Yellow-Mochi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

183

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-27 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$29

Other

1% 67% -$13

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$85	86	+86	No	+$0	10-27 20:14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 27?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	10-26 17:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 24?	1	$83	83	+83	Yes	+$0	10-23 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	10-22 16:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 22?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	10-22 00:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	1	$82	83	+83	Yes	+$0	10-20 17:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	1	$82	83	+83	No	+$0	10-19 17:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	10-18 17:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 16?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	10-16 01:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$82	84	+84	Yes	+$2	10-25 23:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 18?	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	10-17 14:47
ethereum above 2100 on october 15 2026	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	10-14 17:37
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 14?	1	$81	82	+82	No	+$0	10-14 01:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	10-12 16:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	10-11 19:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	10-09 17:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	10-08 19:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	10-07 19:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	10-06 17:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	10-05 16:51
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 5?	1	$80	80	+80	Yes	+$0	10-04 17:55
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 4?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	10-03 18:39
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 3?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	10-02 17:25
ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	10-01 17:04
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 1?	1	$79	80	+80	No	+$0	09-30 17:07
ethereum above 2400 on september 30 2026	1	$79	80	+80	Yes	+$0	09-29 16:27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29?	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	09-28 17:02
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$79	80	+80	Yes	+$0	07-13 17:11
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on September 28?	1	$79	79	+79	No	+$0	09-27 16:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27?	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	09-26 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:14:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0xf1eb8e…
10-26 17:08:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 27?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xf4cd5e…
10-25 23:44:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0x793776…
10-23 16:48:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd80d63…
10-22 16:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x1feddc…
10-22 00:13:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 22?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xc2e2d5…
10-20 17:37:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xa71de7…
10-19 17:26:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0x87c316…
10-18 17:35:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x24377b…
10-17 14:47:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x278d14…
10-16 01:35:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7ba9e2…
10-14 17:37:22	ethereum above 2100 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x3baa5b…
10-14 01:43:02	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 14?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0x50cd7a…
10-12 16:57:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xbafb5e…
10-11 19:06:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9359e5…
10-10 18:36:21	Will the price of Solana be above $125 on October 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4d4317…
10-10 18:36:09	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf80ea2…
10-10 18:36:04	Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 11?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0f4eb8…
10-09 17:17:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xd99a08…
10-08 19:08:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4393fa…
10-07 19:59:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x5fa993…
10-06 17:15:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xdfff61…
10-05 16:51:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9b492e…
10-04 17:55:46	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x0e4dbb…
10-03 18:39:18	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 4?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x402189…
10-02 17:25:36	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 3?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3bb023…
10-01 17:04:27	ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xeccd6e…
09-30 17:07:20	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 1?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x738037…
09-29 16:27:24	ethereum above 2400 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0xcd4c23…
09-28 17:02:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xc5714c…
09-27 16:44:59	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on September 28?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x4b0797…
09-26 16:56:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xf0f359…
09-25 17:19:36	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on September 26?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8132b7…
09-24 16:38:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on September 25?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xdcc823…
09-23 18:21:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0x8e188b…
09-22 17:59:36	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 23?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x9d5b95…
09-21 16:51:35	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 22?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x2338b0…
09-20 16:57:19	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xd3d2ec…
09-19 21:12:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x3df68b…
09-18 17:54:16	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on September 19?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x2221cc…
09-17 17:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xbbbd22…
09-16 16:47:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x33d9ad…
09-15 19:55:09	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 16?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xdb2956…
09-14 16:52:24	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 15?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x3f5fff…
09-13 16:30:25	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 14?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xf8eac4…
09-12 19:23:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$76	0x6dfca9…
09-12 01:56:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xee9a85…
09-11 02:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0x82c58b…
09-09 19:50:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x6acedf…
09-08 19:58:25	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on September 9?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x587a8c…
09-07 19:25:27	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 8?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xee464f…
09-06 20:02:55	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 7?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x0c68f5…
09-05 20:48:48	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on September 6?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x03027b…
09-04 18:45:49	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 5?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x6e4a81…
09-03 21:37:39	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 4?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x63f2ae…
09-02 19:04:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xa0e1b5…
09-01 16:53:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x28e664…
08-31 17:01:48	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 1?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x7518c8…
08-30 17:17:09	Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on August 31?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x7e42cb…
08-29 17:20:34	bitcoin above 72k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$73	0x44453f…
08-28 16:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x3cc071…
08-27 16:43:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xca491a…
08-26 17:05:06	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 27?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x05e29e…
08-25 16:31:13	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xc8d7d3…
08-24 18:12:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 25?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$72	0x9292f1…
08-23 16:46:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$72	0x963559…
08-22 18:13:31	bitcoin above 72k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x2ffa68…
08-21 17:20:18	ethereum above 2100 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb1b1b3…
08-20 16:45:55	bitcoin above 64k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x865a2d…
08-19 16:56:37	bitcoin above 62k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x179c44…
08-18 16:37:58	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on August 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84dcca…
08-18 16:37:46	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb116f0…
08-18 16:37:34	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 19?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xf2a52f…
08-17 18:38:40	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	72	100¢	$71	0xe250f4…
08-16 17:11:00	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on August 17?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xf1d5ab…
08-15 17:18:13	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 16?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xe9d935…
08-14 17:07:28	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 15?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x27ef59…
08-13 17:11:22	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 14?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xc4b214…
08-12 16:29:43	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$70	0x989342…
08-11 18:59:48	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd2ccf4…
08-10 17:20:13	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1bba3c…
08-09 19:24:01	bitcoin above 70k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc31f77…
08-08 17:55:43	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 9?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x15c651…
08-07 16:37:10	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on August 8?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1e6f1e…
08-07 01:45:57	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 7?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x78c584…
08-05 22:28:54	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 6?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$69	0xab28d5…
08-04 19:41:54	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 5?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x7849a8…
08-03 15:31:36	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 4?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x0534e2…
07-31 17:50:00	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 1?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x043967…
07-30 17:02:38	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 31?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x402d89…
07-29 19:42:32	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x0dfbc1…
07-28 18:52:17	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x6f8f48…
07-27 17:12:37	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 28?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$67	0xa0d2b0…
07-26 16:45:13	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 27?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x393c17…
07-25 17:52:04	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 26?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xc6fb93…
07-24 17:05:37	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x43c5ba…
07-23 17:45:40	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 24?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x73c86d…
07-22 17:00:03	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x7c4901…
07-21 17:34:28	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0x69e83a…
07-20 16:51:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x72917f…