Wary-Happening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$768

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

Trades

20,115

lifetime

Volume

$155.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 39% +$768

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 986 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	104	$4.3K	3,610	3,539	+72	open	—	05-18 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	81	$2.6K	2,097	2,098	-1	open	—	05-18 07:58
will ethereum reach 1700 on june 7	42	$2.4K	2,143	2,143	+0	open	—	06-07 22:16
will ethereum reach 1900 on july 14	68	$2.3K	5,798	2,278	+3,521	open	—	07-15 03:18
ethereum above 1900 on july 15 2026	68	$2.3K	2,595	2,595	+0	open	—	07-15 13:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	52	$1.9K	1,523	1,555	-32	open	—	05-17 21:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	42	$1.6K	1,326	1,180	+146	open	—	06-01 15:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	94	$1.5K	1,333	1,199	+134	open	—	05-17 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	33	$1.5K	1,668	1,347	+321	open	—	04-25 15:57
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	68	$1.3K	1,670	1,700	-30	open	—	04-12 22:38
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	29	$1.3K	1,571	1,516	+55	open	—	06-13 19:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	60	$1.3K	7,991	991	+7,001	open	—	04-26 19:55
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	101	$1.1K	2,043	1,780	+263	open	—	01-31 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10PM ET	22	$1.1K	772	772	+0	open	—	05-31 02:57
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	99	$1.1K	885	858	+27	open	—	04-25 20:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	25	$1.1K	977	977	+0	No	+$728	05-07 15:55
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	44	$1.1K	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	02-04 01:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11AM ET	50	$1.1K	1,152	816	+336	open	—	05-17 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	38	$934	1,049	774	+275	open	—	05-17 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	51	$914	4,424	0	+4,424	open	—	05-18 03:57
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	44	$902	1,255	867	+388	open	—	04-09 15:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	96	$902	5,889	5,774	+115	open	—	05-18 01:02
eth updown 4h 1784044800	53	$884	621	621	+0	open	—	07-14 19:53
will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	35	$883	974	974	+0	open	—	07-14 18:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	48	$880	1,527	951	+576	open	—	04-25 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	58	$855	600	579	+21	open	—	04-26 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	66	$846	1,178	1,178	-0	Up	+$124	05-09 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	22	$842	1,632	596	+1,035	open	—	05-22 04:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11PM ET	38	$823	1,166	633	+533	open	—	05-31 03:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	29	$801	574	563	+11	open	—	05-31 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 06:05:01	eth updown 4h 1784692800	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x66e5dc…
07-22 06:01:48	eth updown 4h 1784692800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x219a16…
07-22 06:01:31	eth updown 4h 1784692800	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb774bd…
07-22 05:56:55	eth updown 4h 1784692800	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x3ef48f…
07-22 05:54:18	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	743	0¢	$1	0x06cf0d…
07-22 05:48:28	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x6a328d…
07-22 05:47:36	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xbbffea…
07-22 05:41:28	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc3a6cd…
07-22 05:37:36	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xf75b1c…
07-22 05:34:51	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x24daad…
07-22 05:23:18	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0xc4ed8b…
07-22 05:22:06	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x6f8f1e…
07-22 05:21:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x281b80…
07-22 05:20:58	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe6fbef…
07-22 05:20:42	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x364514…
07-22 05:20:06	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x77a144…
07-22 05:19:48	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ec5ae…
07-22 05:19:22	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd46a97…
07-22 05:17:12	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x376985…
07-22 05:16:46	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2ee83a…
07-22 05:16:28	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x902576…
07-22 05:15:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x0750fc…
07-22 05:14:51	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b2ae6…
07-22 05:14:39	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x61768b…
07-22 05:11:24	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x487f6e…
07-22 05:07:54	eth updown 15m 1784696400	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa4c0a0…
07-22 05:07:04	eth updown 15m 1784696400	Up	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x7b3ead…
07-22 05:06:22	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xa25531…
07-22 05:06:19	eth updown 15m 1784696400	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x782c7a…
07-22 05:06:07	eth updown 15m 1784696400	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x44be73…
07-22 05:05:37	ethereum up or down july 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc79d10…
07-22 03:26:31	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	387	0¢	$0	0x9a1047…
07-22 03:15:49	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x15ea6f…
07-22 03:12:46	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x55fe19…
07-22 03:06:24	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x57fb09…
07-22 03:03:12	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0x61a6a2…
07-22 02:54:07	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x5cff3a…
07-22 02:53:46	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x7fb3fc…
07-22 02:52:13	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0f285a…
07-22 02:51:25	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1eae6a…
07-22 02:51:15	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe817f7…
07-22 02:49:34	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x487999…
07-22 02:47:43	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x788a2f…
07-22 02:47:01	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x83aca5…
07-22 02:45:51	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	868	0¢	$1	0x2745ed…
07-22 02:45:43	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2d5121…
07-22 02:44:51	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc2aa90…
07-22 02:44:36	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	999	0¢	$1	0x916745…
07-22 02:44:07	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2aa391…
07-22 02:40:04	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x102185…
07-22 02:39:30	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0f4e1f…
07-22 02:39:21	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa1fbdd…
07-22 02:39:01	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xaef3ae…
07-22 02:38:31	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xda00c5…
07-22 02:37:22	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5c6a7b…
07-22 02:30:37	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 21	Yes	BUY	849	0¢	$1	0x63077f…
07-22 02:28:24	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x8f6efa…
07-22 02:28:15	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xc7a1d5…
07-22 02:27:58	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	157	0¢	$1	0xa0733a…
07-22 02:26:48	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x6d9e9e…
07-22 02:26:24	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x36adca…
07-22 02:24:27	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 21	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe92289…
07-22 02:24:27	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x920adf…
07-22 02:22:39	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x895779…
07-22 02:19:06	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfb5355…
07-22 02:18:39	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 21	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x04eb9c…
07-22 02:18:27	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 21	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x62cf36…
07-22 02:18:04	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x3dbc7c…
07-22 02:15:25	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbf5f4e…
07-22 02:14:10	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 21	Yes	BUY	174	0¢	$0	0xc69314…
07-22 02:14:10	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x94a5d7…
07-22 02:12:42	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xeabf5b…
07-22 02:12:24	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdfc15c…
07-22 02:11:31	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xf707ff…
07-22 02:10:16	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	180	4¢	$7	0xe86481…
07-22 02:09:16	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 21	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0x6bcd41…
07-22 02:09:00	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd5c32d…
07-22 02:07:33	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdf707b…
07-22 02:06:46	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xae033b…
07-22 02:05:03	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfd3d97…
07-22 02:04:30	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0d2bf0…
07-22 02:03:39	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x51c8e1…
07-22 02:03:12	ethereum above 2000 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xa9ddff…
07-22 02:02:21	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2e6e5c…
07-22 02:02:12	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 21	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x86a35c…
07-22 02:00:58	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 21	Yes	BUY	575	0¢	$1	0x0b21d5…
07-22 02:00:01	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 21	Yes	BUY	299	0¢	$0	0x01be43…
07-22 01:55:16	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9aa48a…
07-22 01:55:07	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4de658…
07-22 01:54:15	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa076b7…
07-22 01:54:03	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9e238b…
07-22 01:53:54	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x7d3cfb…
07-22 01:53:31	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x853fc7…
07-22 01:53:18	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	64	7¢	$4	0xcc4f66…
07-22 01:52:58	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	68	8¢	$6	0x8f0fb8…
07-22 01:52:25	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xf149fc…
07-22 01:50:57	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xfeeaea…
07-22 01:48:19	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	46	12¢	$6	0x385a21…
07-22 01:47:51	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0xe354b4…
07-22 01:46:43	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	46	11¢	$5	0xb3cd23…