Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 10?
No won
Total volume
$411
Trades
32
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 05:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | — | $331 | $331 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $215 | $215 |
| Median | 8 | — | $91 | $91 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $66 | $66 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | +115 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 05-10 00:12 |
| Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 05-09 18:20 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Silver-Ferry 0x2cbc…5dfc | No | +44 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-10 00:04 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-09 23:59 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 02:07 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-08 15:17 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 00:09 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:49 |
| Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:04 |
| Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:53 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 16:49 |
| Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | No | +2 | $2 | $31 | 2 | 05-10 05:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 05:48:37 | Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xdc4c80… |
| 05-10 03:02:29 | Equatorial-Probe 0x7431…be26 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe165d3… |
| 05-10 02:53:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b029f… |
| 05-10 02:30:57 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaba6ae… |
| 05-10 02:07:02 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x439601… |
| 05-10 00:12:54 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | BUY | 115 | 99¢ | $113 | 0x044557… |
| 05-10 00:09:14 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4605c1… |
| 05-10 00:04:37 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x35c255… |
| 05-10 00:04:34 | Silver-Ferry 0x2cbc…5dfc | No | BUY | 44 | 98¢ | $43 | 0xd0b198… |
| 05-09 23:59:57 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xbacdde… |
| 05-09 23:45:12 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x3bcea2… |
| 05-09 23:01:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x859f58… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28954e… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x360b07… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6b0709… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e58cf… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03907f… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x3c61b8… |
| 05-09 16:49:57 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6041f3… |
| 05-09 15:47:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcbcb7d… |
| 05-09 14:43:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0bb5e… |
| 05-09 14:43:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb73f61… |
| 05-09 14:43:45 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x050419… |
| 05-09 10:55:01 | Mushy-Understatement 0x6ba3…bbc4 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xa5c39e… |
| 05-09 07:04:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2ff7d… |
| 05-09 02:25:34 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x957093… |
| 05-08 15:17:13 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x368490… |
| 05-08 15:17:09 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x132b5a… |
| 05-08 15:17:08 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8718f7… |
| 05-08 09:09:36 | Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc16f72… |
| 05-08 04:53:26 | Warm-Resemblance 0x9642…78d4 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x309740… |
| 05-08 04:49:44 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x623c7e… |