Mushy-Understatement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$1.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-08 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Crypto

34% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	3	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-29 21:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 04:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-29 14:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 12:07
highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 70 71f	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 06:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-13 22:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-31 08:45
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 18c	3	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-20 02:35
highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 28corhigher	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 10:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-26 04:30
amzn above 210 on april 17 2026	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 20:00
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 62 63f	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 18:15
will dandelion ella langley be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 25	2	$29	17	13	+4	open	—	04-19 19:37
highest temperature in dallas on april 19 2026 84 85f	4	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-19 11:28
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 32corhigher	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 16:57
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-22 03:59
highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 46c	4	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 03:43
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 76 77f	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 02:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-29 09:32
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-20 06:10
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	05-31 21:50
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 16c	4	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-17 15:41
highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 32c	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 11:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	2	$25	12	12	+0	open	—	05-28 08:37
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 76 77f	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 06:38
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-30 06:34
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	2	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	05-27 20:37
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 17c	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 15:39
khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 50 54	3	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 12:24
highest temperature in milan on april 22 2026 15c	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-22 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:55:33	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x11def5…
06-07 16:36:30	xrp above 0pt8 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1b67e5…
06-06 13:54:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x46d40e…
06-06 00:48:19	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x92ed8a…
06-05 18:13:09	xrp above 1pt3 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8c0e…
05-31 21:50:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1d543a…
05-31 12:09:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc095f8…
05-31 11:33:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18fefa…
05-31 11:26:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70667f…
05-31 11:12:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51c7b1…
05-31 08:45:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfcbd9d…
05-30 22:20:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc395a6…
05-30 11:45:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7ebffb…
05-30 06:34:05	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe0236b…
05-29 23:26:58	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x986469…
05-29 22:22:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x31658c…
05-29 15:38:29	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49b3db…
05-29 14:03:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2ec90e…
05-29 09:32:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x710206…
05-28 23:21:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x416fb5…
05-28 23:13:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbae8c8…
05-28 21:47:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda7e5f…
05-28 15:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc1e08e…
05-28 09:56:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb8124…
05-28 08:37:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0c4c61…
05-28 07:01:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd26e61…
05-28 03:29:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x893bec…
05-27 20:37:28	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x00f137…
05-26 22:02:11	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4ec96d…
05-26 04:30:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc1d6e7…
05-26 04:25:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeb6cd7…
05-26 02:17:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x456da8…
05-25 18:54:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x34ff69…
05-25 15:21:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a94fd…
05-25 08:47:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc54147…
05-25 08:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x85fe47…
05-25 05:19:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58b802…
05-22 03:59:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x403628…
05-21 13:38:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x463094…
05-19 11:36:48	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef4cbe…
05-18 03:03:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x603245…
05-15 02:00:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x439d76…
05-14 19:23:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x40d0c4…
05-13 22:57:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2542a8…
05-13 17:12:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x07f06e…
05-12 12:54:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x80c7b6…
05-10 10:38:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x21f17f…
05-10 04:55:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e9df1…
05-07 13:46:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x406cb6…
05-02 21:31:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc27ba8…
05-02 04:04:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x494369…
04-30 11:30:38	Will Opendoor dip to $1 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf65596…
04-29 21:31:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0x05961b…
04-29 10:50:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbf0799…
04-29 08:32:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x263c16…
04-27 13:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x736e40…
04-27 12:48:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26e805…
04-26 13:36:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on April 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xedba23…
04-26 13:06:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb4a94…
04-26 09:03:42	Will "SWAG - Justin Bieber" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x296cd2…
04-25 05:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xba41ee…
04-25 02:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0b7948…
04-24 21:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6e960f…
04-24 19:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa57f0b…
04-24 13:14:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0ee9ba…
04-24 12:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaaa633…
04-24 11:56:38	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 32c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x500c07…
04-24 08:32:48	highest temperature in wuhan on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2c8a87…
04-24 08:21:50	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfe0a53…
04-24 07:24:12	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 32c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe2936a…
04-24 06:39:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 22corhigher	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x734fd2…
04-24 06:37:26	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x97ef4d…
04-24 06:31:58	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x7ae9af…
04-23 03:28:44	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 23	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5ec927…
04-23 01:17:22	lowest temperature in london on april 23 2026 3c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x878669…
04-23 00:29:18	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3676db…
04-22 22:30:36	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc92400…
04-22 19:29:56	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 18c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x66e61f…
04-22 15:52:54	highest temperature in mexico city on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x559436…
04-22 15:06:26	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5058b…
04-22 14:50:08	highest temperature in milan on april 22 2026 15c	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6c6c27…
04-22 04:08:42	highest temperature in milan on april 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe79512…
04-22 03:43:54	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 46c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8e4326…
04-22 03:11:22	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 22 2026 20c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4376c5…
04-22 02:50:22	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 46c	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x48dd02…
04-22 02:50:20	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 46c	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa427fc…
04-22 02:41:48	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 25c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6d37b4…
04-21 23:28:10	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 25c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b69b1…
04-21 16:16:38	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 46c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4c3fc…
04-21 12:38:42	ethereum above 1800 on april 22	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf6346b…
04-21 12:24:28	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 50 54	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62d90a…
04-21 11:29:28	ethereum above 1800 on april 22	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x13aa9d…
04-21 09:00:24	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 45 49	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7e4c9a…
04-21 08:41:14	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 50 54	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01e21e…
04-21 08:07:42	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 45 49	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb675b3…
04-20 23:05:46	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 20	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa90e7f…
04-20 16:57:10	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb54056…
04-20 14:41:22	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 50 54	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x865ca0…
04-20 06:38:12	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x005904…
04-20 06:33:00	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x20d919…