Happy-Potato — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

427

Trades

814

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-19 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

76% 80% -$15

Crypto

18% 72% +$1

Politics

5% 76% $0

Pop-Culture

1% 33% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 89°F or below on July 25?	4	$73	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-25 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 29?	3	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-29 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-19 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 22?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-25 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 28?	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-28 11:45
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 15:26
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 30?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 22:38
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on June 2?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	06-02 21:03
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	09-11 15:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	2	$65	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 26?	5	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-25 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 29?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-29 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 27?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:29
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	4	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on July 30?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 11:04
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Denmark?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-25 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on July 28?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-28 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-22 21:36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 29?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-29 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on July 24?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 24?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-23 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 21?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 21:19
xrp above 1pt2 on july 29 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-29 14:17
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 15?	7	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-15 02:57
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-27 20:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on July 24?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 14?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-14 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x59a1f5…
10-18 16:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x00850b…
10-16 10:09:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa81621…
10-13 08:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf4c88f…
10-13 01:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb04237…
10-12 02:01:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5a8b90…
10-12 01:59:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x597bd0…
10-12 01:07:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc2441a…
10-12 00:00:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb57c8e…
10-11 21:17:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x70a701…
10-11 16:54:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9a9e9b…
10-10 06:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdb1e16…
10-07 19:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd21df9…
10-05 08:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x98be62…
10-02 03:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc31f38…
10-01 21:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde4c34…
10-01 04:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x723410…
09-28 03:07:56	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1b2fb5…
09-27 20:34:42	Will Jordan Walker have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xff6c2e…
09-23 04:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa6f5a…
09-23 03:03:47	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xde7d96…
09-23 02:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66ba59…
09-22 23:37:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7ac422…
09-22 16:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xbc5dfe…
09-21 23:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0ebecf…
09-18 01:00:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4250af…
09-17 11:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcc7ecf…
09-13 04:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x94aa7e…
09-11 15:23:37	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb84189…
09-11 15:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x1dc30f…
09-11 01:57:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1cf43e…
09-10 20:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6f8a59…
09-07 14:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xacce7d…
09-06 13:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe476b3…
09-06 07:26:55	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85b671…
09-05 22:56:24	Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x81af8b…
09-05 09:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x06bbd6…
09-04 23:33:12	will ethereum reach 2650 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdc4259…
09-04 18:34:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2f0ffe…
09-04 10:34:25	bitcoin above 76k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x839476…
09-03 23:25:39	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c7601…
09-03 16:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc3b402…
09-03 10:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd13905…
09-02 23:52:52	will bitcoin reach 80k on september 2 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x31c340…
09-02 19:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0553cb…
09-02 10:03:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd17f12…
09-02 06:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bc744…
09-01 09:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x710aab…
09-01 03:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x993f0c…
08-31 05:37:31	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x275f05…
08-31 01:13:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2fe3df…
08-30 20:14:01	bitcoin above 86k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x731170…
08-30 13:35:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf4344d…
08-30 06:48:51	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4548b8…
08-29 17:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x552cd3…
08-29 07:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x17a6da…
08-29 07:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfc8be2…
08-28 13:32:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7cab17…
08-27 16:52:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe6cd7…
08-27 07:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc3eb94…
08-26 22:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6e8288…
08-26 21:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa38912…
08-26 12:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x463025…
08-26 08:20:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x662a5c…
08-25 09:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x879efe…
08-25 03:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x389fe9…
08-24 23:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf6da8c…
08-24 16:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe0d22b…
08-24 04:20:48	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x698979…
08-23 20:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4c38ca…
08-23 15:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x22c6b5…
08-14 08:56:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3c8a7b…
08-13 17:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x263c0f…
08-13 16:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5e94a9…
08-13 10:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x14fcb5…
08-12 23:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x09f6e6…
08-12 23:01:03	ethereum above 2000 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x18e2a3…
08-12 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe0a766…
08-12 08:19:46	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4ceb8f…
08-11 23:43:00	ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2bdf68…
08-11 19:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc38538…
08-11 13:53:04	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc1e7b7…
08-10 23:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbccae1…
08-10 20:46:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x713f44…
08-10 14:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xb9d357…
08-10 12:27:01	will one night only score at least 55 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173842486	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcd7581…
08-09 13:10:31	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a7054…
08-09 06:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x57fd90…
08-09 05:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe27f0c…
08-09 02:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x652316…
08-08 19:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1251f2…
08-08 03:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6ee1c…
08-08 01:25:46	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2b400…
08-07 21:17:19	will ethereum dip to 1850 on august 7	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07aa28…
08-07 19:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b9e84…
08-07 14:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x982e3c…
08-07 08:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdcd9d8…
08-06 10:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb5a76d…
08-06 01:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x455d65…
08-05 22:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xef205d…