Flat-Civilization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

351

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$4.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$88

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 74% -$44

Sports

28% 65% +$26

Politics

2% 67% +$38

Other

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	+51	$51	100¢	$51	+$0	10-30 02:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	+30	$29	100¢	$30	+$1	10-30 02:43
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+110	$6	4¢	$5	-$1	09-27 17:41
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+40	$6	7¢	$3	-$3	09-22 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	5	$66	46	23	+23	Bucks	+$0	01-05 04:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$62	127	127	+0	Yes	+$38	05-08 18:09
ethereum above 2100 on april 6	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	05-19 15:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 11?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	10-11 10:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	1	$51	51	0	+51	Yes	+$0	05-16 15:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	10-30 02:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	2	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	10-29 00:54
ethereum above 1900 on march 5	2	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	03-05 12:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	05-05 15:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	4	$47	455	420	+35	No	+$9	04-17 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$42	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	05-28 04:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	3	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 07:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	3	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-17 14:24
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	03-21 06:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 27?	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	10-27 15:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	9	$39	37	31	+5	Yes	+$6	05-17 15:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 31	2	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	03-31 15:09
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	8	$35	35	35	+0	Cavaliers	+$4	05-18 01:59
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	4	$35	43	43	+0	Lakers	+$4	01-05 04:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	2	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	05-29 15:24
nba nyk cha 2026 03 26	3	$32	22	11	+11	Hornets	+$0	03-27 01:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	05-16 15:26
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	2	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	01-13 12:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	2	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	10-12 03:28
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	04-24 03:33
bitcoin above 74k on april 24	2	$31	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	04-24 02:32
nba cha lac 2026 01 12	4	$31	38	26	+12	Clippers	+$8	01-13 05:42
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	1	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	03-13 13:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	2	$31	31	0	+31	Yes	+$0	05-27 05:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:43:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x9a986e…
10-30 02:40:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe3b6bc…
10-29 01:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x443a77…
10-29 01:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfbaa94…
10-29 00:54:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3a3971…
10-29 00:54:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3620c4…
10-29 00:53:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x83e649…
10-29 00:53:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xac1f69…
10-29 00:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ef23d…
10-29 00:48:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60161d…
10-27 15:23:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 27?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x8b2df6…
10-27 15:20:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x7e9f69…
10-12 03:28:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdbbce0…
10-12 02:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1cf9a6…
10-12 02:37:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x677709…
10-12 02:33:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x2ba46e…
10-11 10:15:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xb1532c…
10-11 07:47:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcad621…
10-10 11:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8875be…
10-10 11:02:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x311f8a…
10-10 07:36:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x5533b6…
10-09 15:47:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0x10a7c5…
10-09 15:46:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x8ab236…
10-09 13:34:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x7f0056…
10-09 13:33:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xd271c2…
10-09 12:58:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x18f7d1…
10-09 11:46:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf1f146…
10-09 11:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xe4627c…
10-09 08:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2c2b15…
10-08 15:20:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x19dcf3…
10-08 14:58:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x232286…
10-08 13:45:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xfa8c8b…
10-08 12:48:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0xc077d1…
10-08 12:45:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0xe0cdab…
10-08 10:33:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x014936…
10-08 04:53:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc8ff2…
09-27 17:41:38	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0xef4d4a…
09-23 14:41:05	ethereum above 2600 on september 23 2026	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x9c572d…
09-23 14:19:54	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x2649f6…
09-23 14:17:04	ethereum above 2600 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x181c92…
09-23 14:02:10	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x87c3cd…
09-23 08:34:22	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0x821e27…
09-22 14:31:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$3	0x4b05d8…
09-22 13:26:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$3	0xe7adb1…
09-22 04:22:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaca14a…
09-22 03:22:42	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x7d19d5…
09-22 02:59:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdbb8ad…
09-21 09:05:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1692b1…
09-21 08:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x3b0b83…
09-21 07:29:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x267563…
09-05 16:35:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xdeea50…
09-05 14:15:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6de87b…
09-04 14:57:48	ethereum above 2600 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,889	0¢	$2	0xf5c987…
09-04 12:31:57	ethereum above 2600 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0xe25687…
09-04 12:31:46	bitcoin above 82k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0xbf5b30…
09-04 12:31:43	bitcoin above 80k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x48e281…
09-04 12:31:39	ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x117270…
09-04 12:31:13	ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x8489fb…
09-04 06:46:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xf952fa…
05-29 15:49:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	620	0¢	$1	0xca52ff…
05-29 15:48:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	1,180	0¢	$1	0x404e6a…
05-29 15:39:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd8e7b…
05-29 15:34:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xebc444…
05-29 15:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd2bbff…
05-29 15:24:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5d9e1…
05-29 15:05:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xd26f97…
05-29 14:44:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x225800…
05-29 13:38:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0x9a5d39…
05-29 11:52:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe0d54f…
05-29 11:50:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6000c…
05-29 11:31:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xc04dfc…
05-29 10:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x615b84…
05-29 10:17:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfb4244…
05-29 10:16:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4aacb8…
05-29 03:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xeae47e…
05-29 03:43:35	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x37a53e…
05-29 02:01:09	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	597	0¢	$1	0xe32722…
05-29 02:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xc6a382…
05-29 00:48:00	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6fd42f…
05-29 00:44:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x969bd7…
05-29 00:41:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xef60f4…
05-29 00:40:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xe287fe…
05-29 00:38:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xaa362c…
05-29 00:38:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0e11c1…
05-28 18:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2205f9…
05-28 15:59:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x0e966e…
05-28 15:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	825	1¢	$7	0xad3a3f…
05-28 15:18:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x4f2ff5…
05-28 15:15:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$4	0x87966a…
05-28 14:20:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xeb2c1b…
05-28 14:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	801	0¢	$2	0xa4e6ea…
05-28 14:12:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$2	0x19dac5…
05-28 12:59:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf31c0a…
05-28 07:34:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xc421bd…
05-28 06:29:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb622f8…
05-28 04:02:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb1d266…
05-28 03:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xdf6e78…
05-28 02:15:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x1406ca…
05-27 17:38:39	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x17e548…
05-27 16:19:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x08f28f…