Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$203
$341 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,112
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 21:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $119 | $119 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | — | $64 | $64 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $103 | $103 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 6 | — | $35 | $35 |
| Below median | 13 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +76 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 05-14 20:49 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 14:04 |
| Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 21:33 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 12:18 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-14 19:39 |
| Fumbling-Webpage 0x93cb…e84d | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 21:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 13:03 |
| Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 21:02 |
| Knowledgeable-Card 0x608a…966b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 14:01 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 14:33 |
| Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 21:33:48 | Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xa75121… |
| 05-14 21:22:34 | Fumbling-Webpage 0x93cb…e84d | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7283c4… |
| 05-14 21:02:09 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x18cb16… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x904671… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xd9932b… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7ca8… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa247b5… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2ecfc… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x86d7cb… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b868e… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x751927… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b9237… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x492d06… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x655483… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x300dc5… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43e0be… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10b066… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x058b03… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c8ee3… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x698b6a… |
| 05-14 20:49:56 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95c8b6… |
| 05-14 19:39:15 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcf1a3b… |
| 05-14 17:29:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x160ab9… |
| 05-14 17:29:38 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xeb5b33… |
| 05-14 17:29:38 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73ff0e… |
| 05-14 14:04:08 | Mortified-Grey 0xff57…56d1 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x80dc9a… |
| 05-14 14:01:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57a176… |
| 05-14 14:01:16 | Knowledgeable-Card 0x608a…966b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9cb2d6… |
| 05-14 13:19:29 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x31b87d… |
| 05-14 13:09:14 | Grounded-Destruction 0x6ecc…e381 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe48117… |
| 05-13 14:33:33 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfba018… |
| 05-13 13:03:18 | (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xbe49a9… |
| 05-13 12:18:27 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcf9f93… |