08:01
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 2	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	04-02 03:38
highest temperature in denver on march 28 2026 70 71f	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-28 03:18
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-26 03:29
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 06:49
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 8c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-03 02:18
will the super mario galaxy movie be the highest grossing movie of this weekend	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-13 20:22
highest temperature in austin on april 17 2026 96forhigher	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-17 12:03
will dandelion ella langley be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 25	3	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 07:26
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 11 2026 17c	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-11 02:25
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 9corbelow	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 10:30
ethereum above 2500 on april 20	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 10:15
Will Mario Vizcarra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 22:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:08:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xab9b7c…
05-14 05:24:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1ecfe5…
05-11 22:42:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1291c6…
05-10 13:54:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8cf66d…
05-10 12:39:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8e08c0…
05-10 06:52:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7d4ca0…
05-10 04:07:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc7f7d7…
05-09 19:55:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x55906d…
05-08 00:14:38	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x335995…
05-07 18:43:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0b6262…
05-07 16:11:26	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4d4f34…
05-07 12:33:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xd145db…
05-06 11:08:20	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x56b45e…
05-06 04:31:52	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdcfd84…
05-06 01:27:58	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa529c6…
05-05 18:38:56	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x161073…
05-05 14:12:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe0e3d2…
05-05 03:27:42	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x256ff8…
05-04 20:16:16	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x788d0b…
05-04 13:20:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb05541…
05-04 02:43:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6b25d2…
05-03 03:17:44	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcf5679…
05-02 17:45:56	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xeb5b00…
05-01 19:04:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6c97bd…
05-01 17:59:14	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf33f3f…
05-01 00:36:42	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x17e061…
04-30 16:33:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc7d1e6…
04-30 14:50:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b54fa…
04-30 08:45:42	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5f4f42…
04-30 06:49:16	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x48a0a8…
04-29 23:09:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc197cb…
04-29 15:11:08	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc0b1b5…
04-29 14:41:34	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9fb2b2…
04-29 08:52:54	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x04b23b…
04-29 08:01:32	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe1901c…
04-29 02:58:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaf9e52…
04-29 01:55:46	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xae1a51…
04-28 21:33:06	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x90d03d…
04-28 17:59:50	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xae6006…
04-27 15:16:00	Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f2009…
04-27 14:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2ce32b…
04-27 06:41:18	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8e1bf1…
04-27 06:25:54	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x34382f…
04-27 03:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6a76ed…
04-27 03:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x2713d3…
04-26 20:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2765ea…
04-26 18:57:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10da1c…
04-26 04:14:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf1c25f…
04-26 03:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd23082…
04-26 03:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf45588…
04-26 00:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on April 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b9b1f…
04-25 20:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x69538e…
04-25 16:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 25?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x66dadf…
04-25 13:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1aafe9…
04-25 05:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3f54d1…
04-25 00:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa51154…
04-24 21:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x35bee8…
04-24 16:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xea1ed5…
04-24 15:04:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6caf6b…
04-24 14:39:34	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be less than 70	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa1490d…
04-24 12:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3cfcd1…
04-24 10:00:38	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x460e77…
04-24 08:51:54	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe08e38…
04-24 08:36:30	highest temperature in dallas on april 24 2026 74forhigher	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff58f0…
04-24 08:35:10	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 32c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf97564…
04-24 06:11:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x9548c3…
04-24 05:11:14	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 32c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x33d2cf…
04-24 03:38:22	highest temperature in los angeles on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4d0ce6…
04-24 02:14:14	will drop dead olivia rodrigo be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xaaa02b…
04-24 02:12:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xaa45da…
04-24 00:33:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x59bbb2…
04-23 21:47:56	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2f5bd7…
04-23 17:36:00	highest temperature in dallas on april 24 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x255b1e…
04-23 15:31:56	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be less than 70	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc0679c…
04-23 12:56:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3127bf…
04-23 11:28:56	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96ceae…
04-23 01:14:54	will drop dead olivia rodrigo be the 1 song on spotify this week	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe61655…
04-23 00:15:18	lowest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 8c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdbd9a5…
04-22 20:22:12	highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 3corbelow	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x45902f…
04-22 18:48:12	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfb11e7…
04-22 15:18:46	solana above 100 on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa10da1…
04-22 13:05:18	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on april 22	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a2247…
04-22 12:40:18	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 12c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8e9ccf…
04-22 08:39:38	highest temperature in ankara on april 22 2026 20c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3a9e3c…
04-22 07:29:44	highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x669db8…
04-22 07:27:04	highest temperature in atlanta on april 22 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3d1c10…
04-22 07:26:28	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 29c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x51337f…
04-22 04:58:52	highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x16c5b4…
04-22 04:02:50	highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 26c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xab2fa2…
04-22 03:25:44	highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 76forhigher	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xef9ed5…
04-22 02:57:24	highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 26c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x33bf50…
04-22 02:33:26	highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 54 55f	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8cd07c…
04-22 02:31:34	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x79f3d7…
04-22 02:15:08	highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2036a3…
04-22 02:13:04	highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 20corbelow	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa8c061…
04-22 02:10:36	highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7cd5af…
04-22 02:10:32	highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 54 55f	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9efac1…
04-22 01:52:10	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 10c	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x17f246…
04-22 00:39:14	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 29c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x43c246…
04-21 23:37:02	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 12c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7e5f22…