Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?
Yes won
Total volume
$9,191
Trades
146
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-06
last 10-12 05:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.7¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $8.2K
vs crowd: 99% YES on $9.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $8.6K | $87 | +$8.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $5 | $13 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $458 | $16 | +$442 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $72 | $5 | +$67 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 11 | $8.2K | $49 | +$8.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $267 | $15 | +$251 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | $0 | +$10 |
| Median | 7 | $421 | — | +$421 |
| Below median | 7 | $81 | $4 | +$77 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $40 | $1 | +$39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $139 | $51 | +$88 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +5,105 | $5,009 | $5,009 | 13 | 10-09 10:42 |
| Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | +2,995 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 10-11 23:01 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +1,815 | $46 | $48 | 2 | 10-11 23:01 |
| Likable-Purity 0x5b74…5ab5 | Yes | +1,544 | $1,538 | $1,538 | 5 | 10-12 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | +1,337 | $1,330 | $1,330 | 9 | 10-11 20:56 |
| Our-Sinuosity 0x2c0e…524c | No | +1,078 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-08 15:27 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +910 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 10-11 17:52 |
| Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | No | +763 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-11 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | +407 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-11 17:51 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | No | +354 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 10-08 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d4…be0a | Yes | +254 | $254 | $254 | 7 | 10-11 17:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +241 | $0 | $0 | 9 | 10-11 19:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ff7…7fea | No | +231 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-09 21:46 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | Yes | +215 | $212 | $212 | 2 | 10-09 12:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +141 | $139 | $139 | 3 | 10-11 17:51 |
| Constant-Timeline 0xecca…136b | Yes | +123 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 10-11 18:57 |
| Queasy-Feather 0xaf66…d794 | Yes | +119 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 10-11 19:12 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-09 10:42 |
| Yellow-Mochi 0x30c4…e3ca | Yes | +81 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 10-11 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c2f…6d59 | No | +77 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-10 07:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | +60 | $60 | $60 | 12 | 10-12 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | +60 | $0 | $0 | 12 | 10-12 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a1f…9f05 | No | +57 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-09 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +45 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-11 18:57 |
| Grand-Clarinet 0x5873…843b | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-11 05:43 |
| Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | +40 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 10-11 21:02 |
| Flat-Civilization 0xd0c0…1d0a | Yes | +32 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-12 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-11 17:52 |
| Tiny-Beyond 0x1bc1…116c | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-12 05:09 |
| Tame-Tenant 0xd302…b782 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-11 17:48 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-11 18:57 |
| Cluttered-Mattress 0x9d01…bf99 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 15:27 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-12 03:30 |
| Wiggly-Prestige 0x55be…dca3 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-08 15:23 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 17:48 |
| Irresponsible-Founding 0x5be9…28c0 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $38 | 2 | 10-12 03:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:09:00 | Grim-Try 0x8f48…c2d1 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd0219b… |
| 10-12 05:09:00 | Tiny-Beyond 0x1bc1…116c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd0219b… |
| 10-12 03:30:08 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8bdb0… |
| 10-12 03:30:08 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd8bdb0… |
| 10-12 03:28:35 | Irresponsible-Founding 0x5be9…28c0 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xdbbce0… |
| 10-12 03:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdbbce0… |
| 10-12 03:28:35 | Flat-Civilization 0xd0c0…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xdbbce0… |
| 10-12 02:37:57 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x677709… |
| 10-12 02:37:57 | Flat-Civilization 0xd0c0…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x677709… |
| 10-12 02:37:57 | Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x677709… |
| 10-12 01:59:29 | Likable-Purity 0x5b74…5ab5 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x597bd0… |
| 10-12 01:59:29 | Happy-Potato 0x18a5…2fe5 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x597bd0… |
| 10-12 01:09:06 | Likable-Purity 0x5b74…5ab5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4b09b7… |
| 10-12 01:09:06 | Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4b09b7… |
| 10-11 23:43:50 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa2cd1d… |
| 10-11 23:43:50 | Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa2cd1d… |
| 10-11 23:43:00 | Likable-Purity 0x5b74…5ab5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x53a22c… |
| 10-11 23:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53a22c… |
| 10-11 23:15:33 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x51e065… |
| 10-11 23:15:33 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x51e065… |
| 10-11 23:01:47 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | SELL | 781 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x870a02… |
| 10-11 23:01:47 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 781 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x870a02… |
| 10-11 23:01:23 | Grim-Try 0x8f48…c2d1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x1ed10a… |
| 10-11 23:01:23 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ed10a… |
| 10-11 22:43:53 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedccfa… |
| 10-11 22:43:53 | Irresponsible-Founding 0x5be9…28c0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xedccfa… |
| 10-11 21:51:10 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb1e75b… |
| 10-11 21:51:10 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xb1e75b… |
| 10-11 21:17:07 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70a701… |
| 10-11 21:17:07 | Happy-Potato 0x18a5…2fe5 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x70a701… |
| 10-11 21:02:07 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe10c3a… |
| 10-11 21:02:07 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe10c3a… |
| 10-11 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4e7148… |
| 10-11 20:56:41 | Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | No | BUY | 463 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4e7148… |
| 10-11 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | SELL | 208 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e7148… |
| 10-11 20:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x4e7148… |
| 10-11 20:03:22 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6cb035… |
| 10-11 20:03:22 | Flustered-Chassis 0xfe26…063e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x6cb035… |
| 10-11 19:12:48 | Queasy-Feather 0xaf66…d794 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 100¢ | $119 | 0x2fc49a… |
| 10-11 19:12:48 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 102 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fc49a… |
| 10-11 19:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fc49a… |
| 10-11 19:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfff229… |
| 10-11 19:12:46 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xfff229… |
| 10-11 19:06:18 | Yellow-Mochi 0x30c4…e3ca | Yes | BUY | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0x9359e5… |
| 10-11 19:06:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 81 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9359e5… |
| 10-11 19:02:16 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x07820c… |
| 10-11 19:02:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x07820c… |
| 10-11 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12be4c… |
| 10-11 18:57:54 | Constant-Timeline 0xecca…136b | Yes | BUY | 123 | 100¢ | $122 | 0x12be4c… |
| 10-11 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12be4c… |
| 10-11 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xd219…6cc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x12be4c… |
| 10-11 18:57:54 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12be4c… |
| 10-11 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12be4c… |
| 10-11 17:52:27 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 197 | 100¢ | $196 | 0x2fa122… |
| 10-11 17:52:27 | (anonymous) 0xd219…6cc3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2fa122… |
| 10-11 17:52:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x2fa122… |
| 10-11 17:52:27 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 265 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2fa122… |
| 10-11 17:52:27 | (anonymous) 0x38d4…be0a | Yes | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x2fa122… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x201a3b… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 100¢ | $98 | 0xd006c2… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xf19e9c… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 100¢ | $151 | 0x201a3b… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf19e9c… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 98 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd006c2… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0x295f…4edb | No | BUY | 407 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x201a3b… |
| 10-11 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x201a3b… |
| 10-11 17:48:27 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a4d54… |
| 10-11 17:48:27 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a4d54… |
| 10-11 17:48:27 | Tame-Tenant 0xd302…b782 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5a4d54… |
| 10-11 17:39:58 | (anonymous) 0x38d4…be0a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4dbb32… |
| 10-11 17:39:58 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 505 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4dbb32… |
| 10-11 17:39:58 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dbb32… |
| 10-11 17:39:58 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x4dbb32… |
| 10-11 16:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x38d4…be0a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2399e3… |
| 10-11 16:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2399e3… |
| 10-11 16:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2399e3… |
| 10-11 16:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x38d4…be0a | Yes | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x2d8c5a… |
| 10-11 16:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d8c5a… |
| 10-11 16:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d8c5a… |
| 10-11 14:21:34 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb0f79f… |
| 10-11 14:21:34 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb0f79f… |
| 10-11 14:21:34 | Wary-Happening 0x6239…c6b4 | No | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xb0f79f… |
| 10-11 14:21:34 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xb0f79f… |
| 10-11 05:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x613f8c… |
| 10-11 05:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x613f8c… |
| 10-11 05:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x613f8c… |
| 10-11 05:43:56 | Grand-Clarinet 0x5873…843b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x613f8c… |
| 10-11 00:19:51 | Likable-Purity 0x5b74…5ab5 | Yes | BUY | 1,495 | 100¢ | $1,489 | 0xd9b391… |
| 10-11 00:19:51 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $249 | 0xd9b391… |
| 10-11 00:19:51 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | No | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd9b391… |
| 10-11 00:19:51 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | No | BUY | 1,995 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xd9b391… |
| 10-11 00:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x365f19… |
| 10-11 00:03:03 | Likable-Purity 0x5b74…5ab5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x365f19… |
| 10-10 07:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x6c2f…6d59 | No | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcc6c12… |
| 10-10 07:22:42 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcc6c12… |
| 10-10 07:22:42 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0xcc6c12… |
| 10-09 21:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $42 | 0x48e35c… |
| 10-09 21:46:08 | (anonymous) 0x7ff7…7fea | No | BUY | 231 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x48e35c… |
| 10-09 21:46:08 | (anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 99¢ | $185 | 0x48e35c… |
| 10-09 16:24:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0xe4e113… |