Organic-Tulip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

435

Trades

825

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 11-02 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

74% 81% -$8

Crypto

19% 83% +$1

Politics

5% 71% +$0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
solana above 90 on july 23 2026	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	07-23 06:51
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates in May?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-31 15:56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 13?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	10-13 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	4	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 01:06
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-11 23:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or below on July 26?	4	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on July 26?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:29
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-26 03:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	07-28 14:37
Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-11 15:45
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:04
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 13:02
Will OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$61	30	30	-0	No	$0	05-31 12:29
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 17:21
bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	8	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C or below on July 30?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 29?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-29 14:09
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 90 and 95?	5	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-10 13:24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-23 17:57
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on July 31, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-31 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 18?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-18 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-22 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-20 08:57
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-20 06:52
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-19 22:07
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28, 2026?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:32:24	Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x832ee8…
10-13 12:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd2932c…
10-13 10:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2a4190…
10-12 02:37:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x677709…
10-11 23:43:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa2cd1d…
10-11 23:15:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x51e065…
10-11 23:13:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x5249ef…
10-11 21:51:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb1e75b…
10-11 20:30:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8fa6b7…
10-11 19:49:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x12b234…
10-11 17:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbba36a…
10-10 06:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb69ed3…
10-10 01:02:43	Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x44696c…
10-05 12:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x316468…
10-05 11:59:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5c861b…
10-05 11:06:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x765fb1…
09-28 01:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x2fa097…
09-27 21:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8aaf5f…
09-23 04:44:52	Will Brittney Sykes have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a315f…
09-23 03:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1bffdc…
09-23 02:49:34	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa93132…
09-22 17:42:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x82d867…
09-22 15:10:30	Will Jacy Sheldon have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd6a7d0…
09-18 17:35:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11452e…
09-18 02:33:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x650b20…
09-13 03:37:45	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d2b9f…
09-11 15:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x49b4eb…
09-11 15:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x316969…
09-11 15:45:48	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xcda77f…
09-11 03:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x065f7e…
09-10 20:04:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x14b4bc…
09-07 13:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x931edb…
09-06 15:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb04610…
09-06 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0dfb4c…
09-06 00:39:25	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc444ca…
09-05 08:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaf77d5…
09-05 05:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb18946…
09-04 22:53:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x051363…
09-04 17:17:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa536a8…
09-04 07:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf74631…
09-04 03:32:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x93f1d7…
09-03 16:12:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x398fb8…
09-03 12:10:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1b39db…
09-03 08:28:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa254ec…
09-02 18:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x410e64…
09-02 09:30:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf914ab…
09-02 08:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99f8be…
09-01 07:01:57	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x5ff74b…
09-01 02:48:06	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x33d5c9…
08-31 06:24:48	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa9d425…
08-30 23:00:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x386564…
08-30 19:37:39	Will Iran target Syria by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe9b535…
08-30 11:31:40	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc19b9a…
08-30 03:31:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b5c8d…
08-30 02:52:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x8ed30b…
08-29 21:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x13ba2f…
08-28 21:31:55	Will "Hazel Eyes" - Sam Smith first week album sales be between 25k and 30k?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbdab9c…
08-28 13:42:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaae295…
08-28 11:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 29?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0f3585…
08-27 14:06:30	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf67a00…
08-27 05:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc2d23f…
08-26 23:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe01fa7…
08-26 20:26:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x26d212…
08-26 16:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x49a96d…
08-26 03:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x305e6d…
08-25 09:42:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2adfa8…
08-25 06:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5d0104…
08-25 01:58:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x02fdda…
08-25 01:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1285e5…
08-24 19:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb48798…
08-24 07:18:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x740692…
08-23 23:22:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf269c5…
08-23 21:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3bc7bd…
08-14 18:25:58	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x985a78…
08-14 07:41:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1c03c…
08-13 17:42:39	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x33302c…
08-13 09:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf853f0…
08-12 23:37:15	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 12	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x73c395…
08-12 21:32:31	will ethereum dip to 1800 on august 12	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x954df0…
08-12 06:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x535488…
08-12 02:29:39	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbd1dd3…
08-12 01:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaf9498…
08-11 21:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x55e004…
08-11 14:51:16	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x96ae5e…
08-10 21:40:49	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec0b67…
08-10 20:59:43	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8faf31…
08-10 13:32:51	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ed6e0…
08-10 10:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdf8d18…
08-09 13:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7c62f6…
08-09 07:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2868c…
08-09 03:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x387422…
08-09 02:41:39	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xd0cf15…
08-08 18:58:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfef57…
08-08 05:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xcdaab8…
08-08 03:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3de1a3…
08-07 22:17:00	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xb4c6ac…
08-07 16:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2fe79d…
08-07 13:44:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x50e6f4…
08-07 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc7bf47…
08-06 02:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7431fa…