Organic-Tulip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 07-21 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 67% $-0

Crypto

39% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-20 06:52
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	4	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-19 22:07
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	07-10 11:51
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 29?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 00:25
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 05:10
Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 23:14
Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	06-01 19:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 20:59
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$37	18	18	+0	No	$-0	05-08 19:55
highest temperature in cape town on april 21 2026 20c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 13:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 16:03
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 03:14
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-29 01:40
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 17 2026 14c	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-17 07:50
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 22:55
khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 45 49	4	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-21 09:00
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 20:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	4	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-08 03:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-27 08:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:43
ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	06-07 14:48
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 27c	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 11:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 20:06
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29corhigher	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-23 17:53
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	07-18 22:11
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$29	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 11:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 21:39
will lee cronins the mummy score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 22:37
ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	2	$25	21	4	+17	open	—	07-21 15:28
bitcoin above 68k on july 9 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	07-08 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:28:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf7ad30…
07-21 08:14:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x56497a…
07-20 09:00:54	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x05bd22…
07-20 08:38:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf4129b…
07-20 06:52:51	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf6aba2…
07-18 23:11:36	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x313575…
07-18 22:11:52	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xf0cdbe…
07-18 21:21:07	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x0c1d38…
07-10 11:51:37	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x969271…
07-09 04:05:05	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd39a32…
07-08 11:40:43	bitcoin above 68k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x39d6e8…
06-08 19:26:03	solana above 50 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae5f92…
06-07 14:48:34	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xab9c13…
06-06 15:18:48	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x241cb4…
06-05 07:35:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7f6a67…
06-04 16:00:15	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4caa03…
06-01 23:14:02	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x99e520…
06-01 19:43:37	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8a1399…
06-01 07:41:13	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x4686e1…
06-01 01:58:19	Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x49c3fa…
06-01 00:44:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcdf148…
05-31 22:35:17	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdca45f…
05-31 08:16:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc905b0…
05-31 06:21:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30e864…
05-31 02:18:27	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x521ad5…
05-31 00:15:06	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2b0445…
05-30 22:26:27	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbb47f4…
05-30 00:25:32	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc869eb…
05-29 21:21:24	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c9118…
05-29 18:35:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d3cfd…
05-29 14:36:08	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4104b7…
05-29 01:40:56	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x191c58…
05-28 23:12:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc0f310…
05-27 08:22:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x54eaf4…
05-26 22:08:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9d3551…
05-26 20:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0a4fd2…
05-26 12:31:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe0b9c3…
05-25 21:03:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x99451a…
05-25 20:59:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x1f2ee4…
05-25 17:24:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45f2f9…
05-25 14:53:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xa10e82…
05-25 10:58:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe1f22a…
05-25 06:59:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd3b05…
05-22 15:35:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdf7f82…
05-21 11:36:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe99b20…
05-21 05:53:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x216125…
05-19 20:06:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb089d1…
05-19 11:16:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdba56f…
05-16 16:03:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdfe29b…
05-16 15:49:03	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x59225f…
05-16 13:46:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x541f4a…
05-16 10:54:49	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6f9d34…
05-16 09:58:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x07e69b…
05-16 03:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x676c53…
05-16 00:28:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdde414…
05-15 22:55:11	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed5bbb…
05-15 22:02:50	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd92214…
05-15 10:09:51	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x877ebc…
05-09 20:56:26	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe9d4ad…
05-09 19:49:58	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0x3fe53d…
05-09 19:49:51	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9dd2a6…
05-09 13:18:40	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3175d1…
05-08 19:55:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbd81c3…
05-08 18:50:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xab927c…
05-08 17:05:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa500fc…
05-08 03:32:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4c4eed…
05-08 02:45:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2f5196…
05-08 02:07:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x40bfa8…
05-07 20:20:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6f1540…
05-06 12:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xafa4b0…
05-06 10:14:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x71ad47…
05-03 10:17:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9726a1…
05-01 22:37:34	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfb54f8…
05-01 09:34:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x7f13d9…
05-01 08:13:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x83765b…
05-01 06:52:56	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x31e1e8…
04-30 22:02:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x1b078b…
04-29 21:42:48	Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5f943a…
04-29 21:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc5d8bb…
04-29 11:59:40	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfba328…
04-29 10:35:22	Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0d5aa9…
04-29 07:45:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x21f779…
04-27 14:41:24	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x191c2d…
04-27 12:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x26187c…
04-27 05:28:44	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x05957e…
04-26 12:01:50	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x652826…
04-26 09:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0979b2…
04-25 03:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x098997…
04-25 02:42:30	Will xAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x98f422…
04-24 19:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x386f60…
04-24 14:28:00	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 140 159	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x30a1a3…
04-24 13:15:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2b3c0a…
04-24 12:37:48	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 10c	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbb3a90…
04-24 11:56:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6af4ff…
04-24 09:34:26	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9e02c2…
04-24 07:19:38	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 10c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a58e0…
04-23 23:56:52	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x362771…
04-23 17:53:40	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29corhigher	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xc1c5fe…
04-23 16:35:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x90c4e2…
04-23 08:41:38	highest temperature in jakarta on april 23 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x267cec…