Flat-Civilization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$3.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-29 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 80% $-6

Sports

33% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 100% +$38

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	5	$66	46	23	+23	open	—	01-05 04:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$62	127	127	+0	Yes	+$38	05-08 18:09
ethereum above 2100 on april 6	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	04-06 15:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	05-19 15:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	05-16 15:25
ethereum above 1900 on march 5	2	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-05 12:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	1	$47	47	0	+47	Yes	+$0	05-05 15:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	4	$47	455	420	+35	open	—	04-17 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-28 04:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-28 07:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	3	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-17 14:24
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-21 06:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	9	$39	37	31	+5	open	—	05-17 15:59
bitcoin above 64k on march 31	2	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-31 15:09
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	8	$35	35	35	+0	open	—	05-18 01:59
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	4	$35	43	43	+0	open	—	01-05 04:21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	2	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-29 15:24
nba nyk cha 2026 03 26	3	$32	22	11	+11	open	—	03-27 01:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 15:26
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	01-13 12:01
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-24 03:33
bitcoin above 74k on april 24	2	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	04-24 02:32
nba cha lac 2026 01 12	4	$31	38	26	+12	open	—	01-13 05:42
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-13 13:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	05-28 12:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	2	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	05-27 05:31
ethereum above 2300 on april 18	2	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-18 15:02
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	4	$30	42	41	+1	open	—	04-24 01:28
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	03-18 12:08
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	33	$28	3,800	3,256	+544	open	—	04-23 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:49:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	620	0¢	$1	0xca52ff…
05-29 15:48:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	1,180	0¢	$1	0x404e6a…
05-29 15:39:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd8e7b…
05-29 15:34:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xebc444…
05-29 15:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd2bbff…
05-29 15:24:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa5d9e1…
05-29 15:05:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0xd26f97…
05-29 14:44:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x225800…
05-29 13:38:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0x9a5d39…
05-29 11:52:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe0d54f…
05-29 11:50:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6000c…
05-29 11:31:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xc04dfc…
05-29 10:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x615b84…
05-29 10:17:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfb4244…
05-29 10:16:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4aacb8…
05-29 03:44:24	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xeae47e…
05-29 03:43:35	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x37a53e…
05-29 02:01:09	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	597	0¢	$1	0xe32722…
05-29 02:00:22	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	83	0¢	$0	0xc6a382…
05-29 00:48:00	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6fd42f…
05-29 00:44:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x969bd7…
05-29 00:41:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xef60f4…
05-29 00:40:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xe287fe…
05-29 00:38:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xaa362c…
05-29 00:38:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0e11c1…
05-28 18:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2205f9…
05-28 15:59:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x0e966e…
05-28 15:23:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	825	1¢	$7	0xad3a3f…
05-28 15:18:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x4f2ff5…
05-28 15:15:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$4	0x87966a…
05-28 14:20:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xeb2c1b…
05-28 14:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	801	0¢	$2	0xa4e6ea…
05-28 14:12:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,700	0¢	$2	0x19dac5…
05-28 12:59:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf31c0a…
05-28 07:34:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xc421bd…
05-28 06:29:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb622f8…
05-28 04:02:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb1d266…
05-28 03:55:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xdf6e78…
05-28 02:15:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x1406ca…
05-27 17:38:39	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x17e548…
05-27 16:19:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x08f28f…
05-27 16:08:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0d9235…
05-27 13:13:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xd8bb31…
05-27 13:13:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x2b00ee…
05-27 13:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbad846…
05-27 13:13:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xfa9fb8…
05-27 05:31:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x373e87…
05-27 05:23:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7354a5…
05-20 15:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x3ddca2…
05-20 14:47:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xe477fb…
05-20 02:55:44	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x30ce95…
05-20 02:40:04	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa17593…
05-20 02:38:10	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xc4f9ab…
05-20 02:33:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x370d6b…
05-20 01:10:56	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xfdc647…
05-20 01:10:54	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xebd04e…
05-20 00:35:11	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1bfc95…
05-19 15:58:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x683ca1…
05-19 15:30:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x9c5605…
05-19 15:28:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1c407a…
05-19 15:06:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x93d1f2…
05-19 14:21:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	888	1¢	$9	0x060f54…
05-19 13:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	538	0¢	$1	0x276795…
05-19 13:08:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x56749c…
05-19 13:08:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	519	0¢	$1	0xda2f33…
05-19 13:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x01d425…
05-19 13:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	313	0¢	$0	0xe293c7…
05-19 03:02:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75065e…
05-19 00:52:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x5661c3…
05-19 00:52:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xef1bea…
05-19 00:45:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	275	4¢	$10	0xaef14f…
05-18 17:01:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$9	0x5d075d…
05-18 16:15:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73d202…
05-18 16:09:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0a94ce…
05-18 15:59:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x689259…
05-18 15:59:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb1e0f8…
05-18 15:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xa05d7f…
05-18 14:38:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x94d712…
05-18 14:37:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa905e1…
05-18 12:38:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0xd91737…
05-18 12:38:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xfc58e0…
05-18 11:14:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa6f6be…
05-18 01:59:28	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xdbfb4c…
05-18 01:36:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbd7c6c…
05-18 01:35:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x83d9cc…
05-18 01:30:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x92fa5a…
05-18 01:29:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x146153…
05-18 00:39:15	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x90d44f…
05-18 00:39:15	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x450f36…
05-18 00:39:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x008f79…
05-18 00:31:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x1eab9c…
05-18 00:27:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	15	44¢	$6	0x463093…
05-18 00:15:19	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xc8f286…
05-17 23:42:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$4	0x5ca194…
05-17 23:42:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x80917e…
05-17 23:42:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xb7e135…
05-17 15:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7af48e…
05-17 15:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xce8a77…
05-17 15:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xd19cda…
05-17 15:39:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb03bb9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	153	$1.67M	12,344	05-20 02:46
(anonymous) 0xee61…debf	140	$2.16M	9,967	04-24 02:47
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	133	$1.21M	10,595	05-29 15:59
(anonymous) 0x2652…2a1d	128	$1.33M	10,639	04-04 04:19
Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294	124	$2.00M	14,511	05-20 00:16
Tense-Semicircle 0x066f…b576	119	$18.5K	764	05-04 10:47
(anonymous) 0x6b7c…5f83	116	$489.9K	2,339	04-04 04:27
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	113	$2.20M	10,312	04-18 04:23