Warm-Resemblance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

10,957

Trades

12,324

lifetime

Volume

$83.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 99% -$67

Other

27% 98% -$159

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 17	44	$219	220	0	+220	No	+$0	03-17 15:15
solana above 100 on march 17	44	$219	220	0	+220	No	+$0	03-17 15:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 17	43	$213	215	0	+215	No	+$1	03-17 15:15
bitcoin above 72k on march 17	37	$184	185	0	+185	Yes	+$0	03-17 15:15
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 17	31	$153	153	0	+153	Yes	+$0	03-17 15:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:40 UTC	7	$83	84	0	+84	Down	+$1	02-20 16:45
bitcoin up or down january 7 3am et	14	$62	105	105	+0	Down	+$0	01-07 09:00
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on march 17	12	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-17 15:04
ethereum above 1900 on february 19	11	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	02-19 16:58
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner	4	$54	37	37	+0	cancelled	-$6	09-29 03:56
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:05 UTC	2	$54	60	0	+60	Down	+$6	02-25 16:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:00 UTC	2	$52	60	0	+60	Up	+$8	02-25 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 7?	6	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-06 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 7?	6	$50	25	25	-0	No	+$0	05-06 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 7?	6	$50	25	25	-0	No	+$0	05-06 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$0	10-27 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	6	$48	50	50	+0	Up	-$4	05-20 09:06
cs2 m80 dendel 2026 09 25 game2	2	$45	30	30	+0	DENDELE CS	-$15	09-26 03:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$45	45	0	+45	Up	+$0	10-20 14:30
Club Necaxa vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5	3	$45	45	0	+45	Over	+$0	10-24 02:51
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 04:35 UTC	2	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	03-13 04:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:15 UTC	2	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-13 04:28
solana up or down march 13 12am et	2	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-13 04:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 05:15 UTC	2	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	03-13 05:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:15 UTC	4	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	01-19 02:28
ethereum up or down january 13 9pm et	5	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	01-14 03:48
Set 2 Winner: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez	2	$40	40	0	+40	Zeynep Sonmez	+$0	10-20 08:26
xrp up or down march 12 10pm et	2	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	03-13 02:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 07:10 UTC	8	$40	40	0	+40	Down	+$0	02-20 07:14
bitcoin up or down january 8 2am et	7	$38	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	01-08 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb09c5f…
10-27 02:51:00	Cowboys vs. Eagles: Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x350bb9…
10-27 02:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3c16b6…
10-27 02:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd4db97…
10-27 01:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbf2bc…
10-27 01:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91c595…
10-27 01:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3424f0…
10-27 01:36:02	Wizards Team Total: O/U 113.5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f8924…
10-27 01:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3b614…
10-27 01:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb848cd…
10-27 01:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7d3e28…
10-27 01:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x735a45…
10-27 01:27:11	Club Bolívar vs. FC Universitario: Club Bolívar O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1be522…
10-27 00:47:18	Jaguares de Córdoba FC vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xab0d93…
10-26 23:33:47	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x66383d…
10-26 23:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa6de2e…
10-26 22:55:21	CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x967fb6…
10-26 21:22:59	FC København vs. Odense BK: FC København O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0fcc3a…
10-26 20:40:56	Montpellier HSC vs. Red Star FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x82e890…
10-26 20:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x10b413…
10-26 20:17:20	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: 1st Half O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6ac779…
10-26 20:15:12	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2ce693…
10-26 20:11:56	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x766587…
10-26 20:11:17	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x184159…
10-26 20:09:51	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: 1st Half O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb611a…
10-26 19:55:59	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x272f19…
10-26 19:35:51	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd55886…
10-26 19:34:35	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa9b4e4…
10-26 19:22:51	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xde8f91…
10-26 19:22:47	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd2c4cc…
10-26 18:55:41	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4ef0cd…
10-26 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb1bec6…
10-26 18:40:20	FC København vs. Odense BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa386ce…
10-26 18:02:11	Nueva Chicago vs. San Martin de San Juan: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3b8fce…
10-26 17:58:57	Al Ahli Saudi FC vs. Al Gharafa SC: Al Ahli Saudi FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe779e4…
10-26 17:54:14	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x13ce91…
10-26 17:47:47	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x333679…
10-26 17:35:20	Al Ain FC vs. Tractor Tabriz: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x94842a…
10-26 17:35:09	Al Ain FC vs. Tractor Tabriz: Al Ain FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c11d8…
10-26 16:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6d53c1…
10-26 15:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe115a9…
10-26 15:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x80e813…
10-26 15:51:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x714e86…
10-26 15:45:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0f038…
10-26 15:30:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2e159…
10-26 15:30:03	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x518247…
10-26 15:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9917d1…
10-26 15:00:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57ff2a…
10-26 15:00:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2667c4…
10-26 14:23:00	Al-Ittihad Club to score first vs. FK Neftchi Fargona?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe0616a…
10-26 14:13:44	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Series 11 Closed Qualifier Group D	Falcons Force	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73a547…
10-26 13:47:18	Counter-Strike: Sökerorg vs ex-6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	Sökerorg	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x687081…
10-26 12:48:23	Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner	gothboiclique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x318972…
10-26 12:46:08	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 Winner	KUUSAMO.gg	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe73852…
10-26 12:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa6be6a…
10-26 12:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe297f5…
10-26 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc7286…
10-26 11:04:08	Harriet Dart vs. Tatiana Prozorova: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1e5dbe…
10-26 10:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6649ab…
10-26 09:32:12	Set 2 Winner: Alexandra Eala vs Mika Stojsavljevic	Alexandra Eala	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x488c78…
10-26 08:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcb99d0…
10-26 08:34:05	Set 2 Winner: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Han Shi	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x42178b…
10-26 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcdb151…
10-26 08:14:38	Shi vs. Ibragimova: Match O/U 21.5	Under	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x421ab4…
10-26 07:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb3f4d5…
10-26 04:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe81e83…
10-26 03:54:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x650037…
10-26 03:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfbd4a6…
10-26 03:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x08cdef…
10-26 00:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa1d5d0…
10-25 23:45:39	Counter-Strike: Monte vs TTG Esports - Map 1 Winner	TTG Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1226e9…
10-25 23:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf9f047…
10-25 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6440eb…
10-25 19:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b923a…
10-25 16:49:24	Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x092bb3…
10-25 16:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x513615…
10-25 15:45:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa698b7…
10-25 15:36:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee1b3d…
10-25 15:34:50	Counter-Strike: Bread Eaters Esports vs Gatorian - Map 1 Winner	Gatorian	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7852c2…
10-25 15:30:03	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb7c411…
10-25 15:25:53	Counter-Strike: Bread Eaters Esports vs Gatorian - Map 1 Winner	Gatorian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x497963…
10-25 15:00:02	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23a8ea…
10-25 14:00:02	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fbef7…
10-25 12:51:15	Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Revenge (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	Revenge	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1790cc…
10-25 11:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x17ac37…
10-25 11:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6e26…
10-25 10:08:26	Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Revenge - Map 1 Winner	Prestige	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8cfd3e…
10-25 01:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb5b951…
10-25 01:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb97733…
10-24 23:27:08	Spread: Houston Christian (-1.5)	Lamar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb1f13…
10-24 23:20:05	Tennessee vs. South Carolina: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9860c…
10-24 22:55:08	Deportivo Madryn vs. CA San Telmo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x38d20b…
10-24 22:54:41	CR Vasco da Gama vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1fcfe6…
10-24 22:46:44	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa79a76…
10-24 22:20:06	Spread: North Dakota (-1.5)	South Dakota	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f78bc…
10-24 21:55:47	Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs FarmVille - Map 1 Winner	Marsborne	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc85575…
10-24 21:53:57	CA Talleres vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfc173c…
10-24 21:52:35	Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs FarmVille - Map 1 Winner	Marsborne	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc7dfd1…
10-24 21:39:08	Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)	SC Internacional	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xce9b29…
10-24 21:34:38	Mirassol FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2cbb9b…