Mushy-Understatement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$2.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-12 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	3	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	07-21 02:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	3	$69	34	34	+0	open	—	07-22 14:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	3	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-29 21:31
will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	4	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	07-30 20:32
bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	2	$63	31	31	+0	open	—	07-30 04:14
Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-19 04:53
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	07-30 21:53
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	07-23 03:07
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	07-26 04:52
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-19 05:20
will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	07-24 20:26
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-24 02:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 04:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-29 14:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 12:07
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 70 71f	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 06:37
bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-25 00:49
bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-17 08:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-13 22:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-31 08:45
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-27 08:11
ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	07-10 22:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 18c	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 02:35
will bitcoin reach 68k on august 5	1	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	08-05 17:24
highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 28corhigher	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 10:00
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	07-19 06:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-26 04:30
ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	3	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	07-24 07:22
amzn above 210 on april 17 2026	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 20:00
bitcoin above 60k on july 29 2026	1	$30	0	30	-30	open	—	07-29 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 01:14:07	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5bd11c…
08-11 14:18:36	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x39960f…
08-07 19:31:21	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3f145…
08-07 12:27:43	will spy dip to 730 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc335a…
08-06 09:09:23	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb360a…
08-06 03:22:08	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f5527…
08-05 17:24:03	will bitcoin reach 68k on august 5	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x03174f…
08-01 04:00:42	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8bcb92…
07-31 11:56:41	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0be1ed…
07-31 10:16:09	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfe7778…
07-31 00:57:33	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x66270c…
07-30 21:53:09	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc7efa4…
07-30 20:32:14	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x229d68…
07-30 20:12:56	us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe3965f…
07-30 19:47:21	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdf6082…
07-30 19:24:14	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ced88…
07-30 17:10:32	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x09ba7a…
07-30 12:00:29	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4ec31…
07-30 08:35:41	will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x769896…
07-30 05:25:36	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf2b595…
07-30 04:14:51	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x626b81…
07-29 20:36:48	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by july 31 20260720003505492	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc5d5f1…
07-29 19:25:59	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x036cd1…
07-29 18:10:18	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xb890da…
07-29 10:58:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xde3cc1…
07-29 08:51:02	ethereum above 2100 on july 29 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x328429…
07-29 08:49:30	bitcoin above 60k on july 29 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x10ab89…
07-28 10:07:10	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xef7c38…
07-28 00:21:42	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x191dcb…
07-27 08:11:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0d85c0…
07-26 15:43:33	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x22a43c…
07-26 04:52:00	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x24272a…
07-26 00:19:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4ac296…
07-25 00:49:52	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3bdf4c…
07-24 20:45:33	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe97862…
07-24 20:26:12	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x893cd3…
07-24 19:32:37	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd888a7…
07-24 17:07:55	will wti reach 105 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7734cb…
07-24 14:34:36	bitcoin above 58k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2a6fea…
07-24 07:22:04	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbdfe04…
07-24 07:11:01	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x75e590…
07-24 04:46:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6af088…
07-24 02:38:00	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0x4f1841…
07-23 21:06:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xdcd7de…
07-23 03:07:58	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x909262…
07-23 01:43:51	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0e8216…
07-22 14:48:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x09077b…
07-22 13:28:07	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3a4a5e…
07-22 09:52:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x138aac…
07-21 15:28:57	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd5455f…
07-21 11:16:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebad57…
07-21 02:11:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xdb6f84…
07-20 23:25:27	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x21991d…
07-20 21:54:12	bitcoin above 60k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfa08c4…
07-20 18:27:16	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc19e72…
07-20 17:48:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaef737…
07-19 06:40:40	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4cf619…
07-19 06:40:10	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x556bd5…
07-19 05:20:37	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7537d0…
07-19 04:53:30	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa834e7…
07-19 03:55:24	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdf03bf…
07-19 02:13:24	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0f74ae…
07-18 23:14:43	Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe27b87…
07-17 08:17:03	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x18d6ce…
07-17 06:24:16	bitcoin above 66k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe420e2…
07-10 22:05:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x816092…
07-09 16:41:26	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 9	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8efa2e…
06-08 19:55:33	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x11def5…
06-07 16:36:30	xrp above 0pt8 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1b67e5…
06-06 13:54:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46d40e…
06-06 00:48:19	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x92ed8a…
06-05 18:13:09	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8c0e…
05-31 21:50:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1d543a…
05-31 12:09:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc095f8…
05-31 11:33:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18fefa…
05-31 11:26:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70667f…
05-31 11:12:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51c7b1…
05-31 08:45:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfcbd9d…
05-30 22:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc395a6…
05-30 11:45:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7ebffb…
05-30 06:34:05	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe0236b…
05-29 23:26:58	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x986469…
05-29 22:22:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x31658c…
05-29 15:38:29	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49b3db…
05-29 14:03:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2ec90e…
05-29 09:32:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x710206…
05-28 23:21:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x416fb5…
05-28 23:13:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbae8c8…
05-28 21:47:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda7e5f…
05-28 15:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e08e…
05-28 09:56:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb8124…
05-28 08:37:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0c4c61…
05-28 07:01:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd26e61…
05-28 03:29:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x893bec…
05-27 20:37:28	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x00f137…
05-26 22:02:11	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4ec96d…
05-26 04:30:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc1d6e7…
05-26 04:25:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeb6cd7…
05-26 02:17:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x456da8…
05-25 18:54:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x34ff69…